FC Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadion Galgenwaard Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
FC Utrecht UTR
Versus
Fortuna Sittard FOR
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Utrecht host Fortuna Sittard at Stadion Galgenwaard in an Eredivisie regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 7th in the table, Utrecht boast a substantial power score of 72.07, eclipsing Sittard's 61.96 by 10.1 points, marking them as the clearly superior outfit. This structural dominance is mirrored in league standings, with Utrecht four places above their visitors in 11th. Form metrics further tilt the scales, Utrecht's 26.11 rating towering over Sittard's meager 7.78, suggesting momentum lies firmly with the home side. Playing on familiar turf, Utrecht can leverage their overall strength to control proceedings against a Sittard team struggling for consistency. While detailed set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, the raw power and form gaps point to a straightforward affair for the hosts. Expect Utrecht to press their advantages early and assert control.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Utrecht holds a 10.1 power point edge and sits 7th to Fortuna Sittard's 11th in the Eredivisie.
  • Form: Utrecht's form score of 26.11 far exceeds Sittard's 7.78.
  • Squad: Utrecht's squad power rated at 72.07 outstrips Sittard's 61.96.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: FC Utrecht 63.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.8% (Δ+0%) | Fortuna Sittard 16.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Utrecht R. Jans
R. Jans
VS
Fortuna Sittard D. Buijs
D. Buijs
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: 77 W
NAC Breda Rank: 55 W
Excelsior Rank: 58 L
Telstar Rank: 63 W
PSV Rank: 86 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
PEC Zwolle Rank: 64 W
Feyenoord Rank: 76 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 69 L
NAC Breda Rank: 56 D
AZ Rank: 76 L
FC Twente Rank: 77 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Utrecht
63.59%
Draw
19.78%
Away Fortuna Sittard
16.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.07
61.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Power Score
72.07
61.96
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
160
427

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Utrecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Fortuna Sittard — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Utrecht Fortuna Sittard

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Utrecht UTR Home
14 matches
Fortuna Sittard FOR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
5
Goals
25
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
25
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T02:03:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
V. Barkas
1 V. Barkas
N. Vesterlund
23 N. Vesterlund
M. van der Hoorn
3 M. van der Hoorn
M. Eerdhuijzen
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
S. Elkarouani
16 S. Elkarouani
A. Engwanda
27 A. Engwanda
G. Zechiël
21 G. Zechiël
J. Karlsson
11 J. Karlsson
D. de Wit
20 D. de Wit
Y. Cathline
10 Y. Cathline
S. Haller
91 S. Haller
Pitch
M. Branderhorst
31 M. Branderhorst
D. Bisschops
42 D. Bisschops
J. Hubner
28 J. Hubner
S. van Ottele
6 S. van Ottele
N. Kasanwirjo
21 N. Kasanwirjo
Y. Oukili
5 Y. Oukili
T. Schenkhuizen
38 T. Schenkhuizen
K. Peterson
7 K. Peterson
L. Duijvestijn
70 L. Duijvestijn
D. Limnios
18 D. Limnios
K. Sierhuis
9 K. Sierhuis

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Galgenwaard
Capacity :
23750
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ingmar Oostrom
Roan van Marrewijk
Rick van Rijn
Andy Wolff

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ingmar Oostrom

Starting XI ▼

1
Vasilios Barkas
Vasilios Barkas Goalkeeper
7.04
91
Sébastien Haller
Sébastien Haller Centre Forward
6.92
20
Dani de Wit
Dani de Wit Attacking Midfield
7.01
21
Gjivai Zechiël
Gjivai Zechiël Defensive Midfield
7.11
23
Niklas Vesterlund
Niklas Vesterlund Right Back
6.64
27
Alonzo Engwanda
Alonzo Engwanda Defensive Midfield
6.85
3
Mike van der Hoorn
Mike van der Hoorn Right Back
6.99
10
Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline Left Wing
6.94
11
Jesper Karlsson
Jesper Karlsson Right Wing
6.89
16
Souffian El Karouani
Souffian El Karouani Left Back
7.44
44
Mike Eerdhuijzen
Mike Eerdhuijzen Left Back
6.6
Referee : Ingmar Oostrom

Starting XI ▼

31
Mattijs Branderhorst
Mattijs Branderhorst Goalkeeper
7.01
9
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Centre Forward
7.08
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Right Back
6.67
7
Kristoffer Peterson
Kristoffer Peterson Left Wing
6.67
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Left Back
6.75
70
Lance Duijvestijn
Lance Duijvestijn Attacking Midfield
7.05
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Neraysho Kasanwirjo Right Back
6.69
5
Yassin Oukili
Yassin Oukili Defensive Midfield
6.62
18
Dimitrios Limnios
Dimitrios Limnios Right Wing
6.84
38
Tristan Schenkhuizen
Tristan Schenkhuizen Defensive Midfield
6.48
42
Daan Bisschops
Daan Bisschops Left Back
6.72

CONCLUSION

FC Utrecht enter this home clash against Fortuna Sittard with every metric in their favor, from a commanding 10.1 power advantage to superior form and higher league position. At Stadion Galgenwaard, the hosts' 72.07 power score and 26.11 form rating position them to dominate proceedings. Sittard, languishing in 11th with a 7.78 form score, face an uphill battle lacking standout counters in available data. Utrecht's structural superiority should translate into control and likely victory, capitalizing on home support to extend their edge in the Eredivisie table.

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