FC Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Grolsch Veste Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
FC Twente TWE
4 Winner 0
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
Full Time Sun, 10 May 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Daan Rots - 78'
Kristian Hlynsson - 71'
Thomas van den Belt - 59', 58'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

FC Twente claimed a commanding 4-0 victory over Sparta Rotterdam, with all goals arriving after a goalless first half that ended 0-0. Holding 57% possession to the visitors' 43%, the home side dictated play but waited until the second half to break through decisively. A clinical display saw them score four times while maintaining a clean sheet, exposing Sparta Rotterdam's defensive vulnerabilities. No red cards disrupted proceedings, allowing FC Twente's superiority as the stronger team to shine through unhindered. The match showcased structural control, minimal deviations, and efficiency in execution, aligning with pre-set expectations for a home dominance. This result strengthens FC Twente's position in the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 2.4% favoring FC Twente.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. van der Laan

Netherlands
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Nanninga

2nd Assistant

Netherlands

W. Wiersma

4th Official

Netherlands

M. Osseweijer

1st Assistant

Netherlands

League averages

Eredivisie Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.36
Yellow cards / match 2.4
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.1
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: 76 D
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Ajax Rank: 76 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 62 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
Telstar Rank: 60 L
PSV Rank: 86 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Ajax Rank: 76 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 8 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Sparta Rotterdam
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.85
64.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Power Score
76.85
64.95
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
93
336

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC Twente Opponent-weighted form score
Sparta Rotterdam Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

FC Twente

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sparta Rotterdam

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Twente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sparta Rotterdam
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.75
24.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.88
51.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Twente +2.83 Efficiency Index
vs
Sparta Rotterdam -2.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Twente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sparta Rotterdam
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

FC Twente
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
FC Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TWE had peak pressure around 77'.
  • TWE started the game with stronger pressure.
TWE Pressure SPR Pressure
Pressure Index: TWE reached the top pressure at 77' (72.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
29 matches
Sparta Rotterdam SPR Away
Match Record
14
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
14
Goals
46
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
46
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:04:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Tytoń
Poland
22 P. Tytoń
B. van Rooij
Netherlands
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
Israel
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
Netherlands
43 R. Nijstad
M. Rots
Substitution
Netherlands
39 M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
Algeria
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
Substitution
Netherlands
20 T. van den Belt
D. Rots
Substitution
Netherlands
11 D. Rots
K. Hlynsson
Substitution
Iceland
14 K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
Substitution
Norway
27 S. Ørjasæter
S. Lammers
Netherlands
10 S. Lammers
Pitch
J. Drommel
Netherlands
1 J. Drommel
T. Quintero León
Venezuela
5 T. Quintero León
B. Martins Indi
Netherlands
4 B. Martins Indi
M. Young
Netherlands
3 M. Young
S. Sambo
Substitution
Netherlands
2 S. Sambo
J. Kitolano
Substitution
Norway
6 J. Kitolano
A. Santos
Substitution
Netherlands
8 A. Santos
S. Mito
Japan
11 S. Mito
V. van Crooij
Netherlands
10 V. van Crooij
M. van Bergen
Substitution
Netherlands
7 M. van Bergen
T. Lauritsen
Substitution
Norway
9 T. Lauritsen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity :
30205
Attendance :
29600
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sjoerd Nanninga
Wouter Wiersma
Jannick van der Laan
Michael Osseweijer

Statistics

Possession
TWE
55%
SPR
45%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
13 Shots 1
70 Dangerous attacks 34
57 Possession 43
9 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 7
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

27 Dribble Attempts 18
8 Successful Dribbles 12
26 Throwins 7
5 Substitutions 5
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
2 Hit Woodwork 0
11 Successful Headers 14
4 Goal Kicks 8
2 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
17 Goal Attempts 4
70 Ball Safe 74

Attacking

116 Attacks 100
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

23 Key Passes 7
511 Passes 385
84 Successful Passes Percentage 81
31 Successful Long Passes 35
430 Successful Passes 311
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
55 Long Passes 63

Defensive

1 Saves 9
9 Interceptions 10
14 Tackles 24
41 Duels Won 56

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI

22
Przemyslaw Tyton
Przemyslaw Tyton Goalkeeper
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Defender
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Defender
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Defender
3
Robin Pröpper
Robin Pröpper
Defender88'
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Defender
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Midfielder
9
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Attacker79'
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder
32
Arno Verschueren
Arno Verschueren
Midfielder88'
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Midfielder
2
42
Daouda Weidmann
Daouda Weidmann
Midfielder79'
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder
7
Marko Pjaca
Marko Pjaca
Attacker71'
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Attacker
Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
2
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo Defender
17
Pelle Clement
Pelle Clement
Midfielder72'
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Defender
4
Bruno Martins Indi
Bruno Martins Indi Defender
5
Teo Quintero
Teo Quintero Defender
6
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Midfielder
19
Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld
Attacker72'
7
Mitchell van Bergen
Mitchell van Bergen Midfielder
22
Casper Terho
Casper Terho
Attacker19'
8
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos Midfielder
21
A. Roaldsøy
A. Roaldsøy
Midfielder80'
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Midfielder
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Midfielder
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Attacker
18
Jens Toornstra
Jens Toornstra
Midfielder80'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Robin Pröpper Mats Rots
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Arno Verschueren Kristian Hlynsson
10th Substitution
88'
80'
Event
Jens Toornstra Tobias Lauritsen
8th Substitution
80'
Event
A. Roaldsøy Ayoni Santos
7th Substitution
Event
Daouda Weidmann Thomas van den Belt
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Daan Rots
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Daan Rots
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
78'
72'
Event
Milan Zonneveld Joshua Kitolano
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Pelle Clement Shurandy Sambo
3rd Substitution
Event
Marko Pjaca Sondre Ørjasæter
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Kristian Hlynsson
Header / 3rd Goal
71'
70'
Event
Bruno Martins Indi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Thomas van den Belt
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
Event
Thomas van den Belt
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
19'
Event
Casper Terho Mitchell van Bergen
1st Substitution
17'
Event
Marvin Young
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Pelle Clement replaces Shurandy Sambo.
73
Corner Corner
Sparta Rotterdam wins a corner after Ruud Nijstad concedes.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Twente leads 3-0 after Kristian Hlynsson scores with a header from the center of the box into the left corner.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Marko Pjaca replaces Sondre Ørjasæter.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Bruno Martins Indi of Sparta Rotterdam.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bruno Martins Indi of Sparta Rotterdam receives a yellow card for a foul.
70
Update Update
Mats Rots from FC Twente won a free kick in the attacking area.
65
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Kristian Hlynsson of FC Twente shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the top right corner. The assist comes from Ramiz Zerrouki.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Twente leads 2-0 against Sparta Rotterdam. Thomas van den Belt scores for FC Twente with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Twente leads 1-0 against Sparta Rotterdam. Thomas van den Belt scores with a right-footed shot from close range into the left corner, assisted by Bart van Rooij.
56
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Sam Lammers from FC Twente.
54
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Sam Lammers from FC Twente shoots with his left foot from close range, but Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, saves it in the center of the goal. The assist was provided by Sondre Ørjasæter.
53
Update Update
Offside called against FC Twente. Mats Rots is in an offside position.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but the ball goes high and wide to the right. The assist was provided by Casper Terho with a header.
52
Corner Corner
FC Twente is awarded a corner after Vito van Crooij concedes.
51
Attempt Attempt
Daan Rots of FC Twente attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam. The assist came from Kristian Hlynsson.
51
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Vito van Crooij concedes.
51
Update Update
FC Twente makes a new attacking attempt. Thomas van den Belt shoots with his right foot from a few meters out, but Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, saves it in the center of the goal. The assist came from Daan Rots with a cross.
49
Attempt Attempt
Thomas van den Belt's shot from outside the box for FC Twente is blocked. Kristian Hlynsson provided the assist.
49
Corner Corner
FC Twente is awarded a corner after Vito van Crooij concedes.
47
Update Update
Daan Rots of FC Twente is flagged for offside.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at FC Twente 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Mats Rots of FC Twente.
42
Update Update
Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam won a free kick on the right wing.
42
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but the shot went high. Marvin Young provided the assist.
41
Update Update
Vito van Crooij from Sparta Rotterdam won a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Kristian Hlynsson of FC Twente.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for FC Twente. Bart van Rooij's left-footed shot from outside the box is close, but it misses. Mats Rots provided the assist.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Sam Lammers of FC Twente.
40
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam won a free kick in defense.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente shot with his right foot from outside the box but missed to the left. Kristian Hlynsson provided the assist.
39
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Marvin Young concedes.
36
Attempt Attempt
Kristian Hlynsson's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Daan Rots provided the assist.
36
Update Update
Offside called against FC Twente. Sam Lammers is offside.
35
Attempt Attempt
Thomas van den Belt from FC Twente hits the bar with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Kristian Hlynsson's header.
34
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Sam Lammers of FC Twente takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Mats Rots.
32
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Thomas van den Belt from FC Twente shot with his right foot from the right side of the box but missed.
31
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Sam Lammers of FC Twente heads the ball from the center of the box, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam saves it in the left corner. The assist came from Sondre Ørjasæter's cross.
31
Attempt Attempt
Ayoni Santos of Sparta Rotterdam has a shot from outside the box with his right foot, but it is blocked. The assist was provided by Tobias Lauritsen.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Ruud Nijstad concedes.
28
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Lauritsen's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Shurandy Sambo.
26
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Teo Quintero concedes.
24
Corner Corner
Stav Lemkin from FC Twente had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Bart van Rooij after a corner.
23
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Ayoni Santos concedes.
19
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Casper Terho replaces Mitchell van Bergen due to injury.
18
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Mitchell van Bergen from Sparta Rotterdam.
17
Update Update
Thomas van den Belt of FC Twente won a free kick in defense.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Marvin Young of Sparta Rotterdam.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marvin Young of Sparta Rotterdam receives a yellow card for a foul.
16
Update Update
Fouled by Bruno Martins Indi of Sparta Rotterdam.
16
Update Update
Sam Lammers of FC Twente won a free kick in an attacking position.
16
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Kristian Hlynsson of FC Twente shoots with his right foot from the center of the box, but Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, saves it in the center of the goal. The assist came from Sondre Ørjasæter.
15
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Bruno Martins Indi.
14
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente commits a foul.
14
Update Update
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam won a free kick on the left wing.
13
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Sam Lammers of FC Twente shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam saves it in the right corner. The assist came from Bart van Rooij's cross.
13
Corner Corner
FC Twente is awarded a corner after Joël Drommel concedes.
10
Corner Corner
Daan Rots of FC Twente makes a header from the center of the box, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam saves it in the top right corner. The assist comes from Ramiz Zerrouki.
10
Update Update
Bart van Rooij's header from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The assist came from Ramiz Zerrouki's cross.
10
Corner Corner
Daan Rots from FC Twente hits the bar with a right-footed shot from a few meters out, assisted by Bart van Rooij following a corner.
9
Corner Corner
FC Twente is awarded a corner after Shurandy Sambo concedes.
8
Update Update
Ayoni Santos of Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
8
Update Update
Thomas van den Belt from FC Twente won a free kick in defense.
6
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Joshua Kitolano concedes.
6
Update Update
Thomas van den Belt from FC Twente won a free kick in an attacking position.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Ayoni Santos of Sparta Rotterdam.
2
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Ørjasæter's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Mats Rots provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

FC Twente's 4-0 triumph exemplified second-half mastery, transforming a level halftime into total control with 57% possession and ruthless finishing. Sparta Rotterdam managed just 43% ball share and failed to score, underscoring their struggles against a resolute defense. Free of red card interruptions, the stronger home team's performance delivered minimal deviation and full alignment with projections. This convincing win bolsters FC Twente's campaign momentum, highlighting tactical discipline and offensive potency for future challenges.

FC Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.