FC Andorra vs Ceuta Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi a Encamp Sun, 24 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
FC Andorra AND
0 Winner 2
Ceuta Ceuta
Full Time Sun, 24 May 2:15 PM
Round 41 Regular Season
|
Goal
Aboubacar Bassinga - 66'
Martí Vilà - 12' (Own Goal)
Álex Petxarroman 9' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

FC Andorra hosted Ceuta in a match that concluded with a 0-2 scoreline. The home side held a slight possession advantage at 51 percent compared to the visitors 49 percent. Ceuta took the lead before halftime with the score at 0-1. In the second half a red card was issued to FC Andorra which altered the dynamics on the field. Ceuta maintained their advantage and added a second goal to secure the victory. The stronger designated team FC Andorra was unable to overcome the numerical disadvantage. The outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations in a minimal deviation scenario. Ceuta emerged as the winner despite the pre-match assessment favoring the home side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Possession remained nearly balanced at 51 percent for FC Andorra and 49 percent for Ceuta.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with overall performance indicators throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment with actual score could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with pre-match expectations at a minimal deviation level.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were recorded for either side in this fixture.
  • Event impact: The match ended 0-2 after Ceuta scored once in each half against FC Andorra.
  • Red card distortion: A single red card issued to the home side in the second half influenced subsequent play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Ojaos Valera

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. García Andreu

1st Assistant

Spain

B. Jiménez Contreras

2nd Assistant

Spain

A. Ramo Andrés

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.1
Yellow cards / match 4.92
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.31
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
VS
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 69 L
Las Palmas Rank: 71 W
Albacete Rank: 65 L
Leganés Rank: 62 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 W
Cádiz Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 70 L
Castellón Rank: 68 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Racing Santander Rank: 72 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Andorra
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Ceuta
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.76
57.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Andorra
Ceuta
Power Score
59.76
57.53
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
312
406

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra Ceuta

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ceuta

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ceuta
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.16
11.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.84
27.16
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Andorra +1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Ceuta -1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Ceuta
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ceuta
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Andorra Ceuta
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Andorra Ceuta
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Ceuta
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Andorra
vs
Ceuta
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Andorra Ceuta
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Andorra 0.19
Ceuta 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Andorra Ceuta
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Andorra 0.06
Ceuta 0.00
FC Andorra
Ceuta
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Ceuta had peak pressure around 71'.
  • AND started the game with stronger pressure.
AND Pressure Ceuta Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Ceuta reached the top pressure at 71' (73.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home
1 matches
Ceuta Ceuta Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:02:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
K. Ratti Fredes
Substitution
Argentina
1 (C) K. Ratti Fredes
Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
Spain
2 Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
G. Alonso Moreno
Spain
4 G. Alonso Moreno
M. Vilà García
Spain
20 M. Vilà García
T. Carrique
France
17 T. Carrique
E. Akman
Türkiye
8 E. Akman
M. Costa
Substitution
Spain
18 M. Costa
A. Calvo Mata
Substitution
Spain
7 A. Calvo Mata
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
M. Cardona Rovira
Substitution
Spain
22 M. Cardona Rovira
J. Cerdà Amengual
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
Pitch
P. López Galisteo
Spain
1 (C) P. López Galisteo
D. González Cabanes
Substitution
Spain
15 D. González Cabanes
Y. Cantero Pérez
Spain
24 Y. Cantero Pérez
A. Caparrós Guzmán
Spain
4 A. Caparrós Guzmán
A. Ahmed Ahmed
Substitution
Spain
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
A. Tuhami
Morocco
23 A. Tuhami
J. López Pérez
Substitution
Spain
30 J. López Pérez
M. Illescas Montaño
Spain
12 M. Illescas Montaño
A. Betancourt Perez
Substitution
Spain
34 A. Betancourt Perez
J. Zalazar Martínez
Spain
8 J. Zalazar Martínez
A. Bassinga
Substitution
26 A. Bassinga

General Information

Date & Time :
May 24, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nou Estadi a Encamp
Capacity :
5500
Attendance :
2121
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Christian García Andreu
Borja Jiménez Contreras
A. Ramo Andrés

Statistics

Possession
AND
53%
Ceuta
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
11 Shots 4
57 Dangerous attacks 36
51 Possession 49
2 Corners 0
20 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0
6 Goal Attempts 3
5 Goal Kicks 7
59 Ball Safe 61
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
17 Throwins 19
12 Successful Dribbles 8
27 Dribble Attempts 20
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

99 Attacks 71

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 17
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
408 Passes 385
361 Successful Passes 332
39 Long Passes 42
88 Successful Passes Percentage 86
8 Key Passes 2

Defensive

52 Duels Won 49
17 Tackles 24
9 Interceptions 7
0 Saves 2

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 3
14 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

14 Fouls 20
4 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Starting XI ▼

1
Nico Ratti
Nico Ratti (C) Goalkeeper
5.7
13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono
Goalkeeper46'
6.45
2
Álex Petxarroman
Álex Petxarroman Defender
5.01
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso Defender
6.62
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà Defender
6.44
7
Álex Calvo
Álex Calvo Midfielder
7.04
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim
Attacker72'
6.59
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman Midfielder
6.94
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique Midfielder
7.21
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
6.47
10
Álvaro Martín
Álvaro Martín
Midfielder86'
6.5
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Attacker
6.66
11
Lautaro de León
Lautaro de León
Attacker72'
6.22
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
7.1
22
Marc Cardona
Marc Cardona Attacker
6.41
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker31'
7.03
Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Starting XI ▼

1
Pedro López
Pedro López (C) Goalkeeper
6.81
4
Albert Caparrós
Albert Caparrós Defender
7.45
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Defender
6.42
2
Manu Sánchez
Manu Sánchez
Defender89'
15
Diego González
Diego González Defender
6.81
25
Salvi
Salvi
Attacker82'
6.53
24
Yago Cantero
Yago Cantero Defender
7.38
12
Marino Illescas
Marino Illescas Midfielder
6.76
23
Anuar
Anuar Midfielder
6.62
30
Josema
Josema Midfielder
6.8
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández
Defender82'
6.52
8
Kuki Zalazar
Kuki Zalazar Attacker
6.35
26
Aboubacar Bassinga
Aboubacar Bassinga Attacker
7.42
19
Rubén Díez
Rubén Díez
Attacker68'
6.87
34
Arick Betancourt
Arick Betancourt Attacker
7.05
—
Arick Betancourt
89'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gael Alonso
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+7'
89'
Event
Manu Sánchez → Aisar Ahmed
9th Substitution
89'
Event
→ Arick Betancourt
10th Substitution
Event
Álvaro Martín → Marc Doménech
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Thomas Carrique
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
83'
82'
Event
Carlos Hernández → Josema
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Salvi → Diego González
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Josema
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Kuki Zalazar
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Lautaro de León → Dani Villahermosa
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Min-su Kim → Álex Calvo
4th Substitution
72'
70'
Event
Aboubacar Bassinga
Goal confirmed
68'
Event
Rubén Díez → Aboubacar Bassinga
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Aboubacar Bassinga
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Martí Vilà
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Jesús Owono → Nico Ratti
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Manu Nieto → Marc Cardona
1st Substitution
31'
22'
Event
Aisar Ahmed
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
12'
Event
Martí Vilà
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Álex Petxarroman
Foul / 1st Redcard
9'
Event
Dani Villahermosa
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
8'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Min-su Kim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Josep Cerda takes a shot with his head but misses.
89
Substitution Substitution
Adrian Rueda is substituted for Aisar Ahmed.
86
Update Update
Alvaro Martin de Frias comes on for Marc Domenech.
82
Update Update
Salvi Sanchez comes on for Diego Gonzalez.
82
Update Update
Carlos Hernandez Alarcon is on, and Josema is off.
82
Update Update
Salvi Sanchez replaces Arick Betancourt.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Josema receives a yellow card.
79
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro de León's right-footed shot is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Diez Adan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Minsu Kim replaces Alejandro Calvo.
72
Update Update
Lautaro de León is on, and Daniel Marti Vila Garcia Almosa is off.
70
Update Update
The VAR decision confirms the goal by Aboubacar Bassinga.
68
Update Update
Ruben Diez Adan comes on for Aboubacar Bassinga.
66
Attempt Attempt
Aboubacar Bassinga scores with a left-footed shot.
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Daniel Marti Vila Garcia, but it's blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Marc Domenech takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
Jesus Owono comes on for Kevin Nicolas Ratti Fredes.
41
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Carrique takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Update Update
Manuel Nieto comes on for Marc Cardona.
27
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Carrique's left-footed shot is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Marti Vila Garcia's right-footed shot missed the target.
21
Attempt Attempt
Diego Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Efe Akman's left-footed shot is blocked.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Marti Vila Garcia makes it 0-1.
11
Attempt Attempt
Marino Illescas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Alexander Petxarroman.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Villahermosa receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

The contest between FC Andorra and Ceuta produced a clear away victory at the full time score of 0-2. Halftime stood at 0-1 after Ceuta opened the scoring. A red card to the home team created a numerical imbalance that limited further opportunities for FC Andorra. Possession figures stayed close yet failed to translate into goals for the stronger designated side. The result followed the pattern of minimal deviation from established expectations. Ceuta capitalized on the second half circumstances to double their lead and close out the match. Analysis shows the event sequence remained consistent with available performance indicators without reliance on unavailable metrics. The outcome reflected the impact of the disciplinary event on overall structure.

FC Andorra vs Ceuta preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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