Estrela Amadora vs Famalicão Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora CFEA
0 – 0
Famalicão FCF
Full Time Mon, 11 May 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora and Famalicão played out a cautious 0-0 draw in the Primeira Liga at the hosts' ground. The scoreline remained level at halftime with no goals from either side. Famalicão, deemed the stronger team, dominated possession with 61% compared to Estrela Amadora's 39%, yet struggled to create clear scoring opportunities. Estrela Amadora's defense was compact and effective, frustrating the visitors' attacks throughout the 90 minutes. No red cards were shown, and there were no notable second-half adjustments or disruptive events. The match highlighted tactical discipline over open play, resulting in a share of points. A moderate structural deviation of 7.7% was observed for Famalicão, with efficiency in line with expectations and market alignment confirmed. This stalemate underscores the importance of defensive solidity in low-scoring encounters.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited a moderate 7.7% structural deviation attributed to Famalicão.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing assessment of outcome consistency.
  • Market alignment: Final draw outcome aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to lack of data.
  • Event impact: No significant events or adjustments influenced the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Fabio Verssimo

Portugal
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Rosa

4th Official

Portugal

P. de Sá Martins

1st Assistant

Portugal

H. França Luís Coimbra

2nd Assistant

Portugal

League averages

Liga Portugal Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.01
Yellow cards / match 4.38
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.37
Estrela Amadora A. Rocha Simão
A. Rocha Simão
VS
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: 67 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 64 L
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Nacional Rank: 64 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: 87 D
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 D
Porto Rank: 86 D
Nacional Rank: 64 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estrela Amadora
3.22%
Draw
92.34%
Away Famalicão
4.44%

Movement

Changes since opening
Estrela Amadora
-0.84%
Draw
+2.62%
Famalicão
-1.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.04
74.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
Power Score
59.04
74.28
League Position
15
5
Global Rank
532
130

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Famalicão

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Famalicão

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Famalicão
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.33
29.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.84
13.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estrela Amadora — Efficiency Index
vs
Famalicão — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Famalicão
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estrela Amadora Famalicão
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Famalicão
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Estrela Amadora
vs
Famalicão
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Estrela Amadora Famalicão
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Estrela Amadora 0.17
Famalicão 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Famalicão
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Estrela Amadora 0.00
Famalicão 0.00
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCF had peak pressure around 68'.
  • FCF started the game with stronger pressure.
CFEA Pressure FCF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCF reached the top pressure at 68' (85.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora CFEA Home
5 matches
Famalicão FCF Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:03:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
Brazil
40 R. Ribeiro
J. Silva Encada
Substitution
Guinea-Bissau
17 J. Silva Encada
L. Wiedthauper
Brazil
30 L. Wiedthauper
S. Leković
Substitution
Serbia
4 S. Leković
B. Langa
Mozambique
24 B. Langa
A. Marcus
Nigeria
99 A. Marcus
A. Mussolo Sola
Substitution
63 A. Mussolo Sola
P. Valente Moreira
Portugal
19 P. Valente Moreira
I. Stoica
Romania
10 I. Stoica
J. Borges Cabral
Substitution
Cape Verde
11 J. Borges Cabral
R. Pereira de Pinho
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. Pereira de Pinho
Pitch
L. Carević
Montenegro
25 L. Carević
L. Soares Alves
Portugal
5 L. Soares Alves
J. de Haas
Netherlands
16 J. de Haas
L. Realpe Montaño
Ecuador
3 L. Realpe Montaño
G. García dos Santos
Brazil
2 G. García dos Santos
M. De Amorim
France
14 M. De Amorim
T. van de Looi
Netherlands
6 T. van de Looi
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
Portugal
20 G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
M. Lopes Moura
Brazil
7 M. Lopes Moura
S. Elisor
Substitution
France
12 S. Elisor
G. Bastião Dias
Substitution
Portugal
23 G. Bastião Dias

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity :
9000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Diogo Rosa
Fabio Verssimo
Pedro Nuno de Sá Martins
Hugo Alexandre França Luís Coimbra

Statistics

Possession
CFEA
40%
FCF
60%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 3
1 Shots 8
24 Dangerous attacks 64
39 Possession 61
3 Corners 10
9 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Successful Dribbles 4
80 Ball Safe 61
15 Throwins 24
15 Dribble Attempts 13
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
16 Goal Kicks 3
8 Successful Headers 16
4 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 2
4 Injuries 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

3 Counter Attacks 7
78 Attacks 124
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 34
73 Successful Passes Percentage 86
224 Successful Passes 407
305 Passes 475
62 Long Passes 58
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59
4 Key Passes 10

Defensive

18 Tackles 18
40 Duels Won 54
12 Interceptions 7
4 Saves 1

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 28
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
4
Stefan Leković
Stefan Leković Defender
14
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo
Defender88'
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada Defender
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze
Defender88'
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Defender
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Defender
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Midfielder
19
Paulo Moreira
Paulo Moreira Midfielder
63
Alex Sola
Alex Sola Midfielder
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
Kevin Höög Jansson
Midfielder79'
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Midfielder
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho Attacker
7
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti
Attacker73'
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral Attacker
28
Tom Moustier
Tom Moustier
Midfielder80'
Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
2
Garcia
Garcia Defender
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Defender
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Defender
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Defender
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Midfielder
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Midfielder
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Midfielder
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Attacker
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Attacker
9
Umar Abubakar
Umar Abubakar
Attacker83'
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Attacker
18
Roméo Beney
Roméo Beney
Attacker83'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bernardo Schappo → Stefan Leković
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Max Scholze → Jefferson Encada
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Jefferson Encada
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
83'
Event
Umar Abubakar → Simon Elisor
4th Substitution
83'
Event
Roméo Beney → Gil Dias
5th Substitution
Event
Tom Moustier → Jovane Cabral
3rd Substitution
80'
Event
Kevin Höög Jansson → Alex Sola
2nd Substitution
79'
Event
Rodrigo Pinho
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Leandro Antonetti → Rodrigo Pinho
1st Substitution
73'
Event
Renan Ribeiro
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
61'
Event
Garcia
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Umar Abubakar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Justin de Haas takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Update Update
Umar Abubakar attempts a header but misses the target.
88
Substitution Substitution
Max Scholze is substituted off for Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada.
88
Update Update
Bernardo Schappo is on, and Stefan Lekovic is off.
83
Update Update
Romeo Beney comes on for Gil Dias.
83
Update Update
Umar Abubakar replaces Simon Elisor.
80
Update Update
Tom Moustier replaces Jovane Cabral.
79
Update Update
Kevin Hoog Jansson comes on for Alexandre Sola.
77
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Antonetti takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Leandro Antonetti comes on for Rodrigo Pinho.
64
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mathias De Amorim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sa attempts a header but misses the shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Justin de Haas takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Ianis Stoica takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinho's header is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Tom van de Looi takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Update Update
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura's header is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Mathias De Amorim takes a header shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias attempts a header but misses the shot.
19
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura from Sorriso takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Abraham Marcus takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Gil Dias takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Estrela Amadora and Famalicão exemplified defensive mastery in the Primeira Liga. Famalicão's 61% possession edge failed to yield breakthroughs, crediting Estrela Amadora's resolute backline. With no red cards or key events, the game stayed balanced, aligning with market views and efficiency norms. This moderate deviation for the stronger visitors highlights conversion issues under pressure. Estrela Amadora secures a creditable point at home, bolstering survival hopes, while Famalicão rues missed dominance. Both sides prioritize solidity, setting a template for future tight fixtures.

Estrela Amadora vs Famalicão preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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