Elfsborg vs Djurgården Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
2 Winner 1
Djurgården DJU
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season
Jacob Rinne - 88' (Own Goal)
F. Ihler - 25' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Piotr Johansson - 19'

CONTEXT

Elfsborg defeated Djurgården 2-1 in a match marked by extreme possession imbalance, with the home team holding just 24% compared to the visitors' 76%. The score was level at 1-1 at halftime, but Elfsborg netted the winner in the second half to secure victory. No red cards were shown, and no specific second-half adjustments were noted. Pre-match assessments identified Elfsborg as the stronger team, a view validated by the outcome despite the visitors' dominance in territory. The result exhibited a significant 68.2% deviation from pre-market expectations, where Djurgården were marginally favored. Efficiency metrics aligned with prior patterns, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. This low-possession win underscores Elfsborg's proficiency in counter-attacking.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Elfsborg's 2-1 win deviated 68.2% from pre-match market expectations, classified as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome did not align with pre-market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: No xG data provided for expectation evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Maqedonci

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Nyberg

1st Assistant

P. Rehnlund

2nd Assistant

F. Alknäs

4th Official

Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: L
AIK Rank: L
Sirius Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: L
Kalmar Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Öster Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Värnamo Rank: W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 12 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
31.81%
Draw
28.43%
Away Djurgården
39.76%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elfsborg
-62.35%
Draw
+22.78%
Djurgården
+39.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.63
19.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Power Score
19.63
19.63
League Position
1
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Djurgården — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Djurgården

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Djurgården

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Djurgården
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.08
26.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.91
42.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg +1.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Djurgården -1.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Djurgården
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Djurgården
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Djurgården
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Djurgården
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Djurgården
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
Djurgården
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Djurgården
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.41
Djurgården 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Djurgården
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.02
Djurgården 0.09
Elfsborg
Djurgården
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DJU had peak pressure around 10'.
  • DJU started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure DJU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DJU reached the top pressure at 10' (77.32).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
42 matches
Djurgården DJU Away
Match Record
18
Wins
12
12
Draws
12
12
Losses
18
Goals
63
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
63
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 I. Pettersson
S. Holmén
Substitution
Sweden
8 S. Holmén
R. Wikström
Sweden
6 R. Wikström
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
S. Hedlund
Sweden
15 S. Hedlund
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
N. Hult
Substitution
Sweden
23 N. Hult
F. Ihler
Substitution
Denmark
24 F. Ihler
T. Silverholt
Substitution
Sweden
11 T. Silverholt
A. Sigurpálsson
Substitution
Iceland
25 A. Sigurpálsson
Pitch
J. Rinne
Sweden
35 J. Rinne
M. Larsson
Sweden
24 M. Larsson
M. Marques
Sweden
21 M. Marques
M. Tenho
Finland
5 M. Tenho
P. Johansson
Sweden
2 P. Johansson
M. Siltanen
Finland
20 M. Siltanen
P. Langhoff
Substitution
Denmark
6 P. Langhoff
P. Åslund
Substitution
Sweden
8 P. Åslund
B. Hegland
Substitution
Norway
16 B. Hegland
J. Asoro
Substitution
Sweden
22 J. Asoro
K. Lien
Norway
9 K. Lien

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Borås Arena
Capacity :
17800
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Granit Maqedonci
Niklas Nyberg
Per Rehnlund
Fredrik Alknäs

Statistics

Possession
ELF
31%
DJU
69%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 6
2 Shots 5
22 Dangerous attacks 49
24 Possession 76
2 Corners 7
5 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Successful Dribbles 1
0 Assists 1
1 Penalties 0
61 Ball Safe 98
3 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 4
2 Dribble Attempts 13
100 Successful Dribbles Percentage 8
13 Throwins 15
13 Goal Kicks 4

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 5
47 Attacks 135

Possession

64 Successful Passes Percentage 91
207 Passes 678
13 Successful Long Passes 23
28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
133 Successful Passes 617
47 Long Passes 42
3 Key Passes 14

Defensive

4 Saves 1
39 Duels Won 31
11 Interceptions 6
19 Tackles 4

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 24
5 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
16 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
6.73
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
7
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
7
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
6.77
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed
Defender71'
6.68
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
7.05
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
6.67
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
7.27
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
7.07
26
Ludvig Richtnér
Ludvig Richtnér
Midfielder84'
6.56
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
6.84
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman
Attacker84'
6.57
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler Attacker
7.18
20
Gottfrid Rapp
Gottfrid Rapp
Midfielder62'
6.55
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson Attacker
6.71
28
Frode Aronsson
Frode Aronsson
Defender62'
6.89
Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Starting XI ▼

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
7.04
2
Piotr Johansson
Piotr Johansson Defender
6.96
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Defender
7.06
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques Defender
7.57
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Defender
6.95
6
P. Langhoff
P. Langhoff Midfielder
6.63
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell
Midfielder63'
6.92
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Midfielder
7.06
17
Ahmed Saeed
Ahmed Saeed
Attacker78'
6.43
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Midfielder
7.36
15
Oskar Fallenius
Oskar Fallenius
Attacker84'
7.17
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Midfielder
7.3
22
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro Midfielder
6.56
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels
Attacker63'
6.69
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Attacker
7.18

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Thomas Isherwood
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jacob Rinne
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
88'
Event
Ludvig Richtnér → Niklas Hult
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Leo Östman → T. Silverholt
8th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Oskar Fallenius → B. Hegland
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Ahmed Saeed → Patric Åslund
6th Substitution
Event
Rufai Mohammed → Sebastian Holmén
5th Substitution
71'
63'
Event
Jeppe Okkels → Joel Asoro
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Hampus Finndell → P. Langhoff
3rd Substitution
Event
Gottfrid Rapp → F. Ihler
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Frode Aronsson → A. Sigurpálsson
1st Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Jani Honkavaara
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
F. Ihler
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
30'
29'
Event
Joel Asoro
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
F. Ihler
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
25'
24'
Event
Matias Siltanen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Event
Piotr Johansson
Header / 1st Goal
Event
J. Magnússon
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

CONCLUSION

Elfsborg's 2-1 success despite 24% possession exemplifies effective chance conversion against Djurgården's control. The halftime 1-1 draw set up a second-half breakthrough, aligning with their stronger team status. Significant market deviation highlights outcome unpredictability, while efficiency stayed consistent sans xG insights. This result demonstrates how tactical opportunism can overcome territorial dominance, with no disciplinary disruptions influencing play. Elfsborg's performance validates pre-match strength assessments in a cleanly contested affair.

Elfsborg vs Djurgården preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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