Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Vefa Stadı Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Versus
Alanyaspor ANY
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fatih Karagümrük host Alanyaspor at Vefa Stadı in a pivotal Super Lig regular season fixture of the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side, mired in 17th place, seek vital points to escape relegation peril, facing 10th-placed visitors who boast superior league standing. Power ratings underline Alanyaspor's edge at 69.31 against Karagümrük's 56.18, a clear 13.1-point advantage highlighting their structural strength. Yet, form scores favor the hosts with 21.5 to Alanyaspor's 12.11, hinting at recent resilience amid struggles. No recent outings provide direct context, leaving focus on broader metrics. Set piece data remains elusive, with low-confidence proxies and absent xG metrics for both attacks and defenses. Domestic positions reflect Alanyaspor's consistency, but Karagümrük's home ground could level the field in this tense matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Alanyaspor possess a 13.1-point power advantage over Fatih Karagümrük with scores of 69.31 to 56.18.
  • Form: Fatih Karagümrük hold a higher form score of 21.5 compared to Alanyaspor's 12.11.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or lineups available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with no xG data available for both teams' attacks and defenses.
  • xVariable: xG metrics absent, relying on low-confidence proxy data for set pieces.
  • Market: Fatih Karagümrük 35% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Alanyaspor 36.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
VS
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 D
Eyüpspor Rank: 66 L
Konyaspor Rank: 71 L
Rizespor Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: 63 W
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 D
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fatih Karagümrük
34.96%
Draw
28.42%
Away Alanyaspor
36.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.18
69.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
Power Score
56.18
69.31
League Position
17
10
Global Rank
379
228

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fatih Karagümrük Alanyaspor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Home
9 matches
Alanyaspor ANY Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
9
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:07:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Bekleviç
99 F. Bekleviç
R. Sousa Esgaio
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
D. Biraschi
4 D. Biraschi
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
Ç. Kurukalıp
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
W. Shavy
80 W. Shavy
B. Elmaz
6 B. Elmaz
C. Kranevitter
5 C. Kranevitter
S. Da Luiz Junior
70 S. Da Luiz Junior
B. Özcan
8 B. Özcan
T. Cukur
21 T. Cukur
Pitch
P. de Mileo Vidotti
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
B. Willemen Da Silva
30 B. Willemen Da Silva
F. Aliti
5 F. Aliti
F. Aksoy
20 F. Aksoy
E. Keskin
8 E. Keskin
N. Janvier
17 N. Janvier
G. Makouta
42 G. Makouta
F. Hadërgjonaj
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
İ. Kaya
27 İ. Kaya
U. Hwang
16 U. Hwang
M. Elia
12 M. Elia

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Vefa Stadı
Capacity :
6500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

99
Furkan Bekleviç
Furkan Bekleviç Goalkeeper
6.73
70
Serginho
Serginho Midfielder
6.82
80
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka Midfielder
6.68
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Attacker
6.69
21
Tiago Çukur
Tiago Çukur Attacker
6.74
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Çağtay Kurukalıp Left Back
6.78
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Left Back
6.91
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Right Back
6.57
5
Matías Kranevitter
Matías Kranevitter Central Midfield
6.59
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Central Midfield
6.82
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Right Back
6.57

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.82
8
Enes Keskin
Enes Keskin Midfielder
6.69
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.11
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Centre Forward
6.83
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia Attacker
6.66
27
İbrahim Kaya
İbrahim Kaya Attacker
6.82
20
Fatih Aksoy
Fatih Aksoy Right Back
6.64
30
Bruno Viana
Bruno Viana Left Back
6.71
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti Centre Back
6.92
17
Nicolas Janvier
Nicolas Janvier Central Midfield
6.89
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Central Midfield
6.73

CONCLUSION

Alanyaspor arrive as the structurally stronger side with a notable power edge and better league position, positioning them to control proceedings at Vefa Stadı. However, Fatih Karagümrük's superior form score suggests potential for a gritty home performance to counter the visitors' quality. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece differentiators, the contest balances underlying strength against recent momentum. Hosts must harness crowd energy to disrupt Alanyaspor's rhythm, while the away team eyes clinical execution. This baseline split indicates a razor-thin margin, promising a fiercely contested Super Lig battle with no clear dominance.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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