Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Oleksandria Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Stadion Livyi Bereh Mon, 27 Apr - 10:00 AM

Premier League

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

1 – 1

Oleksandria Oleksandria

Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 10:00 AM

Round 25 Regular Season

Carlos Rojas - 33'

Miguel Campos - 90+2'

CONTEXT

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi welcomed Oleksandria to a hard-fought encounter that concluded in a 1-1 draw. The home team struck first, securing a 1-0 lead by halftime through determined first-half play. Despite holding 48% possession compared to Oleksandria's 52%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi entered as the stronger side per pre-match assessments. The visitors mounted a resilient comeback in the second half, leveling the score and denying the hosts victory. No red cards disrupted proceedings, and the game proceeded without major tactical overhauls. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation of 72.9% aligned with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, diverging from expectations where the home side held a clear edge. Balanced possession reflected a competitive affair, with both teams showcasing efficiency in line with norms. The draw tempers Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's momentum while highlighting Oleksandria's grit.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited 72.9% structural deviation for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, rated significant.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match expectations for both teams.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with expected goals cannot be assessed.
Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-market probabilities favoring Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to absent expected goals metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match trajectory.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Rayda

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Yukhymenko

1st Assistant

P. Kotubey

2nd Assistant

M. Skrypnyk

4th Official

S. Nahornyak

V. Sharan

1.07

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

49.7%

Draw

27.05%

Oleksandria

23.25%

Movement

Changes since opening

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

+41.5%

Draw

-57.24%

Oleksandria

+15.73%

Team Power Ranking

22.31

10.61

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Oleksandria

Power Score

22.31

10.61

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score

Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Oleksandria

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Oleksandria

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Oleksandria

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

26.46

30.19

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

30.19

26.46

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -0.38 Efficiency Index

Oleksandria +0.38 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Oleksandria

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Oleksandria

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Oleksandria

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Oleksandria

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Oleksandria

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Oleksandria

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Oleksandria

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Oleksandria

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Oleksandria

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had peak pressure around 11'.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi started the game with stronger pressure.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Pressure Oleksandria Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi reached the top pressure at 11' (72.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Home

1 matches

Oleksandria Oleksandria Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T06:14:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

31 O. Bilyk

67 V. Luchkevych

3 S. Grygorashchuk

77 N. Coch Montaña

97 (C) O. Klymets

8 M. Myronyuk

39 J. Ceberio Amonarriz

99 C. Rojas Mosquera

6 K. Kovalets

9 J. Cifuentes Xalmet

20 V. Sydun

1 V. Dolgyi

23 M. Ogarkov

86 A. Bol

26 M. Ferreira Campos

91 B. Butko

20 D. Vashchenko

37 P. Yade

10 S. Buletsa

9 (C) D. Myshnov

44 J. da Silva

67 M. Rodrigues Teixeira

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 27, 2026, 10:00 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Livyi Bereh

Capacity :

5000

Pitch Surface :

N/A

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mykhailo Rayda

Mykhailo Yukhymenko

Petro Kotubey

Maksym Skrypnyk

Statistics

Possession

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

49%

Oleksandria

51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

4 Shots 7

54 Dangerous attacks 54

48 Possession 52

5 Corners 8

17 Free kicks 7

0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 9

1 Assists 1

Attacking

84 Attacks 77

Defensive

5 Saves 5

Discipline

3 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Mykhailo Rayda

Manager ▼

S. Nahornyak Coach

Starting XI ▼

Oleg Bilyk Goalkeeper

6.12

Stepan Grigorashchuk Defender

6.26

Valeriy Luchkevych Defender

6.5

Vladyslav Supryaga

Attacker87'

6.67

Nil Coch Defender

6.26

Oleksandr Klymets (C) Defender

6.26

Kyrylo Kovalets Midfielder

6.5

Andriy Lipovuz

Midfielder71'

6.47

Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder

6.5

Yevhen Zaporozhets

Midfielder87'

6.48

Joaquinete Midfielder

6.37

Alagy Oliveira

Defender90+4'

6.35

Vadym Sydun Midfielder

6.37

Jon Ceberio Midfielder

6.37

Carlos Rojas Midfielder

6.37

Substitutes ▼

Andriy Lipovuz

Midfielder71'

6.47

Vladyslav Supryaga

Attacker87'

6.67

Yevhen Zaporozhets

Midfielder87'

6.48

Alagy Oliveira

Defender90+4'

6.35

Bench ▼

Arsenii Vavshko Goalkeeper

Nikita Fedotov Goalkeeper

6.3

Volodymyr Tanchyk Defender

6.24

Andriy Bezhenar Midfielder

6.49

Denys Golub Midfielder

Andriy Matkevych Attacker

6.49

Referee : Mykhailo Rayda