Elfsborg vs Häcken Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Mon, 25 May - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
1 – 1
Häcken HAC
Full Time Mon, 25 May 5:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Silas Andersen - 42'

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosted Häcken in a tightly contested fixture that concluded with a 1-1 draw. Häcken established a first-half advantage and led 0-1 at the interval. The visitors maintained superior possession at 63 percent while Elfsborg held 37 percent yet the home side found an equalizer after the break. Häcken entered as the stronger side but could not convert dominance into a win. No dismissals occurred throughout the ninety minutes. A moderate deviation of 8.1 percent was recorded for Häcken relative to pre-match positioning. The shared points reflected balanced second-half adjustments from both teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken recorded a moderate structural deviation of 8.1 percent from pre-match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both sides.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals figures were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw proved aligned with the pre-match market assessment.
  • xG expectations: No concrete xG expectations were supplied within the available match data.
  • Event impact: Häcken's halftime lead shaped second-half play that ultimately produced a draw.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion from dismissals affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Klitte

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Kristensson

1st Assistant

Sweden

J. Dahl

2nd Assistant

Sweden

N. Karlsson

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.28
Yellow cards / match 3.38
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.17
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 69 D
Halmstad Rank: 45 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 50 W
AIK Rank: 57 D
Kalmar Rank: 51 L
Djurgården Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 70 W
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Sirius Rank: 65 D
Västerås SK Rank: 49 D
GAIS Rank: 60 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 12 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
3.61%
Draw
91.93%
Away Häcken
4.47%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elfsborg
-0.85%
Draw
+1.9%
Häcken
-1.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.01
60.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Häcken
Power Score
58.01
60.84
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
545
455

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.00
32.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.86
30.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg -0.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken +0.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.21
Häcken 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.02
Häcken 0.02
Elfsborg
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 50'.
  • HAC started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure HAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 50' (89.86).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
38 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
13
Wins
13
12
Draws
12
13
Losses
13
Goals
55
Goals Scored
68
68
Goals Conceded
55
-13
Goal Difference
+13

Data last updated: 2026-05-26T00:02:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 I. Pettersson
R. Mohammed
Substitution
2 R. Mohammed
S. Holmén
Sweden
8 (C) S. Holmén
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
N. Hult
Substitution
Sweden
23 N. Hult
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
M. Kamara
29 M. Kamara
J. Beck
Substitution
Denmark
19 J. Beck
A. Zeneli
Substitution
Kosovo
9 A. Zeneli
L. Östman
Substitution
Sweden
21 L. Östman
Pitch
A. Linde
Sweden
1 A. Linde
O. Samuelsson
Sweden
23 O. Samuelsson
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
H. Hilvenius
Sweden
13 H. Hilvenius
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
M. Rygaard Jensen
Denmark
10 (C) M. Rygaard Jensen
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
A. Layouni
Substitution
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
G. Lindgren
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren

General Information

Date & Time :
May 25, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Borås Arena
Capacity :
17800
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fredrik Klitte
Simon Kristensson
Jonas Dahl
Niclas Karlsson

Statistics

Possession
ELF
40%
HAC
60%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 4
42 Dangerous attacks 54
37 Possession 63
1 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
4 Successful Dribbles 9
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
14 Dribble Attempts 18
18 Throwins 26
76 Ball Safe 86
5 Goal Attempts 9
12 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 2
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
113 Attacks 115

Possession

19 Successful Long Passes 26
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
49 Long Passes 45
77 Successful Passes Percentage 86
270 Successful Passes 510
350 Passes 592
5 Key Passes 11

Defensive

22 Tackles 19
12 Interceptions 10
39 Duels Won 52
3 Saves 4

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 8
8 Total Crosses 24

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed Defender
6.57
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström
Defender63'
6.82
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
7.01
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén (C) Defender
6.82
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Defender
6.93
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari
Defender90+1'
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli Midfielder
6.31
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund
Midfielder63'
6.46
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
6.96
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
7.1
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Midfielder
6.53
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler
Attacker63'
6.82
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara Midfielder
6.34
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman Attacker
7
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt
Attacker81'
6.44
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Linde
Andreas Linde Goalkeeper
7.1
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
7.04
13
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
6.64
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
7.18
23
Olle Samuelsson
Olle Samuelsson Defender
6.86
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7.91
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard (C) Midfielder
7.84
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
7.38
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
7.33
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker70'
6.41
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
7.18
16
Pontus Dahbo
Pontus Dahbo
Midfielder84'
6.66
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.83

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ibrahim Buhari → Niklas Hult
7th Substitution
90+1'
90'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Pontus Dahbo → Amor Layouni
6th Substitution
Event
T. Silverholt → Leo Östman
5th Substitution
81'
70'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Adrian Svanbäck
4th Substitution
Event
Leo Östman
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
F. Ihler → Julius Beck
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
R. Wikström → Rufai Mohammed
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Simon Hedlund → Arbër Zeneli
1st Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Filip Helander
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Arbër Zeneli
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
55'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Silas Andersen
Header / 1st Goal
18'
Event
Amor Layouni
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara's left-footed shot is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Pontus Dahbo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Wikstrom's right-footed shot is saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler's right-footed shot is blocked.
84
Update Update
Pontus Dahbo comes on for Amor Layouni.
83
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler's header is saved.
81
Update Update
Taylor Silverholt comes on for Leo Ostman.
75
Attempt Attempt
Brice Wembangomo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Jeremy Agbonifo replaces Adrian Svanback.
67
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman scores with a left-footed shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman scores with a left-footed shot.
65
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Svanback takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Frederik Ihler is on, and Julius Beck is off.
63
Update Update
Simon Hedlund replaces Arber Zeneli.
63
Update Update
Rasmus Wikstrom is on, and Rufai Mohammed is off.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Silas Andersen receives a yellow card.
48
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Update Update
Silas Andersen scores with a header.
36
Update Update
Julius Lindberg's header is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg's right-footed shot is saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Momoh Kamara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Julius Magnusson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Svanback takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Svanback takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Amor Layouni receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 outcome highlighted how possession advantages do not always translate into goals when defensive structures remain compact. Elfsborg absorbed early pressure before responding effectively after the interval. Häcken controlled territory yet lacked the decisive edge required to protect their lead. Both teams demonstrated disciplined organization that limited clear opportunities. The absence of red cards preserved full-strength lineups and allowed tactical flexibility until the final whistle. This draw leaves both sides with valuable points while underscoring the fine margins that define such encounters. Continued focus on conversion rates will determine future success for each squad.

Elfsborg vs Häcken preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.