FC Andorra vs Las Palmas Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi a Encamp Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
FC Andorra AND
5 Winner 1
Las Palmas LPA
Full Time Sun, 10 May 12:00 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
Marc Cardona - 87'
Manu Nieto - 81'
Efe Akman - 78'
Mika Mármol - 64' (Own Goal)
Théo Le Normand - 35'
Goal
|
Goal
Jesé - 19' (P)

CONTEXT

FC Andorra secured a decisive 5-1 home win against pre-designated stronger team Las Palmas, overturning expectations in a match that was tied 1-1 at halftime. Andorra controlled 60% of possession compared to Las Palmas' 40%, which translated into four second-half goals after the break. No red cards were issued, maintaining an uninterrupted flow and allowing Andorra's superiority to shine through. The result exhibited a significant 64.5% structural deviation favoring FC Andorra from pre-match assessments. Efficiency metrics for both teams aligned with standard expectations, though detailed xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. This outcome demonstrated Andorra's ability to capitalize on territorial dominance post-interval, transforming a balanced first half into a one-sided affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Andorra's 5-1 victory showed a 64.5% significant deviation from pre-match structural expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment with final score.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of data.
  • Event impact: No major events like second-half adjustments altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Muñiz Muñoz

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Gordillo Escamilla

4th Official

Spain

F. Estela Bravo

1st Assistant

Spain

B. García Valín

2nd Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.96
Yellow cards / match 4.85
Red cards / match 0.28
Penalties / match 0.34
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
VS
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.72
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: 65 L
Leganés Rank: 65 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 W
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Racing Santander Rank: 72 W
Málaga Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Leganés Rank: 65 W
Málaga Rank: 70 L
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Granada Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Andorra
35.47%
Draw
29.07%
Away Las Palmas
35.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Andorra
-58.82%
Draw
+24.54%
Las Palmas
+34.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.01
62.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Power Score
61.01
62.76
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
266
213

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra Las Palmas

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.42
24.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.50
34.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Andorra +1.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Las Palmas -1.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Andorra Las Palmas
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Andorra Las Palmas
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Andorra
vs
Las Palmas
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Andorra Las Palmas
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Andorra 0.58
Las Palmas 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Andorra Las Palmas
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Andorra 0.03
Las Palmas 0.15
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AND had peak pressure around 92'.
  • AND started the game with stronger pressure.
AND Pressure LPA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AND reached the top pressure at 92' (69.24).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home
3 matches
Las Palmas LPA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
Spain
2 Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
M. Bombardó Poyato
Spain
5 M. Bombardó Poyato
D. Alende López
Substitution
Spain
23 D. Alende López
M. Vilà García
Spain
20 M. Vilà García
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
E. Akman
Türkiye
8 E. Akman
M. Nieto Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
9 M. Nieto Sánchez
T. Le Normand
Substitution
France
24 T. Le Normand
J. Cerdà Amengual
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
Pitch
D. Horkaš
Croatia
1 D. Horkaš
E. Clemente Maza
Spain
5 E. Clemente Maza
M. Marmol Medina
Spain
3 M. Marmol Medina
J. Herzog
Spain
15 J. Herzog
V. Álvarez Rozada
Spain
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
E. Pedrola Fortuny
Substitution
Spain
39 E. Pedrola Fortuny
K. Rodríguez Concepción
Spain
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
L. Amatucci
Italy
16 L. Amatucci
T. Miyashiro
Substitution
Japan
18 T. Miyashiro
M. Fuster Lázaro
Substitution
Spain
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
Spain
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nou Estadi a Encamp
Capacity :
5500
Attendance :
3131
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
J. Gordillo Escamilla
Fernando Estela Bravo
Brais García Valín

Statistics

Possession
AND
59%
LPA
41%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 1
8 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 4
33 Dangerous attacks 36
60 Possession 40
3 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

18 Dribble Attempts 15
8 Goal Kicks 7
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
10 Successful Dribbles 3
9 Throwins 21
0 Penalties 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
3 Assists 0
66 Ball Safe 66
5 Substitutions 4
14 Goal Attempts 9
2 Injuries 1

Attacking

95 Attacks 63
5 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

473 Passes 314
49 Long Passes 49
23 Successful Long Passes 19
412 Successful Passes 237
87 Successful Passes Percentage 75
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
14 Key Passes 5

Defensive

50 Duels Won 43
10 Interceptions 10
21 Tackles 17
3 Saves 5

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 12
7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
2
Álex Petxarroman
Álex Petxarroman Defender
5
Marc Bombardó
Marc Bombardó Defender
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà Defender
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende Defender
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso
Defender82'
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
14
Sergio Molina
Sergio Molina
Midfielder82'
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman Midfielder
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto Attacker
22
Marc Cardona
Marc Cardona
Attacker86'
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim
Attacker82'
24
Théo Le Normand
Théo Le Normand Attacker
3
Yeray Cabanzón
Yeray Cabanzón
Attacker62'
Referee : Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Defender
15
Juanma Herzog
Juanma Herzog Defender
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Defender
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park
Defender68'
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Midfielder
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Midfielder
22
Ale García
Ale García
Midfielder57'
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacker
49
Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo
Attacker68'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Marc Cardona
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
87'
Event
Marc Cardona → Manu Nieto
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Min-su Kim → Josep Cerdà
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Gael Alonso → Diego Alende
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Sergio Molina → Dani Villahermosa
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Manu Nieto
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
81'
Event
Efe Akman
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
78'
70'
Event
Iván Gil → Ale García
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Marvin Park → Taisei Miyashiro
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Iker Bravo → Manu Fuster
3rd Substitution
Event
Mika Mármol
Header / 1st Own Goal
64'
Event
Yeray Cabanzón → Théo Le Normand
2nd Substitution
62'
57'
Event
Ale García → Estanis Pedrola
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Mika Mármol
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Théo Le Normand
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
35'
19'
Event
Jesé
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo Amatucci takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Iker Bravo Solanilla takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Iker Bravo Solanilla takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Marc Cardona with his left foot results in a goal.
86
Update Update
Marc Cardona is on, and Manuel Nieto is off.
82
Update Update
Minsu Kim comes on for Josep Cerda.
82
Update Update
Sergio Molina comes on for Daniel Villahermosa.
82
Update Update
Gael Alonso replaces Diego Alende Lopez.
81
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto scores with a left-footed shot.
81
Attempt Attempt
Yeray Cabanzon de Arriba takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
Attempt Attempt
Josep Cerda takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Efe Akman scores with a right-footed shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Ivan Gil is on, and Alejandro Garcia Mejias is off.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Taisei Miyashiro is off, and Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park is on.
67
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal! Mika Marmol scores, making it 2-1.
62
Update Update
Yeray Cabanzon de Arriba comes on for Theo Le Normand.
58
Attempt Attempt
Efe Akman's right-footed shot is saved.
57
Update Update
Alejandro Garcia Mejias is on, and Estanis Pedrola is off.
55
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Efe Akman's right-footed shot is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Fuster takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Marc Domenech takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Marc Domenech takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Theo Le Normand attempts a header but misses the shot.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mika Marmol receives a yellow card.
39
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Theo Le Normand takes a left-footed shot and scores.
34
Attempt Attempt
Enrique Clemente's left-footed shot is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
27
Attempt Attempt
Theo Le Normand takes a header shot but misses.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jese Rodriguez Ruiz scores, making it 0-1.
11
Attempt Attempt
Theo Le Normand attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Diego Alende Lopez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion with his right foot is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Jese Rodriguez Ruiz takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

FC Andorra's 5-1 triumph over Las Palmas highlighted a remarkable second-half turnaround from a 1-1 halftime deadlock, leveraging 60% possession into clinical finishing. As the pre-match stronger side, Las Palmas faltered without red card excuses, exposing defensive frailties. The significant 64.5% deviation underscores Andorra's execution edge, with efficiencies holding steady. Without xG details, the scoreline stands as a testament to sustained pressure yielding results, exemplifying football's volatility where possession converts decisively post-interval.

FC Andorra vs Las Palmas preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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