Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Mon, 13 Apr - 5:00 PM

Super Lig

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor

Samsunspor Samsunspor

Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 29 Regular Season

Metehan Altunbaş - 45+2' (P)

Afonso Sousa - 90+4'

Marius Mouandilmadji - 76'

Denis Radu 61'

CONTEXT

The match between Eyüpspor and Samsunspor is finished, with a full-time score of 1-2. The home side led 1-0 at half-time but could not hold off a second-half response from the visitors, who completed a comeback victory. Pre-match expectations positioned Samsunspor as the stronger team. The result represented a significant deviation for Samsunspor, who overcame an early deficit despite the imbalance. Samsunspor controlled 70 percent possession to Eyüpspor’s 30 percent, though no expected goals data was available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the final outcome aligned with the pre-match projection for the away side. A red card to Eyüpspor created clear distortion in the second half, altering the dynamic as Samsunspor pressed forward and turned the contest in their favor. This event proved decisive in shaping the result.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Samsunspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

Y. Kol

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Altay

1st Assistant

T. Doman

4th Official

S. Şenöz

2nd Assistant

A. Gerin

T. Fink

0.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.15

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Eyüpspor

22.93%

Draw

27.26%

Samsunspor

49.8%

Movement

Changes since opening

Eyüpspor

+22.74%

Draw

+24.88%

Samsunspor

-47.63%

Team Power Ranking

15.54

22.21

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Eyüpspor

Samsunspor

Power Score

15.54

22.21

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eyüpspor Samsunspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Samsunspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Samsunspor

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

34.67

24.21

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.21

34.67

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Eyüpspor +1.05 Efficiency Index

Samsunspor -1.05 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Eyüpspor

Samsunspor

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Samsunspor

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Eyüpspor Samsunspor

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Eyüpspor Samsunspor

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Eyüpspor

Samsunspor

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Eyüpspor

Samsunspor

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Eyüpspor Samsunspor

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Eyüpspor Samsunspor

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Eyüpspor

Samsunspor

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Samsunspor had peak pressure around 82'.
Eyüpspor started the game with stronger pressure.

Eyüpspor Pressure Samsunspor Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Samsunspor reached the top pressure at 82' (78.87).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Home

3 matches

Samsunspor Samsunspor Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 M. de Freitas Monteiro

17 T. Ulvan

4 L. Claro dos Santos

16 S. Yaşar

77 C. Meraş

2 L. Calegari

20 M. Łęgowski

55 B. Gezek

22 D. Radu

15 C. Raux Yao

26 M. Altunbaş

1 O. Kocuk

17 L. Tómasson

4 R. van Drongelen

55 Y. Cift

2 J. Wooding Mendes

10 J. Ntcham

29 A. Makoumbou

20 Y. Kayan

19 P. Ndiaye

9 M. Mouandilmadji

11 E. Kılınç

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 13, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 29 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Capacity :

14234

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Selahattin Altay

Turgut Doman

Yasin Kol

Selim Şenöz

Statistics

Possession

Eyüpspor

35%

Samsunspor

65%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 1

9 Shots 13

28 Dangerous attacks 79

30 Possession 70

2 Corners 7

13 Free kicks 11

5 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

11 Dribble Attempts 13

16 Throwins 24

8 Successful Dribbles 6

73 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46

74 Ball Safe 86

3 Goal Attempts 5

13 Successful Headers 17

7 Goal Kicks 3

1 Penalties 0

1 Hit Woodwork 0

1 Injuries 0

4 Substitutions 4

0 Assists 2

Attacking

59 Attacks 133

Possession

72 Successful Passes Percentage 90

190 Successful Passes 545

47 Long Passes 48

17 Successful Long Passes 32

265 Passes 605

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

5 Key Passes 11

Defensive

46 Duels Won 46

13 Tackles 12

8 Interceptions 7

2 Saves 0

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 32

3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

11 Fouls 14

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Yasin Kol

Manager ▼

A. Gerin Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marcos Felipe Goalkeeper

6.94

Luccas Claro Defender

6.75

Anıl Yaşar Defender

6.42

Talha Ülvan Defender

6.77

Umut Meraş Defender

6.68

Calegari Midfielder

6.77

Ángel Torres

Attacker75'

6.72

Mateusz Legowski Midfielder

6.57

Taşkın İlter

Midfielder84'

6.68

Denis Radu Midfielder

6.57

Baran Gezek Midfielder

6.81

Charles-Andre Raux Yao Attacker

6.68

Lenny Pintor

Attacker78'

6.76

Metehan Altunbaş Attacker

6.86

Abdou Khadre Sy

Attacker84'

6.58

Substitutes ▼

Ángel Torres

Attacker75'

6.72

Lenny Pintor

Attacker78'

6.76

Taşkın İlter

Midfielder84'

6.68

Abdou Khadre Sy

Attacker84'

6.58

Bench ▼

Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper

7.12

Diabel Ndoye Defender

Berhan Kutlay Şatlı Defender

Jérôme Onguene Defender

6.62

A. Yavuz Defender

6.93

Ismaïla Manga Midfielder

6.44

Referee : Yasin Kol