Eyüpspor vs Rizespor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Eyüp Stadı Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
4 Winner 0
Rizespor Rizespor
Full Time Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Emre Akbaba - 88'
Calegari - 45'
Metehan Altunbaş - 29'
Umut Bozok - 18' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Eyüpspor 4–0 Rizespor. The result saw Eyüpspor take the points. Eyüpspor showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Eyüpspor led 3-0 at halftime and extended to 4-0 final, showing minimal structural deviation of 2.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies were in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable xG data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unmeasurable without provided xG values.
  • Event impact: No impactful events occurred, with empty second-half adjustments and no knockout tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Meler

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Sesigüzel

1st Assistant

Türkiye

A. Özkara

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

R. Coşkunses

4th Official

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.4
Yellow cards / match 4.22
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.32
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
VS
Rizespor R. Uçar
R. Uçar
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: 63 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: 71 W
Kayserispor Rank: 61 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 63 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Eyüpspor
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Rizespor
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.32
69.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eyüpspor
Rizespor
Power Score
64.32
69.58
League Position
14
8
Global Rank
351
219

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eyüpspor Rizespor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rizespor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rizespor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Eyüpspor Rizespor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Rizespor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Rizespor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Eyüpspor
vs
Rizespor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Eyüpspor Rizespor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Eyüpspor 0.00
Rizespor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Rizespor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Eyüpspor 0.00
Rizespor 0.00
Eyüpspor
Rizespor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Eyüpspor had peak pressure around 20'.
  • Rizespor started the game with stronger pressure.
Eyüpspor Pressure Rizespor Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Eyüpspor reached the top pressure at 20' (71.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Home
3 matches
Rizespor Rizespor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T16:30:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Yılmaz
Türkiye
24 J. Yılmaz
L. Calegari
Substitution
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
B. Özyurt
Türkiye
5 B. Özyurt
L. Claro dos Santos
Brazil
4 L. Claro dos Santos
C. Meraş
Türkiye
77 C. Meraş
T. İlter
Substitution
Azerbaijan
28 T. İlter
D. Radu
Substitution
Romania
22 D. Radu
M. Łęgowski
Substitution
Poland
20 M. Łęgowski
B. Gezek
Türkiye
55 B. Gezek
M. Altunbaş
Substitution
Türkiye
26 M. Altunbaş
U. Bozok
Türkiye
19 U. Bozok
Pitch
Y. Fofana
France
75 Y. Fofana
C. Højer Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
5 C. Højer Nielsen
S. Akaydin
Türkiye
3 S. Akaydin
A. Mocsi
Substitution
Hungary
4 A. Mocsi
M. Pala
Türkiye
54 M. Pala
T. Antalyalı
Türkiye
14 T. Antalyalı
I. Olawoyin
Substitution
Nigeria
10 I. Olawoyin
V. Mihăilă
Substitution
Romania
7 V. Mihăilă
Q. Laçi
Albania
20 Q. Laçi
A. Awokoya-Mebude
Scotland
17 A. Awokoya-Mebude
A. Sowe
Substitution
Gambia
9 A. Sowe

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Eyüp Stadı
Capacity :
2500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ceyhun Sesigüzel
Abdullah Bora Özkara
Halil Umut Meler
Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Statistics

Possession
Eyüpspor
42%
Rizespor
58%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 2
12 Shots 14
30 Dangerous attacks 58
39 Possession 61
3 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 8

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
12 Dribble Attempts 24
75 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
9 Successful Dribbles 14
9 Throwins 22
7 Successful Headers 9
8 Goal Attempts 7
1 Penalties 0
66 Ball Safe 86
8 Goal Kicks 6
3 Assists 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

73 Attacks 106
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

21 Successful Long Passes 35
83 Successful Passes Percentage 88
50 Long Passes 54
310 Passes 481
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 65
256 Successful Passes 424
7 Key Passes 8

Defensive

39 Duels Won 39
6 Interceptions 5
16 Tackles 8
4 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 22
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Halil Umut Meler

Starting XI ▼

24
Jankat Yılmaz
Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Calegari
Calegari Defender
6.87
27
Ismaïla Manga
Ismaïla Manga
Midfielder87'
6.37
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro Defender
6.84
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
6.69
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
6.7
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Midfielder
6.61
8
Emre Akbaba
Emre Akbaba
Midfielder87'
6.87
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Midfielder
6.57
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan
Defender73'
6.73
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Midfielder
6.91
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor
Attacker72'
6.69
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter Midfielder
6.66
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Midfielder63'
6.7
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Midfielder
6.8
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
6.83
Referee : Halil Umut Meler

Starting XI ▼

75
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.82
3
Samet Akaydin
Samet Akaydin Defender
7.12
4
Attila Mocsi
Attila Mocsi Defender
6.67
50
Loide Augusto
Loide Augusto
Attacker46'
6.9
5
Casper Højer
Casper Højer Defender
6.77
99
Emrecan Bulut
Emrecan Bulut
Attacker70'
6.68
54
Mithat Pala
Mithat Pala Defender
6.68
7
Valentin Mihăilă
Valentin Mihăilă Midfielder
6.79
11
Halil Dervişoğlu
Halil Dervişoğlu
Attacker46'
6.71
10
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Ibrahim Olawoyin Midfielder
6.8
27
Modibo Sagnan
Modibo Sagnan
Defender46'
6.83
14
T. Antalyalı
T. Antalyalı Midfielder
6.63
17
Adedire Mebude
Adedire Mebude Midfielder
6.89
20
Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci Midfielder
7.25
9
Ali Sowe
Ali Sowe Attacker
6.71
19
Frantzdy Pierrot
Frantzdy Pierrot
Attacker74'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Emre Akbaba
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
88'
Event
Emre Akbaba → Mateusz Legowski
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Ismaïla Manga → Calegari
10th Substitution
87'
74'
Event
Frantzdy Pierrot → Ali Sowe
8th Substitution
Event
Talha Ülvan → Denis Radu
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Lenny Pintor → Metehan Altunbaş
6th Substitution
72'
70'
Event
Emrecan Bulut → Casper Højer
5th Substitution
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao → Taşkın İlter
4th Substitution
63'
46'
Event
Halil Dervişoğlu → Valentin Mihăilă
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Loide Augusto → Attila Mocsi
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Modibo Sagnan → Ibrahim Olawoyin
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Calegari
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
45'
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
29'
Event
Umut Bozok
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
18'
Event
Luccas Claro
Penalty awarded
16'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Umut Bozok's right-footed shot is blocked.
88
Update Update
Emre Akbaba is on, and Mateusz Legowski is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Emre Akbaba takes a left-footed shot and scores.
87
Update Update
Ismaila Manga comes on for Lucas Felipe Calegari.
83
Attempt Attempt
Charles Raux Yao takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Halil Dervisoglu takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Emrecan Bulut takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Emrecan Bulut takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Umut Bozok takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
74
Update Update
Frantzdy Pierrot comes on for Ali Sowe.
72
Update Update
Talha Ulvan replaces Denis Radu.
72
Update Update
Lenny Pintor comes on for Metehan Altunbas.
70
Update Update
Emrecan Bulut comes on for Casper Hojer Nielsen.
63
Substitution Substitution
Charles Raux Yao is substituted for Taskin Ilter.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Mithat Pala takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Loide Augusto is on, and Attila Mocsi is off.
46
Update Update
Ibrahim Halil Dervisoglu comes on for Valentin Mihaila.
46
Update Update
Modibo Sagnan comes on for Ibrahim Olawoyin.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Felipe Calegari scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Felipe Calegari scores with a left-footed shot.
44
Attempt Attempt
Qazim Laci takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Olawoyin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Mihaila takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Baran Gezek's right-footed shot is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Taskin Ilter takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Casper Hojer Nielsen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Altunbas takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
20
Attempt Attempt
Qazim Laci takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Umut Bozok takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
16
Update Update
Penalty awarded after a VAR decision for Luccas Claro dos Santos.
15
Attempt Attempt
Luccas Claro dos Santos attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
Baran Gezek takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Mihaila takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Ali Sowe's right-footed shot is saved.

CONCLUSION

Eyüpspor's 4-0 win highlighted their effectiveness despite lower possession, capitalizing on Rizespor's wastefulness. The 3-0 halftime lead set the tone, with the away team's 61% control yielding nothing. Market alignment held true with minimal 2.4% deviation favoring Eyüpspor. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but efficiency stayed consistent. No red cards or major events altered the flow, underscoring Eyüpspor's opportunistic play as the decisive factor in overturning pre-match strength perceptions.

Eyüpspor vs Rizespor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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