Elfsborg vs AIK Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden

Borås Arena Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM

Allsvenskan

Elfsborg ELF

1 – 1

AIK AIK

Full Time Sun, 3 May 2:30 PM

Round 6 Regular Season

A. Sigurpálsson - 8'

Z. Yohanna - 9'

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosted AIK in the Allsvenskan, ending in a 1-1 draw that reflected a balanced yet possession-heavy affair. The scoreline was identical at halftime, with each team netting once in the first period. AIK controlled 62% of possession against Elfsborg's 38%, asserting dominance as the stronger side, but failed to capitalize fully. No red cards were issued, maintaining full squad integrity throughout. The match exhibited a moderate 8.1% structural deviation attributed to AIK, indicating slight inefficiencies in converting control into goals. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations, and market alignment held true. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but the even outcome underscores Elfsborg's resilience despite lower ball share. Second-half play lacked notable tactical shifts, preserving the deadlock.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match featured moderate 8.1% structural deviation for AIK.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to null data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered dynamics.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

O. Johnson

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Kristensson

1st Assistant

D. Gustavsson

2nd Assistant

N. Karlsson

4th Official

B. Hamberg

J. Riveiro

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

13 - 13 - 14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Elfsborg

4.07%

Draw

91.85%

AIK

4.07%

Movement

Changes since opening

Elfsborg

-0.4%

Draw

+0.78%

AIK

-0.4%

Team Power Ranking

56.86

57.37

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Elfsborg

AIK

Power Score

56.86

57.37

League Position

Global Rank

586

574

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score

AIK — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg AIK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

AIK

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy AIK

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

32.37

23.15

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

23.15

32.37

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Elfsborg +0.95 Efficiency Index

AIK -0.95 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Elfsborg

AIK

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy AIK

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Elfsborg AIK

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Elfsborg AIK

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Elfsborg

AIK

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Elfsborg

AIK

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Elfsborg AIK

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Elfsborg AIK

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Elfsborg

AIK

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ELF had peak pressure around 9'.
ELF started the game with stronger pressure.

ELF Pressure AIK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ELF reached the top pressure at 9' (78.35).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home

40 matches

AIK AIK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:04:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

31 I. Pettersson

8 S. Holmén

6 R. Wikström

4 T. Poppler-Isherwood

15 S. Hedlund

18 J. Magnússon

10 S. Olsson

23 N. Hult

24 F. Ihler

11 T. Silverholt

25 A. Sigurpálsson

15 K. Nordfeldt

21 S. Wilson

25 I. Cissé

33 A. Csongvai

12 C. Pavey

18 A. Ali

10 B. Celina

7 A. Mujanic

8 J. Hove

36 Zadok Yohanna

9 E. Hovden Flataker

General Information

Date & Time :

May 03, 2026, 02:30 PM

Competition :

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Borås Arena

Capacity :

17800

Attendance :

10112

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Oscar Johnson

Simon Kristensson

Daniel Gustavsson

Niclas Karlsson

Statistics

Possession

ELF

41%

AIK

59%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 1

5 Shots 3

26 Dangerous attacks 47

38 Possession 62

4 Corners 5

10 Free kicks 12

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

21 Throwins 19

25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

6 Goal Kicks 8

8 Dribble Attempts 11

1 Assists 1

2 Successful Dribbles 5

1 Goal Attempts 1

22 Ball Safe 24

3 Substitutions 4

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

71 Attacks 90

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 89

54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 66

54 Long Passes 68

300 Successful Passes 521

29 Successful Long Passes 45

361 Passes 584

7 Key Passes 6

Defensive

37 Duels Won 39

16 Tackles 13

13 Interceptions 8

4 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 3

10 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

12 Fouls 10

1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Manager ▼

B. Hamberg Coach

Starting XI ▼

Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper

6.69

Thomas Isherwood Defender

6.78

R. Wikström Defender

6.88

Sebastian Holmén Defender

6.82

S. Olsson Midfielder

7.02

Simon Hedlund Midfielder

6.67

Frode Aronsson

Defender82'

6.91

J. Magnússon Midfielder

7.1

Niklas Hult Midfielder

6.95

T. Silverholt Attacker

6.78

F. Ihler Attacker

7.32

Leo Östman

Attacker82'

6.51

A. Sigurpálsson Attacker

6.71

M. Kamara

Midfielder72'

6.44

Substitutes ▼

M. Kamara

Midfielder72'

6.44

Frode Aronsson

Defender82'

6.91

Leo Östman

Attacker82'

6.51

Bench ▼

Tim Erlandsson Goalkeeper

Rufai Mohammed Defender

6.66

Ibrahim Buhari Defender

A. Hellemaa Midfielder

6.57

Gottfrid Rapp Midfielder

6.47

O. Okeke Midfielder

6.4

Referee : Oscar Johnson