FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Grolsch Veste Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Eredivisie
FC Twente TWE
1 1
NEC Nijmegen NEC
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Sondre Ørjasæter - 10'
Goal
|
Goal
Bryan Linssen - 37'

CONTEXT

FC Twente welcomed NEC Nijmegen to De Grolsch Veste for an Eredivisie clash that concluded in a 1-1 draw. The first half saw both teams score once, with the scoreline even at halftime 1-1. Possession tilted slightly to NEC at 51% against FC Twente's 49%, reflecting a closely fought battle. Deemed the stronger team beforehand, FC Twente pushed for a winner but could not break through NEC's defense in the second half. No red cards were issued, maintaining discipline throughout. The match displayed moderate structural deviation of 8.8% favoring FC Twente, while efficiency stayed in line with expectations. Market alignment held true, underscoring the anticipated parity. This result denies FC Twente a home victory but secures a point for both sides in a competitive league.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.8% structural deviation favoring FC Twente.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing data.
  • Event impact: No key events or second-half adjustments influenced the match.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: W
Ajax Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: W
FC Utrecht Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: W
Feyenoord Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: D
Excelsior Rank: W
SC Heerenveen Rank: D
PSV Rank: W
FC Volendam Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: L
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
4.43%
Draw
91.15%
Away NEC Nijmegen
4.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Twente
-0.5%
Draw
+1.02%
NEC Nijmegen
-0.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.36
33.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
38.36
33.77
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC Twente Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente NEC Nijmegen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

FC Twente

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Twente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NEC Nijmegen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Twente NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Twente NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Twente
NEC Nijmegen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

FC Twente
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Twente NEC Nijmegen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Twente NEC Nijmegen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
FC Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEC had peak pressure around 82'.
  • TWE started the game with stronger pressure.
TWE Pressure NEC Pressure
Pressure Index: NEC reached the top pressure at 82' (78.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
32 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
19
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
19
Goals
73
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
73
+34
Goal Difference
-34

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T18:30:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
L. Unnerstall
Germany
1 L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
Netherlands
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
Israel
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
Substitution
Netherlands
43 R. Nijstad
M. Rots
Netherlands
39 M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
Algeria
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
Substitution
Netherlands
20 T. van den Belt
D. Rots
Substitution
Netherlands
11 D. Rots
K. Hlynsson
Substitution
Iceland
14 K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
Norway
27 S. Ørjasæter
S. Lammers
Substitution
Netherlands
10 S. Lammers
Pitch
G. Crettaz
Argentina
1 G. Crettaz
D. Fonville
Netherlands
24 D. Fonville
B. Nuytinck
Substitution
Netherlands
17 B. Nuytinck
E. Dasa
Israel
14 E. Dasa
N. Lebreton
France
20 N. Lebreton
D. Nejašmić
Croatia
6 D. Nejašmić
P. Sandler
Netherlands
3 P. Sandler
K. Sano
Japan
23 K. Sano
S. Ouaissa
Netherlands
25 S. Ouaissa
B. Linssen
Substitution
Netherlands
30 B. Linssen
T. Chery
Substitution
Suriname
10 T. Chery

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity :
30205
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dyon Fikkert
Halis Murat Kucukerbir
Alex Bos
Joey Kooij

Statistics

Possession
TWE
49%
NEC
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
6 Shots 12
40 Dangerous attacks 68
49 Possession 51
3 Corners 9
16 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

12 Goal Kicks 2
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59
26 Successful Headers 15
20 Throwins 17
11 Dribble Attempts 22
5 Successful Dribbles 13
1 Assists 1
79 Ball Safe 75
8 Goal Attempts 14
4 Substitutions 3
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

113 Attacks 108
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

389 Passes 381
272 Successful Passes 293
77 Long Passes 74
34 Successful Long Passes 35
70 Successful Passes Percentage 77
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
7 Key Passes 14

Defensive

66 Duels Won 43
21 Tackles 9
5 Interceptions 10
5 Saves 6

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 26
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Joey Kooij

Starting XI

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.76
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Defender
6.85
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Defender
7.23
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Defender
6.97
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Defender
6.84
3
Robin Pröpper
Robin Pröpper
Defender66'
6.96
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder
7.15
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Midfielder
7.01
32
Arno Verschueren
Arno Verschueren
Midfielder87'
6.65
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder
7.06
4
Mathias Kjølø
Mathias Kjølø
Midfielder78'
6.58
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Midfielder
6.95
42
Daouda Weidmann
Daouda Weidmann
Midfielder77'
6.81
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder
7.03
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Attacker
7.13
9
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Attacker66'
6.89
Referee : Joey Kooij

Starting XI

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.8
14
Eli Dasa
Eli Dasa Defender
6.66
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck Defender
6.36
71
Dirk Proper
Dirk Proper
Midfielder66'
6.77
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
6.72
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Midfielder
6.56
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
7.08
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
7.08
23
Kodai Sano
Kodai Sano Midfielder
7.08
10
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery Attacker
7.25
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira
Defender90+2'
6.7
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Attacker
7.05
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
7.07
9
Danilo
Danilo
Attacker85'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Brayann Pereira Tjaronn Chery
8th Substitution
Event
Arno Verschueren Daan Rots
7th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Danilo Bryan Linssen
6th Substitution
Event
Mats Rots
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Mathias Kjølø Kristian Hlynsson
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Daouda Weidmann Thomas van den Belt
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Robin Pröpper Ruud Nijstad
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Sam Lammers
3rd Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Dirk Proper Bram Nuytinck
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Bryan Linssen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
26'
Event
Deveron Fonville
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
18'
Event
Noé Lebreton
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Sondre Ørjasæter
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Gonzalo Crettaz concedes.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Dirk Proper of N.E.C.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Brayann Pereira comes on for Tjaronn Chery.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 1-1 between FC Twente and N.E.C.
90
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Danilo concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Robin Pröpper's header from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Gonzalo Crettaz. The assist came from Ramiz Zerrouki's cross.
89
Update Update
Sondre Ørjasæter from FC Twente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Eli Dasa of N.E.C.
87
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Arno Verschueren comes on for Daan Rots.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Danilo comes on for Bryan Linssen.
84
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. hits the bar with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Gonzalo Crettaz.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Lars Unnerstall concedes.
82
Corner Corner
N.E.C. wins a corner after Lars Unnerstall concedes.
80
Attempt Attempt
Eli Dasa from N.E.C. misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high. The shot was assisted by Tjaronn Chery after a set piece situation.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mats Rots from FC Twente receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Mats Rots of FC Twente.
79
Update Update
Sami Ouaissa from N.E.C. wins a free kick on the right wing.
78
Update Update
Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. wins a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Mathias Kjølø comes on for Kristian Hlynsson.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Bart van Rooij of FC Twente.
77
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente wins a free kick on the right wing.
77
Update Update
Foul committed by Deveron Fonville of N.E.C.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Mathias Kjølø comes on for Kristian Hlynsson.
76
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Philippe Sandler's header from very close range is saved in the top left corner by Lars Unnerstall. The cross was assisted by Eli Dasa.
76
Update Update
Kodai Sano from N.E.C. commits a handball.
75
Corner Corner
N.E.C. wins a corner after Mats Rots concedes.
75
Attempt Attempt
Eli Dasa's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Sami Ouaissa provided the assist.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Bryan Linssen of N.E.C.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Stav Lemkin concedes.
73
Attempt Attempt
Darko Nejasmic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
73
Update Update
Thomas van den Belt of FC Twente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Dirk Proper provided the assist.
70
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box.
68
Update Update
Tjaronn Chery of N.E.C. is caught offside.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Daan Rots of FC Twente.
68
Update Update
Deveron Fonville of N.E.C. wins a free kick in the defensive half.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Ricky van Wolfswinkel comes on for Sam Lammers.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Twente: Robin Pröpper comes on for Ruud Nijstad due to an injury.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for N.E.C.: Dirk Proper comes on for Bram Nuytinck.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a concession by Bart van Rooij.
64
Attempt Attempt
Bram Nuytinck's header from the center of the box is saved by Lars Unnerstall in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Tjaronn Chery's cross.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a concession by Bart van Rooij.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Stav Lemkin concedes.
60
Update Update
Foul by Bram Nuytinck of N.E.C.
60
Update Update
Sam Lammers from FC Twente wins a free kick in the attacking half.
58
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Eli Dasa provided the assist.
57
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Daan Rots from FC Twente has a left-footed shot from outside the box that is saved.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Daan Rots concedes.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after Stav Lemkin concedes.
55
Corner Corner
N.E.C. wins a corner after Stav Lemkin concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Eli Dasa provided the assist.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Daan Rots of FC Twente.
52
Update Update
Bryan Linssen wins a free kick for N.E.C. in the defensive half.
50
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
48
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente wins a free kick in the attacking half.
48
Update Update
Stav Lemkin from FC Twente is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Stav Lemkin from FC Twente is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Kodai Sano of N.E.C.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Thomas van den Belt's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Mats Rots provided the assist.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score 1-1 between FC Twente and N.E.C.
45
Corner Corner
FC Twente wins a corner after Noé Lebreton concedes.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between FC Twente and N.E.C.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kodai Sano's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Bryan Linssen of N.E.C.
43
Update Update
Foul by Thomas van den Belt of FC Twente.
41
Attempt Attempt
Kodai Sano of N.E.C. misses a right-footed shot from outside the box to the left, assisted by Sami Ouaissa.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Darko Nejasmic of N.E.C.
40
Update Update
Mats Rots from FC Twente wins a free kick on the left wing.
40
Attempt Attempt
Daan Rots' right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bryan Linssen scores for N.E.C. with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Philippe Sandler. The match is now 1-1.
36
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Lars Unnerstall from FC Twente.
33
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente wins a free kick on the left wing.
33
Update Update
Ramiz Zerrouki from FC Twente wins a free kick on the left wing.
32
Update Update
Sam Lammers from FC Twente wins a free kick in the attacking half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Eli Dasa of N.E.C.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas van den Belt of FC Twente.
31
Update Update
Noé Lebreton from N.E.C. wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Bram Nuytinck of N.E.C.
30
Update Update
Kristian Hlynsson from FC Twente wins a free kick on the right wing.
28
Attempt Attempt
Eli Dasa from N.E.C. misses with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
27
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Sondre Ørjasæter from FC Twente has a left-footed shot from a challenging angle and long range on the right, but it is saved.
26
Update Update
Daan Rots from FC Twente wins a free kick on the right wing.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deveron Fonville of N.E.C. receives a yellow card for a foul.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Deveron Fonville of N.E.C.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deveron Fonville of N.E.C. receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
19
Attempt Attempt
Daan Rots of FC Twente has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved in the center of the goal by Gonzalo Crettaz of N.E.C., with assistance from Sondre Ørjasæter.
18
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Daan Rots from FC Twente.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Noé Lebreton of N.E.C. receives a yellow card for a foul.
18
Update Update
Daan Rots of FC Twente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Noé Lebreton of N.E.C.
15
Corner Corner
Kodai Sano from N.E.C. misses with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to N.E.C. after a concession by Bart van Rooij.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Twente leads 1-0 after Sondre Ørjasæter scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box following a fast break.
8
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery from N.E.C. has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's blocked.
7
Update Update
Mats Rots of FC Twente is caught offside.
6
Attempt Attempt
Daan Rots' left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Daan Rots from FC Twente has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Mats Rots from FC Twente misses a left-footed shot from a tough angle on the left, sending the ball to the right. Sondre Ørjasæter provided the assist.
4
Update Update
Sondre Ørjasæter of FC Twente is caught offside.
3
Update Update
Darko Nejasmic from N.E.C. wins a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Eli Dasa of N.E.C.
1
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Ørjasæter's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
1
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Thomas van den Belt from FC Twente has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is close but goes to the left. He was assisted by Sondre Ørjasæter.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw at home leaves FC Twente frustrated despite their status as the stronger team, as NEC Nijmegen demonstrated stout defending and opportunistic play. Halftime parity at 1-1 set the tone for a second half of few chances, with near-even possession underscoring the balance. Moderate structural deviation of 8.8% hinted at FC Twente's edge, yet efficiency in line with norms and market alignment confirmed the result's foreseeability. Without red cards or disruptions, pure football quality prevailed. Both teams gain a point, but FC Twente may reflect on conversion issues, while NEC celebrates a resilient road result to fuel their campaign.

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