Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep F.K. Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Super Lig
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
3 Winner 0
Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K.
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 11:30 AM
Round 31 Regular Season
Metehan Altunbaş - 78'
Charles-Andre Raux Yao - 65'
Umut Bozok - 62'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Eyüpspor claimed a decisive 3-0 home victory against the stronger Gaziantep F.K., defying pre-match expectations. The halftime score stood at 0-0, with possession closely contested at 52% for Eyüpspor and 48% for Gaziantep. All goals came in the second half, showcasing Eyüpspor's improved attacking efficiency and clinical finishing. Gaziantep struggled to create meaningful chances despite their favored status, failing to breach the scoreboard. No red cards were issued, ensuring the match flowed without major disruptions. This result highlights Eyüpspor's tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on limited opportunities. The minimal structural deviation of 5.7% indicates underlying performances were not drastically misaligned. Eyüpspor's win provides a significant morale boost in their campaign.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal deviation of 5.7% occurred with Eyüpspor as the deviating team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No notable events significantly influenced the match.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Coşkunses

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Kısal

2nd Assistant

?. Avcı

4th Official

F. Ürün

1st Assistant

Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
VS
Gaziantep F.K. B. Yılmaz
B. Yılmaz
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: L
Kocaelispor Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: W
Rizespor Rank: L
Alanyaspor Rank: D
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Eyüpspor
94.29%
Draw
4.53%
Away Gaziantep F.K.
1.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14
17.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eyüpspor
Gaziantep F.K.
Power Score
14
17.99
League Position
14
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Gaziantep F.K. — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eyüpspor Gaziantep F.K.

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gaziantep F.K.

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gaziantep F.K.
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.38
25.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.42
30.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Eyüpspor +0.50 Efficiency Index
vs
Gaziantep F.K. -0.50 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Gaziantep F.K.
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gaziantep F.K.
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Eyüpspor Gaziantep F.K.
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Gaziantep F.K.
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Gaziantep F.K.
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Eyüpspor
vs
Gaziantep F.K.
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Eyüpspor Gaziantep F.K.
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Eyüpspor 0.39
Gaziantep F.K. 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Gaziantep F.K.
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Eyüpspor 0.00
Gaziantep F.K. 0.08
Eyüpspor
Gaziantep F.K.
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Eyüpspor had peak pressure around 53'.
  • Eyüpspor started the game with stronger pressure.
Eyüpspor Pressure Gaziantep F.K. Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Eyüpspor reached the top pressure at 53' (55.75).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Home
3 matches
Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K. Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
6
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:01:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
J. Yılmaz
Türkiye
24 J. Yılmaz
L. Calegari
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
B. Özyurt
Türkiye
5 B. Özyurt
L. Claro dos Santos
Brazil
4 L. Claro dos Santos
C. Meraş
Türkiye
77 C. Meraş
T. İlter
Substitution
Azerbaijan
28 T. İlter
D. Radu
Substitution
Romania
22 D. Radu
M. Łęgowski
Poland
20 M. Łęgowski
C. Raux Yao
Substitution
France
15 C. Raux Yao
M. Altunbaş
Substitution
Türkiye
26 M. Altunbaş
U. Bozok
Türkiye
19 U. Bozok
Pitch
Z. Görgen
Türkiye
20 Z. Görgen
K. Rodrigues
Portugal
77 K. Rodrigues
M. Abena
Suriname
14 M. Abena
A. Kızıldağ
Türkiye
4 A. Kızıldağ
D. Sorescu
Romania
18 D. Sorescu
V. Gidado
Substitution
8 V. Gidado
C. Lungoyi
Switzerland
11 C. Lungoyi
A. Maxim
Romania
44 A. Maxim
D. Camara
Substitution
Ivory Coast
3 D. Camara
K. Kozłowski
Substitution
Poland
10 K. Kozłowski
M. Bayo
Substitution
Guinea
9 M. Bayo

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity :
14234
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Reşat Onur Coşkunses
Mehmet Kısal
İlker Yasin Avcı
Furkan Ürün

Statistics

Possession
Eyüpspor
52%
Gaziantep F.K.
48%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 3
36 Dangerous attacks 24
52 Possession 48
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

15 Throwins 14
7 Successful Dribbles 8
25 Dribble Attempts 16
28 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
79 Ball Safe 83
8 Goal Kicks 5
3 Successful Headers 1
9 Goal Attempts 7
1 Injuries 0
3 Assists 0
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

90 Attacks 65
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 85
389 Successful Passes 360
46 Long Passes 36
21 Successful Long Passes 18
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
453 Passes 422
10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

36 Duels Won 44
9 Interceptions 15
14 Tackles 24
3 Saves 2

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 1
18 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Starting XI ▼

24
Jankat Yılmaz
Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Calegari
Calegari Defender
6.81
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro Defender
6.77
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
6.58
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
6.66
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao Midfielder
6.64
27
Ismaïla Manga
Ismaïla Manga
Midfielder77'
6.44
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Midfielder
6.6
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Midfielder
6.48
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan
Defender66'
6.75
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Midfielder
6.87
68
Jérôme Onguene
Jérôme Onguene
Defender87'
6.61
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter Midfielder
6.66
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor
Attacker87'
6.71
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
6.74
Referee : Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Starting XI ▼

20
Zafer Görgen
Zafer Görgen Goalkeeper
6.91
4
Arda Kızıldağ
Arda Kızıldağ Defender
6.69
14
Myenty Abena
Myenty Abena Defender
6.81
18
Deian Sorescu
Deian Sorescu Defender
6.86
77
Kévin Rodrigues
Kévin Rodrigues Defender
6.88
3
Drissa Camara
Drissa Camara Midfielder
7.11
17
Karamba Gassama
Karamba Gassama
Midfielder86'
6.61
8
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado Midfielder
6.48
2
Luis Pérez
Luis Pérez
Defender86'
6.87
10
Kacper Kozlowski
Kacper Kozlowski Midfielder
6.98
6
Melih Kabasakal
Melih Kabasakal
Midfielder86'
6.43
11
Christopher Lungoyi
Christopher Lungoyi Midfielder
6.75
44
Alexandru Maxim
Alexandru Maxim Midfielder
7.41
9
Mohamed Bayo
Mohamed Bayo Attacker
7.05
70
Denis Drăguș
Denis Drăguș
Attacker64'
6.58

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ismaïla Manga
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jérôme Onguene → Metehan Altunbaş
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Lenny Pintor → Taşkın İlter
8th Substitution
87'
86'
Event
Karamba Gassama → Drissa Camara
4th Substitution
86'
Event
Melih Kabasakal → Kacper Kozlowski
5th Substitution
86'
Event
Luis Pérez → Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado
6th Substitution
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Ismaïla Manga → Charles-Andre Raux Yao
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Talha Ülvan → Denis Radu
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
65'
64'
Event
Denis Drăguș → Mohamed Bayo
1st Substitution
Event
Umut Bozok
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
62'
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Christopher Lungoyi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
23'
Event
Deian Sorescu
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Eyüpspor's 3-0 win over Gaziantep F.K. exemplifies second-half mastery, turning a goalless first half into a commanding lead. As the underdogs against the stronger side, they leveraged 52% possession effectively without facing red card threats. Market alignment and minimal deviation affirm the result's consistency with expectations, despite absent xG metrics. Gaziantep's inability to score underscored Eyüpspor's defensive solidity. This performance elevates Eyüpspor's standing, signaling potential for sustained form, while Gaziantep reflects on missed chances.

Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep F.K. preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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