Everton vs Sunderland Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Hill Dickinson Stadium Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Everton EVE
Versus
Sunderland SUN
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Everton host Sunderland at Hill Dickinson Stadium in a Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 10th in the table, the Toffees enjoy a power score of 87.53, giving them a 6.3-point edge over the 12th-placed Black Cats' 81.23 rating, marking Everton as the stronger side overall. Recent form tilts slightly towards Sunderland with a 17.28 score compared to Everton's 16.39, suggesting the visitors have momentum entering this mid-table tussle. Both teams lack recent outing details, but league positions reflect a closely contested battle. Everton's home advantage could prove decisive in a fixture where structural superiority meets resilient opposition form. With no knockout implications, focus remains on accumulating points in the race for European spots or survival security. Set piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, leaving emphasis on open-play dynamics and squad execution.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Everton possess a structural advantage with a 87.53 power score versus Sunderland's 81.23, yielding a 6.3-point edge.
  • Form: Sunderland hold a slight form edge at 17.28 compared to Everton's 16.39.
  • Squad: Everton sit 10th and Sunderland 12th in the Premier League domestic standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variable metrics are not available for analysis.
  • Market: Everton 52.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Sunderland 22.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Everton D. Moyes
D. Moyes
VS
Sunderland R. Le Bris
R. Le Bris
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.16
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 D
Manchester City Rank: 98 D
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Chelsea Rank: 88 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: 92 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 D
Nottingham Forest Rank: 85 L
Aston Villa Rank: 91 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 W
Newcastle United Rank: 89 W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 9 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Everton
52.09%
Draw
25.59%
Away Sunderland
22.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.53
81.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Everton
Sunderland
Power Score
87.53
81.23
League Position
10
12
Global Rank
21
53

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Everton — Opponent-weighted form score
Sunderland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Everton Sunderland

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Everton EVE Home
33 matches
Sunderland SUN Away
Match Record
18
Wins
6
9
Draws
9
6
Losses
18
Goals
57
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
57
+30
Goal Difference
-30

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Pickford
England
1 J. Pickford
J. O´Brien
Republic of Ireland
15 J. O´Brien
J. Tarkowski
England
6 J. Tarkowski
M. Keane
England
5 M. Keane
V. Mykolenko
Ukraine
16 V. Mykolenko
T. Iroegbunam
England
42 T. Iroegbunam
J. Garner
England
37 J. Garner
M. Röhl
Germany
34 M. Röhl
K. Dewsbury-Hall
England
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall
I. Ndiaye
Senegal
10 I. Ndiaye
N. Bercique Gomes Betuncal
Portugal
9 N. Bercique Gomes Betuncal
Pitch
R. Roefs
Netherlands
22 R. Roefs
R. Mandava
Mozambique
17 R. Mandava
O. Alderete Fernández
Paraguay
15 O. Alderete Fernández
N. Mukiele Mulere
France
20 N. Mukiele Mulere
L. Geertruida
Netherlands
6 L. Geertruida
N. Sadiki
Belgium
27 N. Sadiki
G. Xhaka
Switzerland
34 G. Xhaka
C. Talbi
Belgium
7 C. Talbi
E. Le Fée
France
28 E. Le Fée
T. Hume
Northern Ireland
32 T. Hume
B. Brobbey
Netherlands
9 B. Brobbey

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Capacity :
52888
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
John Brooks
Simon Bennett
Craig Taylor
Oliver Langford

Lineup

Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
Jordan Pickford
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper
6.85
5
Michael Keane
Michael Keane Defender
6.99
6
James Tarkowski
James Tarkowski Defender
7.15
15
Jake O'Brien
Jake O'Brien Defender
6.69
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Vitaliy Mykolenko Defender
6.66
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Midfielder
7.03
37
James Garner
James Garner Midfielder
7.33
42
Tim Iroegbunam
Tim Iroegbunam Midfielder
6.72
9
Beto
Beto Attacker
6.73
10
Iliman Ndiaye
Iliman Ndiaye Attacker
6.94
34
Merlin Röhl
Merlin Röhl Attacker
6.52
Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

22
Robin Roefs
Robin Roefs Goalkeeper
6.97
6
Lutsharel Geertruida
Lutsharel Geertruida Defender
6.68
15
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
6.86
17
Reinildo Mandava
Reinildo Mandava Defender
6.73
20
Nordi Mukiele
Nordi Mukiele Defender
6.99
27
Noah Sadiki
Noah Sadiki Midfielder
6.72
28
Enzo Le Fée
Enzo Le Fée Midfielder
6.94
34
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka Midfielder
7.15
7
Chemsdine Talbi
Chemsdine Talbi Attacker
6.63
9
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
6.7
32
Trai Hume
Trai Hume Attacker
6.78

CONCLUSION

Everton's power advantage and home venue position them as favorites in this Premier League mid-table matchup against Sunderland. Despite the visitors' marginally better form, the Toffees' 6.3-point structural superiority suggests control in possession and chance creation. League standings underscore a tight contest, with both sides vying for upward mobility. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece insights, expect a tactical battle emphasizing Everton's defensive solidity and Sunderland's counter threats. The hosts' execution in key moments could secure vital points, tilting the balance in a fixture ripe for narrow margins.

Everton vs Sunderland preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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