FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion An der Alten Försterei Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin FCU
4 Winner 0
FC Augsburg FCA
Full Time Sat, 16 May 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Woo-yeong Jeong  - 89'
András Schäfer - 54'
Andrej Ilic - 42', 10'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

In the recent Bundesliga match, FC Union Berlin defeated FC Augsburg by a score of 4-0. The game saw the home team establish a 2-0 lead by halftime through effective attacking play. Although FC Augsburg entered as the stronger side, Union Berlin demonstrated superior efficiency in converting chances. Expected goals stood at 2.36 for the home team and 0.63 for the visitors, aligning well with the observed dominance. Possession statistics were balanced at 49 percent for Union Berlin and 51 percent for Augsburg. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain their intended formations and strategies throughout the ninety minutes. The outcome reflected a clear performance gap on the day despite pre-match assessments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg. FC Union Berlin showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency of both teams remained in line with their expected performance metrics throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The xG values aligned closely with the final outcome as FC Union Berlin's 2.36 expected goals corresponded to their four goals scored.
  • Market alignment: The pre-match market expectations aligned with the actual result in this encounter.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals projections indicated a competitive match but the actual scoring exceeded the home side's xG slightly.
  • Event impact: Key events in the second half contributed to the final scoreline without major disruptions.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

P. Ittrich

Germany 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Thielert

1st Assistant

Germany

T. Gorniak

2nd Assistant

Germany

R. Schröder

4th Official

Germany

League averages

Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.29
Yellow cards / match 3.55
Red cards / match 0.2
Penalties / match 0.33
FC Union Berlin M. Eta
M. Eta
VS
FC Augsburg M. Baum
M. Baum
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 W
FC Köln Rank: 75 D
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 75 L
Heidenheim Rank: 73 L
St. Pauli Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 77 W
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Union Berlin
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away FC Augsburg
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.84
77.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Power Score
75.84
77.39
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
98
82

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Union Berlin — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Augsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Union Berlin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Augsburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Union Berlin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Augsburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.27
26.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.47
38.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Union Berlin +1.06 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Augsburg -1.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Union Berlin
vs
FC Augsburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Union Berlin
vs
FC Augsburg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Union Berlin 0.49
FC Augsburg 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Union Berlin 0.00
FC Augsburg 0.11
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCA had peak pressure around 92'.
  • FCA started the game with stronger pressure.
FCU Pressure FCA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCA reached the top pressure at 92' (86.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Union Berlin FCU Home
13 matches
FC Augsburg FCA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
2
Goals
11
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
11
-7
Goal Difference
+7

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:55:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
C. Klaus
Germany
25 C. Klaus
C. Trimmel
Substitution
Austria
28 (C) C. Trimmel
D. Doekhi
Netherlands
5 D. Doekhi
D. Monteiro Pinto Leite
Portugal
4 D. Monteiro Pinto Leite
T. Rothe
Germany
15 T. Rothe
A. Schafer
Hungary
13 A. Schafer
A. Kemlein
Germany
6 A. Kemlein
O. Burke
Substitution
Scotland
7 O. Burke
I. Ansah
Substitution
Germany
10 I. Ansah
L. Burcu
Substitution
Germany
9 L. Burcu
A. Ilić
Substitution
Serbia
23 A. Ilić
Pitch
F. Dahmen
Germany
1 F. Dahmen
C. Zesiger
Switzerland
16 C. Zesiger
J. Gouweleeuw
Netherlands
6 (C) J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
Substitution
France
5 C. Matsima
R. Fellhauer
Germany
19 R. Fellhauer
F. Rieder
Switzerland
32 F. Rieder
Y. Keitel
Substitution
Germany
14 Y. Keitel
M. Wolf
Substitution
Germany
27 M. Wolf
M. Kömür
Substitution
Germany
36 M. Kömür
A. Kade
Germany
30 A. Kade
M. Gregoritsch
Substitution
Austria
38 M. Gregoritsch

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Capacity :
22012
Attendance :
22012
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Patrick Ittrich
Sascha Thielert
Thomas Gorniak
Robert Schröder

Statistics

Possession
FCU
50%
FCA
50%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 1
35 Dangerous attacks 50
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 9
7 Free kicks 6
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

59 Ball Safe 50
3 Assists 0
10 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
11 Successful Headers 6
4 Successful Dribbles 9
5 Goal Kicks 5
16 Dribble Attempts 17
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
20 Throwins 24

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
77 Attacks 114

Possession

15 Key Passes 10
376 Successful Passes 369
84 Successful Passes Percentage 82
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
450 Passes 448
64 Long Passes 45
31 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

1 Saves 5
35 Duels Won 43
6 Interceptions 8
14 Tackles 23

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 28
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

6 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Patrick Ittrich

Starting XI ▼

25
Carl Klaus
Carl Klaus Goalkeeper
7.15
4
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite Defender
7.01
5
Danilho Doekhi
Danilho Doekhi Defender
7.07
15
Tom Rothe
Tom Rothe Defender
7.29
28
Christopher Trimmel
Christopher Trimmel (C) Defender
7.3
18
Josip Juranovic
Josip Juranovic
Defender65'
6.62
6
Aljoscha Kemlein
Aljoscha Kemlein Midfielder
6.73
7
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke Midfielder
7.05
14
Leopold Querfeld
Leopold Querfeld
Defender86'
9
Livan Burcu
Livan Burcu Midfielder
7.1
21
Tim Skarke
Tim Skarke
Midfielder71'
6.86
10
Ilyas Ansah
Ilyas Ansah Midfielder
6.1
11
Woo-yeong Jeong
Woo-yeong Jeong
Midfielder65'
7.25
13
András Schäfer
András Schäfer Midfielder
8.58
23
Andrej Ilic
Andrej Ilic Attacker
2
8.35
30
Dmytro Bogdanov
Dmytro Bogdanov
Attacker86'
6.22
Referee : Patrick Ittrich

Starting XI ▼

1
Finn Dahmen
Finn Dahmen Goalkeeper
6.14
5
Chrislain Matsima
Chrislain Matsima Defender
6.3
40
Noahkai Banks
Noahkai Banks
Defender61'
7.01
6
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (C) Defender
6.73
16
Cédric Zesiger
Cédric Zesiger Defender
6.34
14
Yannik Keitel
Yannik Keitel Midfielder
6.33
4
Han-Noah Massengo
Han-Noah Massengo
Midfielder55'
6.69
19
Robin Fellhauer
Robin Fellhauer Midfielder
6.62
27
Marius Wolf
Marius Wolf Midfielder
6.79
3
Mads Pedersen
Mads Pedersen
Defender61'
6.41
32
Fabian Rieder
Fabian Rieder Midfielder
6.87
30
Anton Kade
Anton Kade Attacker
7.12
36
Mert Kömür
Mert Kömür Attacker
6.33
21
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Attacker55'
6.54
38
Michael Gregoritsch
Michael Gregoritsch Attacker
6.28
39
Uchenna Ogundu
Uchenna Ogundu
Attacker77'
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Woo-yeong Jeong 
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
Event
Leopold Querfeld → Oliver Burke
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Dmytro Bogdanov → Andrej Ilic
9th Substitution
86'
77'
Event
Uchenna Ogundu → Michael Gregoritsch
8th Substitution
Event
Tim Skarke → Livan Burcu
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Aljoscha Kemlein
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Woo-yeong Jeong  → Ilyas Ansah
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Josip Juranovic → Christopher Trimmel 
6th Substitution
65'
63'
Event
Han-Noah Massengo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Noahkai Banks → Chrislain Matsima
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Mads Pedersen → Marius Wolf
4th Substitution
55'
Event
Rodrigo Ribeiro → Mert Kömür
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Han-Noah Massengo → Yannik Keitel
1st Substitution
Event
András Schäfer
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
54'
1ST-HALF
Event
Andrej Ilic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
42'
Event
Christopher Trimmel 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
26'
Event
Oliver Burke
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
24'
Event
Andrej Ilic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FC Union Berlin after a concession by Cédric Zesiger.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! 1. FC Union Berlin takes the lead 1-0 against FC Augsburg. Andrej Ilic scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by András Schäfer after a quick counterattack.
9
Corner Corner
FC Augsburg wins a corner, conceded by Tom Rothe.
5
Update Update
Anton Kade from FC Augsburg misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box. The assist came from Marius Wolf during a fast break.
1
Corner Corner
FC Augsburg wins a corner after Danilho Doekhi concedes.

CONCLUSION

Following the full time whistle, the 4-0 result underscores FC Union Berlin's clinical approach against FC Augsburg. The first half set the tone with two goals before the break, allowing the home side to manage the game comfortably in the second period. With expected goals favoring Union Berlin, the performance metrics supported the final scoreline. Both teams avoided any red card incidents which kept the match flowing without numerical imbalances. The alignment between expected outcomes and actual results points to a straightforward encounter where efficiency played a key role. Overall this victory boosts Union Berlin's standing while highlighting areas for improvement for the visitors in future fixtures. The balanced possession did not translate to equal scoring opportunities as the home side maximized their moments.

FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.