Excelsior vs FC Utrecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 10:15 AM
Eredivisie
Excelsior EXC
5 Winner 0
FC Utrecht UTR
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 10:15 AM
Round 31 Regular Season
Lennard Hartjes - 90+3'
Irakli Yegoian - 69'
Derensili Sanches Fernandes - 55', 36'
Noah Naujoks - 11'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Matisse Didden 31'

CONTEXT

Excelsior delivered a stunning 5-0 demolition of pre-match favorites FC Utrecht at home, flipping the script on expectations in a match defined by dominance and discipline. The hosts led 2-0 at halftime, capitalizing on superior possession of 59% to 41% and clinical finishing. FC Utrecht, considered the stronger side, crumbled after receiving a red card, which shifted momentum decisively in the second half. Excelsior added three more goals post-interval, showcasing ruthless efficiency despite the visitors' early promise. This result marked a significant structural deviation of 70.6%, underscoring the underdogs' tactical masterclass and Utrecht's uncharacteristic collapse. Possession translated into control, with no red cards for the winners ensuring they maintained structure throughout. The final whistle confirmed a comprehensive victory that defied previews.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Excelsior's 5-0 win showed a 70.6% deviation from expectations, rated as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Final result diverged from pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: Lack of xG data left expectations unmeasurable.
  • Event impact: Away team's red card altered match flow substantially.
  • Red card distortion: Second-half play distorted by FC Utrecht's red card.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. van der Eijk

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Bluemink

1st Assistant

S. Shukrula

4th Official

S. de Groot

2nd Assistant

Excelsior R. den Uil
R. den Uil
VS
FC Utrecht R. Jans
R. Jans
0.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
PEC Zwolle Rank: D
NEC Nijmegen Rank: L
Heracles Almelo Rank: D
Feyenoord Rank: L
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: W
PSV Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: W
FC Twente Rank: W
Heracles Almelo Rank: D
AZ Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 7 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Excelsior
29.44%
Draw
26.73%
Away FC Utrecht
43.83%

Movement

Changes since opening
Excelsior
-68.16%
Draw
+24.82%
FC Utrecht
+43.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.62
30.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
Power Score
13.62
30.54
League Position
14
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Excelsior — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Utrecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Excelsior FC Utrecht

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Excelsior

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Utrecht

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Excelsior ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Utrecht
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.93
28.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.41
35.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Excelsior +0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Utrecht -0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Excelsior ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Utrecht
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Excelsior FC Utrecht
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Excelsior FC Utrecht
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Excelsior
vs
FC Utrecht
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Excelsior FC Utrecht
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Excelsior 0.28
FC Utrecht 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Excelsior FC Utrecht
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Excelsior 0.00
FC Utrecht 0.08
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • EXC had peak pressure around 85'.
  • EXC started the game with stronger pressure.
EXC Pressure UTR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: EXC reached the top pressure at 85' (96.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Excelsior EXC Home
23 matches
FC Utrecht UTR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
14
7
Draws
7
14
Losses
2
Goals
26
Goals Scored
45
45
Goals Conceded
26
-19
Goal Difference
+19

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:01:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. van Gassel
Netherlands
1 S. van Gassel
R. Meissen
Substitution
Netherlands
3 R. Meissen
C. Widell
Sweden
4 C. Widell
L. Schouten
Netherlands
14 L. Schouten
A. Zagre
France
12 A. Zagre
N. Naujoks
Substitution
Netherlands
10 N. Naujoks
L. Hartjes
Netherlands
20 L. Hartjes
I. Yegoian
Substitution
Georgia
23 I. Yegoian
D. Sanches Fernandes
Substitution
Netherlands
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
G. de Regt
Netherlands
11 G. de Regt
E. Hansson
Substitution
Sweden
7 E. Hansson
Pitch
V. Barkas
Greece
1 V. Barkas
S. Elkarouani
Substitution
Morocco
16 S. Elkarouani
M. van der Hoorn
Netherlands
3 M. van der Hoorn
M. Didden
Belgium
40 M. Didden
N. Vesterlund
Denmark
23 N. Vesterlund
G. Zechiël
Substitution
Netherlands
21 G. Zechiël
A. Engwanda
Belgium
27 A. Engwanda
Y. Cathline
Substitution
France
10 Y. Cathline
D. de Wit
Netherlands
20 D. de Wit
Ángel Galiot
Substitution
Spain
77 Ángel Galiot
A. Stepanov
Substitution
Ukraine
18 A. Stepanov

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Capacity :
4500
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rens Bluemink
Shona Shukrula
Sander van der Eijk
Stefan de Groot

Statistics

Possession
EXC
58%
UTR
42%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
18 Shots 10
64 Dangerous attacks 33
59 Possession 41
3 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Successful Headers 17
3 Assists 0
17 Throwins 20
5 Successful Dribbles 9
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
5 Goal Kicks 8
14 Dribble Attempts 18
17 Goal Attempts 7
52 Ball Safe 54
5 Substitutions 6
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
126 Attacks 94

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 77
459 Successful Passes 277
64 Long Passes 59
41 Successful Long Passes 22
529 Passes 360
64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
14 Key Passes 6

Defensive

3 Saves 4
15 Tackles 18
35 Duels Won 55
14 Interceptions 10

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 1
14 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

12 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

1
Stijn van Gassel
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper
7.18
3
Rick Meissen
Rick Meissen Defender
6.76
24
Giulliano Cairo
Giulliano Cairo
Midfielder85'
6.37
4
Casper Widell
Casper Widell Defender
6.85
12
Arthur Zagré
Arthur Zagré Defender
6.74
14
Lewis Schouten
Lewis Schouten Defender
6.65
10
Noah Naujoks
Noah Naujoks Midfielder
6.83
15
Simon Janssen
Simon Janssen
Defender85'
6.55
20
Lennard Hartjes
Lennard Hartjes Midfielder
6.71
23
Irakli Yegoian
Irakli Yegoian Midfielder
6.99
6
Adam Carlén
Adam Carlén
Midfielder76'
6.67
7
Emil Hansson
Emil Hansson Attacker
6.68
9
Szymon Wlodarczyk
Szymon Wlodarczyk
Attacker63'
6.63
11
Gyan de Regt
Gyan de Regt Attacker
6.8
30
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Attacker
2
6.74
2
Ilias Bronkhorst
Ilias Bronkhorst
Defender76'
6.81
Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

1
Vasilios Barkas
Vasilios Barkas Goalkeeper
7.05
3
Mike van der Hoorn
Mike van der Hoorn Defender
6.97
16
Souffian El Karouani
Souffian El Karouani Defender
7.42
5
Emeka Adiele
Emeka Adiele
Defender46'
6.11
23
Niklas Vesterlund
Niklas Vesterlund Defender
6.56
40
Matisse Didden
Matisse Didden Defender
6.92
10
Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline Midfielder
6.94
11
Jesper Karlsson
Jesper Karlsson
Attacker80'
6.91
20
Dani de Wit
Dani de Wit Midfielder
6.96
21
Gjivai Zechiël
Gjivai Zechiël Midfielder
7.08
8
Can Bozdogan
Can Bozdogan
Midfielder72'
6.73
27
Alonzo Engwanda
Alonzo Engwanda Midfielder
6.84
77
Ángel Alarcón
Ángel Alarcón Midfielder
7.13
9
David Min
David Min
Attacker80'
6.69
18
Artem Stepanov
Artem Stepanov Attacker
6.8
2
Siebe Horemans
Siebe Horemans
Defender41'
6.78

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lennard Hartjes
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+3'
Event
Giulliano Cairo → Rick Meissen
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Simon Janssen → Noah Naujoks
10th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
Jesper Karlsson → Yoann Cathline
7th Substitution
80'
Event
David Min → Ángel Alarcón
8th Substitution
Event
Ilias Bronkhorst → Derensili Sanches Fernandes
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Adam Carlén → Irakli Yegoian
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Noah Naujoks
Goal awarded
72'
72'
Event
Can Bozdogan → Gjivai Zechiël
4th Substitution
Event
Irakli Yegoian
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
69'
64'
Event
Gjivai Zechiël
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Szymon Wlodarczyk → Emil Hansson
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
55'
46'
Event
Emeka Adiele → Souffian El Karouani
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Siebe Horemans → Artem Stepanov
1st Substitution
Event
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Header / 2nd Goal
36'
31'
Event
Matisse Didden
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
29'
Event
Matisse Didden
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Noah Naujoks
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Emeka Adiele from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul by Guilliano Cairo of Excelsior.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Ilias Bronkhorst from Excelsior wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Emeka Adiele of FC Utrecht.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Excelsior winning 5-0 against FC Utrecht.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Excelsior leads FC Utrecht 5-0. Lennard Hartjes scores for Excelsior with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner after a set piece.
89
Corner Corner
Excelsior wins a corner after Mike van der Hoorn concedes.
88
Attempt Attempt
Szymon Wlodarczyk's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Zagré of Excelsior has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Szymon Wlodarczyk.
87
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Lewis Schouten from Excelsior.
86
Corner Corner
Excelsior wins a corner after Can Bozdogan concedes.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Excelsior: Simon Janssen comes on for Noah Naujoks.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Excelsior: Guilliano Cairo comes on for Rick Meissen.
84
Update Update
Can Bozdogan of FC Utrecht wins a free kick on the left wing.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Rick Meissen of Excelsior.
82
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Szymon Wlodarczyk from Excelsior has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box that is saved.
82
Corner Corner
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior had a right-footed shot from a tough angle on the right, but it was saved in the bottom right corner by Vasilios Barkas from FC Utrecht. The assist came from Ilias Bronkhorst.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: David Min comes on for Ángel Alarcón.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: Jesper Karlsson comes on for Yoann Cathline.
80
Update Update
Gyan de Regt of Excelsior is caught offside.
79
Attempt Attempt
Yoann Cathline from FC Utrecht hits the bar with a right-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Mike van der Hoorn.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Excelsior: Adam Carlén comes on for Irakli Yegoian.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Excelsior: Ilias Bronkhorst comes on for Derensili Sanches Fernandes.
76
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ángel Alarcón of FC Utrecht takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it goes too high after a set piece situation.
75
Update Update
Yoann Cathline from FC Utrecht wins a free kick on the left wing.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Rick Meissen of Excelsior.
72
Update Update
VAR Decision: Goal confirmed for Excelsior, making it 4-0 against FC Utrecht. Irakli Yegoian scores.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: Can Bozdogan replaces Gjivai Zechiël due to an injury.
69
Update Update
Irakli Yegoian of Excelsior is caught offside.
69
Update Update
Irakli Yegoian of Excelsior is caught offside.
68
Update Update
Excelsior is called offside as Szymon Wlodarczyk is caught in an offside position.
66
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gjivai Zechiël of FC Utrecht.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gjavai Zechiël of FC Utrecht receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Gjivai Zechiël of FC Utrecht.
64
Update Update
Derensili Sanches Fernandes from Excelsior wins a free kick on the right wing.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Excelsior: Szymon Wlodarczyk comes on for Emil Hansson.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Irakli Yegoian from Excelsior takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
58
Update Update
Yoann Cathline from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Update Update
Gjavai Zechiël of FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Update Update
Gjavai Zechiël from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Update Update
Foul by Lennard Hartjes of Excelsior.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Excelsior leads FC Utrecht 3-0. Derensili Sanches Fernandes scores for Excelsior with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
53
Attempt Attempt
Yoann Cathline's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Stijn van Gassel. The attempt was assisted by Niklas Vesterlund.
52
Corner Corner
FC Utrecht wins a corner after Lewis Schouten concedes.
52
Corner Corner
FC Utrecht wins a corner after Lewis Schouten concedes.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Rick Meissen of Excelsior.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Rick Meissen of Excelsior.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Gjivai Zechiël from FC Utrecht takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes too high.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Excelsior leading FC Utrecht 2-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Gjivai Zechiël from FC Utrecht takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes too high.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: Emeka Adiele comes on for Souffian El Karouani.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: Emeka Adiele comes on for Souffian El Karouani.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Gjivai Zechiël of FC Utrecht.
43
Update Update
Rick Meissen from Excelsior wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Noah Naujoks of Excelsior.
41
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Utrecht: Siebe Horemans comes on for Artem Stepanov.
41
Attempt Attempt
Derensili Sanches Fernandes from Excelsior has a right-footed shot from the center of the box blocked.
41
Update Update
Ángel Alarcón from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40
Update Update
Alonzo Engwanda from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Gyan de Regt of Excelsior.
40
Attempt Attempt
Niklas Vesterlund's right-footed shot from the center of the box for FC Utrecht is blocked.
39
Update Update
Foul by Derensili Sanches Fernandes of Excelsior.
39
Update Update
Souffian El Karouani of FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Excelsior leads FC Utrecht 2-0. Derensili Sanches Fernandes scores with a header from close range to the high center of the goal, assisted by Gyan de Regt's cross after a corner.
35
Corner Corner
Excelsior wins a corner, conceded by Vasilios Barkas.
35
Corner Corner
Emil Hansson's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top left corner by Vasilios Barkas. The attempt was assisted by Irakli Yegoian.
34
Update Update
Dani de Wit from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the attacking half.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Lewis Schouten of Excelsior.
33
Attempt Attempt
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high. The shot was assisted by Arthur Zagré after a set piece situation.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Matisse Didden of FC Utrecht.
31
Update Update
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior wins a free kick in the attacking half.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matisse Didden of FC Utrecht receives a second yellow card for a bad foul.
31
Attempt Attempt
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a set piece situation.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Lennard Hartjes of Excelsior.
30
Update Update
Yoann Cathline of FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Matisse Didden of FC Utrecht.
29
Update Update
Gyan de Regt from Excelsior wins a free kick in the attacking half.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matisse Didden from FC Utrecht receives a yellow card for a foul.
28
Update Update
Dani de Wit of FC Utrecht has a header from the center of the box blocked. The attempt was assisted by Yoann Cathline's cross.
28
Update Update
Gyan de Regt from Excelsior misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it just a bit too high. The assist came from Rick Meissen.
27
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Derensili Sanches Fernandes from Excelsior takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes close and misses to the left. Noah Naujoks provided the assist after a fast break.
25
Update Update
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior misses a header from the center of the box.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Rick Meissen of Excelsior.
24
Update Update
Yoann Cathline from FC Utrecht wins a free kick in the defensive half.
23
Update Update
Lewis Schouten from Excelsior wins a free kick in the defensive half.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Dani de Wit of FC Utrecht.
21
Attempt Attempt
Dani de Wit from FC Utrecht has a header from the center of the box, but it is saved.
20
Corner Corner
FC Utrecht wins a corner after Casper Widell concedes.
19
Update Update
FC Utrecht is called offside. Artem Stepanov is the player caught offside.
16
Update Update
Arthur Zagré of Excelsior is caught offside.
15
Update Update
Derensili Sanches Fernandes from Excelsior wins a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gjavai Zechiël's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Mike van der Hoorn of FC Utrecht.
11
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ángel Alarcón of FC Utrecht has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Stijn van Gassel of Excelsior. The assist comes from Gjivai Zechiël.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Excelsior leads FC Utrecht 1-0. Noah Naujoks scores for Excelsior with a right-footed shot from very close range.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Matisse Didden of FC Utrecht.
8
Update Update
Derensili Sanches Fernandes from Excelsior wins a free kick in the defensive half.
8
Attempt Attempt
Noah Naujoks from Excelsior misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, just to the right. He was assisted by Derensili Sanches Fernandes during a fast break.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Excelsior exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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