FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Match is finished. FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The result saw FC Augsburg take the points. FC Augsburg showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 38%–62%.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Result exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.4% in favor of FC Augsburg.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
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Market alignment: Final outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from absent data.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
T. Reichel
Other match officials
C. Bandurski
1st Assistant
M. Unger
2nd Assistant
M. Eckermann
4th Official
League averages
Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Team Power Ranking
i
78.93
76.25
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
FC Augsburg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BMG had peak pressure around 98'.
- FCA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:02:15+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


FC Augsburg
vs
FC Union Berlin
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei


Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
TSG Hoffenheim
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Venue: Stadion im Borussia-Park
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
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Match Commentary