Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Fri, 8 May - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
2 Winner 0
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Full Time Fri, 8 May 5:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
Leo Östman - 90+3', 72'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Elfsborg claimed a 2-0 home win against Brommapojkarna, asserting dominance with 59% possession compared to the visitors' 41%. The first half finished 0-0, as both sides struggled to convert chances despite Elfsborg's territorial advantage. The second period saw Elfsborg strike twice, securing a clean-sheet victory that reflected their status as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, and the match unfolded without major interruptions or tactical overhauls. Pre-match assessments positioned Elfsborg as heavy favorites, with the final score exhibiting minimal structural deviation of 4.8% in their favor. The result aligned closely with expectations, maintaining efficiency in line throughout. This performance underscored Elfsborg's control and Brommapojkarna's resilience in containment.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Elfsborg's 2-0 win featured minimal structural deviation of 4.8%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No red cards or second-half adjustments influenced the match.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Maqedonci

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Nyberg

1st Assistant

Sweden

R. Wilde

2nd Assistant

Sweden

V. Wolf

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.27
Yellow cards / match 3.21
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.21
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: 57 D
Kalmar Rank: 49 L
Djurgården Rank: 65 W
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 47 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 L
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
AIK Rank: 58 D
Häcken Rank: 59 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 5 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
95.23%
Draw
4.58%
Away Brommapojkarna
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elfsborg
+0.51%
Draw
-0.51%
Brommapojkarna
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.85
48.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
57.85
48.99
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
561
820

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.17
41.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.59
25.17
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg -1.64 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna +1.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.35
Brommapojkarna 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.00
Brommapojkarna 0.05
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Brommapojkarna had peak pressure around 38'.
  • Brommapojkarna started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure Brommapojkarna Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Brommapojkarna reached the top pressure at 38' (69.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
18 matches
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Away
Match Record
10
Wins
3
5
Draws
5
3
Losses
10
Goals
39
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
39
+21
Goal Difference
-21

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:01:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 I. Pettersson
S. Holmén
Substitution
Sweden
8 S. Holmén
R. Wikström
Substitution
Sweden
6 R. Wikström
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
S. Hedlund
Substitution
Sweden
15 S. Hedlund
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
N. Hult
Sweden
23 N. Hult
F. Ihler
Denmark
24 F. Ihler
T. Silverholt
Substitution
Sweden
11 T. Silverholt
A. Sigurpálsson
Substitution
Iceland
25 A. Sigurpálsson
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
K. Ackermann
Sweden
24 K. Ackermann
K. Barslund
Substitution
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
S. Oppong
Substitution
33 S. Oppong
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
D. Isso
34 D. Isso

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Borås Arena
Capacity :
17800
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Granit Maqedonci
Niklas Nyberg
Robin Wilde
Victor Wolf

Statistics

Possession
ELF
58%
Brommapojkarna
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 4
37 Dangerous attacks 41
59 Possession 41
5 Corners 8
6 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
16 Throwins 20
8 Successful Dribbles 5
17 Dribble Attempts 13
6 Goal Kicks 6
87 Ball Safe 65
8 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 3
2 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

110 Attacks 77
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

527 Successful Passes 342
9 Key Passes 8
57 Long Passes 42
33 Successful Long Passes 14
90 Successful Passes Percentage 85
584 Passes 401
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

5 Interceptions 5
4 Saves 4
49 Duels Won 42
14 Tackles 20

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 16
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

7 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed
Defender46'
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara
Midfielder71'
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari
Defender71'
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman
Attacker63'
2
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler Attacker
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson Attacker
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli
Midfielder81'
Referee : Granit Maqedonci

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Midfielder
24
Kevin Ackermann
Kevin Ackermann Midfielder
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
17
Anton Kurochkin
Anton Kurochkin
Midfielder81'
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Midfielder
18
Elton Hedström
Elton Hedström
Attacker76'
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker81'
34
David Isso
David Isso Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Leo Östman
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+3'
Event
Arbër Zeneli → A. Sigurpálsson
8th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Anton Kurochkin → Kaare Barslund
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Kamilcan Sever → Sion Oppong
7th Substitution
Event
F. Ihler
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
79'
76'
Event
Elton Hedström → Lukas Björklund
5th Substitution
Event
Leo Östman
Header / 1st Goal
72'
Event
M. Kamara → Sebastian Holmén
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Ibrahim Buhari → Simon Hedlund
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Leo Östman → T. Silverholt
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Rufai Mohammed → R. Wikström
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Sebastian Holmén
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman scores with a right-footed shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Anton Kurochkin takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Anton Kurochkin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler's right-footed shot is saved.
82
Substitution Substitution
Kamilcan Sever is substituted for Sion Oppong.
81
Update Update
Anton Kurochkin is on, and Kaare Barslund is off.
81
Update Update
Arber Zeneli comes on for Ari Sigurpalsson.
77
Update Update
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom is on, and Lukas Bjorklund is off.
77
Attempt Attempt
Ari Sigurpalsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
72
Update Update
Leo Ostman scores with a header.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Leo Ostman scores, making it 1-0.
71
Update Update
Momoh Kamara comes on for Sebastian Holmen.
70
Attempt Attempt
Sion Oppong takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
64
Substitution Substitution
Leo Ostman is substituted for Taylor Silverholt.
56
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Isherwood's left-footed shot is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Niklas Hult takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Niklas Hult takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ari Sigurpalsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Taylor Silverholt takes a left-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Isherwood's left-footed shot is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Ari Sigurpalsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Rufai Mohammed is substituted for Rasmus Wikstrom.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Isherwood's right-footed shot is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Isherwood takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sebastian Holmen receives a yellow card.
36
Attempt Attempt
David Isso's header is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
David Isso's header is saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Zanden takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Zanden takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Berg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
David Isso takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
2
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Ackerman's right-footed shot is saved.

CONCLUSION

Elfsborg's 2-0 triumph over Brommapojkarna validated their pre-match favoritism, with superior possession translating into second-half goals after a goalless first half. The minimal 4.8% structural deviation and market alignment highlight a predictable outcome driven by the home side's control. Without red cards or disruptions, efficiency stayed consistent, allowing Elfsborg to capitalize effectively. Brommapojkarna showed defensive solidity but lacked penetration. This result bolsters Elfsborg's standing, demonstrating reliability against weaker opposition in a cleanly executed performance.

Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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