FC Andorra vs Málaga Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Nou Estadi a Encamp Wed, 1 Apr - 5:00 PM

La Liga 2

FC Andorra AND

3 – 3

Málaga MLA

Full Time Wed, 1 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Lautaro de León - 80'

Josep Cerdà - 57', 51'

Javi Montero - 82'

Eneko Jauregi - 45+4' (P)

Diego Murillo - 22'

CONTEXT

The match between FC Andorra and Málaga has officially finished, ending in a high-scoring 3-3 draw. Málaga initially took control, securing a 2-0 lead by halftime, but the hosts mounted a strong second-half comeback to split the points. FC Andorra heavily dictated the flow of play, maintaining 67% possession while restricting Málaga to just 33% of the ball. Unfortunately, expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both sides, so it cannot be determined whether the final scoreline directly aligned with the underlying chances created. The overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with general expectations, and neither team suffered from any red card dismissals throughout the contest. Ultimately, the 3-3 outcome failed to align with the pre-match market. The odds initially favored the home side with a 47.8% probability of winning, compared to a 26.6% chance for a draw and just a 25.6% likelihood of an away victory. By unexpectedly securing a point despite less possession, Málaga acted as the deviation team, triggering a significant deviation level of 73.4% to successfully frustrate the pre-match expectations.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Málaga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Ojaos Valera

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. García Andreu

1st Assistant

B. Jiménez Contreras

2nd Assistant

P. Gòdia Solé

4th Official

C. Manso Rubio

J. Funes Arjona

1.09

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.87

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

FC Andorra

47.81%

Draw

26.64%

Málaga

25.55%

Team Power Ranking

56.97

68.14

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

FC Andorra

Málaga

Power Score

56.97

68.14

League Position

Global Rank

409

226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score

Málaga — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra Málaga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Málaga

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Málaga

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

33.21

40.61

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

40.61

33.21

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

FC Andorra -0.75 Efficiency Index

Málaga +0.75 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

FC Andorra

Málaga

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Málaga

Created Set-piece attacking threat

FC Andorra Málaga

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

FC Andorra Málaga

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

FC Andorra

Málaga

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home

3 matches

Málaga MLA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-02T00:00:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-4-2

13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng

17 T. Carrique

4 G. Alonso Moreno

23 D. Alende López

19 I. García de Albéniz Crecente

8 E. Akman

18 M. Costa

6 D. Villahermosa Martínez

11 L. De León Billar

3 Y. Cabanzón de Arriba

21 J. Cerdà Amengual

1 A. Herrero Peinador

31 R. Garrido Hierro

20 F. Montero Rubio

16 D. Murillo Dominguez

2 J. Gabilondo Garmendia

11 J. Muñoz Benavides

22 D. Lorenzo Guerrero

23 I. Merino Rodríguez

24 J. Lobete Cienfuegos

17 E. Jauregi Escobar

37 R. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 01, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Nou Estadi a Encamp

Capacity :

5500

Attendance :

1722

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Christian García Andreu

Borja Jiménez Contreras

Pol Gòdia Solé

Statistics

Possession

AND

62%

MLA

38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3

4 Big Chances Created 6

7 Shots 10

65 Dangerous attacks 28

67 Possession 33

8 Corners 5

16 Free kicks 16

4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 12

56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35

10 Successful Dribbles 6

16 Throwins 16

0 Penalties 1

104 Ball Safe 85

12 Goal Attempts 10

1 Assists 2

18 Dribble Attempts 17

4 Substitutions 5

0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

117 Attacks 68

1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 76

511 Successful Passes 223

591 Passes 292

56 Long Passes 59

30 Successful Long Passes 31

14 Key Passes 10

54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

53 Duels Won 45

7 Interceptions 10

19 Tackles 11

3 Saves 5

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 11

2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

4 Offsides 0

17 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Manager ▼

C. Manso Rubio Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jesús Owono Goalkeeper

Gael Alonso Defender

Thomas Carrique Defender

Imanol García de Albéniz Defender

Martí Vilà

Defender46'

Diego Alende Defender

Dani Villahermosa Midfielder

Efe Akman Midfielder

Théo Le Normand

Midfielder81'

Marc Doménech Midfielder

Yeray Cabanzón Attacker

Jastin Garcia

Attacker69'

Lautaro de León Attacker

Josep Cerdà Attacker

Manu Nieto

Attacker69'

Substitutes ▼

Martí Vilà

Defender46'

Manu Nieto

Attacker69'

Jastin Garcia

Attacker69'

Théo Le Normand

Midfielder81'

Bench ▼

Nico Ratti Goalkeeper

Álex Petxarroman Defender

Marc Bombardó Defender

Álvaro Martín Midfielder

Aingeru Olabarrieta Attacker

Marc Cardona Attacker

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera