FC København vs Randers FC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Parken Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Superliga
FC København COP
Versus
Randers FC RDF
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Round 10 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Superliga Relegation Round at Parken Stadium, FC København welcomes Randers FC to a pivotal clash in the 2025/2026 season. Sitting 7th in the standings, the hosts wield a commanding 70.31 power score and 11.9-point advantage over the 9th-placed visitors' 58.44 rating. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with København's robust 27.28 contrasting sharply against Randers' faltering 7.83. Parken remains a daunting venue for opponents, amplifying the home side's structural superiority. Both squads fight to solidify their positions away from danger, yet København's higher league placement and power edge suggest dominance. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece xG data, the focus shifts to overarching strengths. Randers faces an uphill battle to disrupt the hosts' rhythm and claim points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC København possesses a structural superiority with a 70.31 power score and 11.9-point edge over Randers FC's 58.44.
  • Form: København's form score of 27.28 vastly outpaces Randers FC's 7.83.
  • Squad: League positions place FC København 7th ahead of Randers FC in 9th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG metrics absent due to unavailable data for both sides.
  • xVariable: Power advantage of 11.9 points heavily favors FC København.
  • Market: FC København 60.6% (Δ+0.4%) | Draw 21.9% (Δ+-0%) | Randers FC 17.5% (Δ-0.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
VS
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 W
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Odense BK Rank: 58 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Randers FC Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 L
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Odense BK Rank: 58 L
FC København Rank: 70 L
35
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
35 - 9 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC København
60.59%
Draw
21.88%
Away Randers FC
17.53%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC København
+0.35%
Draw
-0.02%
Randers FC
-0.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.31
58.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC København
Randers FC
Power Score
70.31
58.44
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
200
546

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC København Randers FC

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 57 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC København COP Home
57 matches
Randers FC RDF Away
Match Record
35
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
35
Goals
106
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
106
+57
Goal Difference
-57

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:03:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Kotarski
1 D. Kotarski
G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
5 G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
J. Suzuki
20 J. Suzuki
A. Ulineia Buta
17 A. Ulineia Buta
M. Madsen
21 M. Madsen
T. Delaney
27 T. Delaney
M. López Lanfranco
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Elyounoussi
10 M. Elyounoussi
V. Dadason
39 V. Dadason
M. Achouri
30 M. Achouri
Pitch
P. Izzo
1 P. Izzo
N. Dyhr
44 N. Dyhr
W. Dammers
4 W. Dammers
D. Høegh
3 D. Høegh
L. Lissens
2 L. Lissens
L. Raun Pedersen
8 L. Raun Pedersen
W. Caddy
10 W. Caddy
M. Sjølstad
15 M. Sjølstad
M. Greve
17 M. Greve
E. Mahmoud
11 E. Mahmoud
T. Klidje
30 T. Klidje

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Parken
Capacity :
38065
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jens Grabski Maae
Martin Markus
Deniz Yurdakul
Mathias Lykke

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jens Grabski Maae

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.82
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta Midfielder
6.3
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Midfielder
7.1
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Attacker
7.27
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri Attacker
6.87
39
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
Viktor Bjarki Dadason Centre Forward
6.81
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Right Back
7.11
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Left Back
6.96
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Central Midfield
6.89
25
Zanka
Zanka Centre Back
6.89
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney Central Midfield
6.74
Referee : Jens Grabski Maae

Starting XI ▼

1
Paul Izzo
Paul Izzo Goalkeeper
6.98
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé Centre Forward
6.66
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Right Back
6.69
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Right Back
7.07
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Defensive Midfield
6.65
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers Left Back
7.13
10
Warren Caddy
Warren Caddy Defensive Midfield
6.69
15
M. Sjølstad
M. Sjølstad Left Wing
6.5
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Attacking Midfield
7.1
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr Left Back
6.69
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Right Wing
7.15

CONCLUSION

FC København enters this Relegation Round fixture at Parken with compelling advantages in power rating, form, and league position over Randers FC. The 11.9-point gap underscores their edge, positioning the hosts to control possession and chances. Randers struggles with inferior metrics across the board, facing a tough test away from home. While gaps in set-piece and efficiency insights limit granular analysis, broader trends point decisively toward a København triumph. Expect the 7th-placed side to leverage Parken's atmosphere for a convincing performance and vital points in the survival scrap.

FC København vs Randers FC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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