Elche vs Getafe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Elche ELC
1 Winner 0
Getafe GET
Full Time Sun, 17 May 5:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
Víctor Chust - 19'
Goal
|
|
Red Card Dakonam Djené 39'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Elche 1–0 Getafe. The result saw Elche take the points. Elche showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 59%–41%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Elche 1-0 Getafe. Elche showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. García Verdura

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Fernández González

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Villaseñor Julián

2nd Assistant

Spain

F. Ortega Herrera

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.03
Yellow cards / match 3.88
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.27
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
VS
Getafe J. Bordalás Jiménez
J. Bordalás Jiménez
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 W
Valencia Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 77 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 W
Levante Rank: 75 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elche
97.43%
Draw
2.38%
Away Getafe
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elche
+1.82%
Draw
-1.82%
Getafe
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.96
76.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elche
Getafe
Power Score
61.96
76.4
League Position
17
7
Global Rank
133
97

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elche Getafe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elche

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Getafe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elche ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Getafe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elche Getafe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elche Getafe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elche
Getafe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elche
vs
Getafe
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elche Getafe
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elche 0.00
Getafe 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elche Getafe
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elche 0.00
Getafe 0.00
Elche
Getafe
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ELC had peak pressure around 16'.
  • ELC started the game with stronger pressure.
ELC Pressure GET Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ELC reached the top pressure at 16' (81.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elche ELC Home
13 matches
Getafe GET Away
Match Record
3
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
3
Goals
11
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
11
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T16:45:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
M. Dituro
Argentina
1 M. Dituro
V. Chust García
Substitution
Spain
23 V. Chust García
D. Affengruber
Austria
22 D. Affengruber
P. Bigas Rigo
Spain
6 P. Bigas Rigo
J. Morente Oliva
Spain
15 J. Morente Oliva
G. Diangana
Substitution
England
19 G. Diangana
M. Aguado Pallares
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Aguado Pallares
G. Villar del Fraile
Spain
12 G. Villar del Fraile
G. Karabinaite
Spain
11 G. Karabinaite
A. Valente Silva
Substitution
Portugal
9 A. Valente Silva
?. Rodríguez Muñoz
Substitution
Uruguay
20 ?. Rodríguez Muñoz
Pitch
D. Soria Solís
Spain
13 D. Soria Solís
J. Iglesias Sánchez
Spain
21 J. Iglesias Sánchez
Z. Romero
Argentina
24 Z. Romero
D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Substitution
Portugal
22 D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
D. Dakonam Ortega
Togo
2 D. Dakonam Ortega
A. Nyom
Substitution
Cameroon
12 A. Nyom
M. Arambarri Rosa
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
O. Cáceres
Substitution
Paraguay
46 O. Cáceres
L. Milla Manzanares
Spain
5 L. Milla Manzanares
M. Satriano
Uruguay
10 M. Satriano
M. Martín Rielves
Substitution
Spain
6 M. Martín Rielves

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Capacity :
31388
Attendance :
28372
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Eliana Fernández González
Julián Villaseñor Julián
Víctor García Verdura
Francisco José Ortega Herrera

Statistics

Possession
ELC
57%
GET
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 2
48 Dangerous attacks 30
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

19 Dribble Attempts 16
31 Throwins 28
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
25 Successful Headers 22
6 Successful Dribbles 6
84 Ball Safe 62
3 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 4
7 Goal Attempts 1
0 Injuries 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

87 Attacks 90
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
66 Long Passes 61
37 Successful Long Passes 19
334 Successful Passes 195
401 Passes 285
83 Successful Passes Percentage 68
8 Key Passes 1

Defensive

6 Interceptions 5
57 Duels Won 75
15 Tackles 26
0 Saves 2

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 10
2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

18 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Víctor García Verdura

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.1
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
6.84
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
6.9
23
Víctor Chust
Víctor Chust Defender
6.74
42
Buba Sangaré
Buba Sangaré
Defender85'
6.45
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
6.82
18
John Donald
John Donald
Defender84'
6.45
11
Germán Valera
Germán Valera Midfielder
6.99
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Midfielder
6.81
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente Midfielder
6.72
19
Grady Diangana
Grady Diangana Midfielder
6.52
24
Lucas Cepeda
Lucas Cepeda
Attacker84'
6.8
9
André Silva
André Silva Attacker
6.89
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa
Defender66'
6.8
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.9
17
Josan
Josan
Midfielder86'
6.87
Referee : Víctor García Verdura

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
6.92
2
Dakonam Djené
Dakonam Djené Defender
6.63
12
Allan Nyom
Allan Nyom Defender
6.42
19
Luis Vázquez
Luis Vázquez
Attacker71'
6.8
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
6.81
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
6.71
3
Abdel Abqar
Abdel Abqar
Defender72'
6.67
24
Zaid Romero
Zaid Romero Defender
6.92
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
7.15
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6.82
46
Damián Cáceres
Damián Cáceres Midfielder
6.54
26
Davinchi
Davinchi
Defender53'
6.41
6
Mario Martín
Mario Martín Attacker
6.55
20
Veljko Birmancevic
Veljko Birmancevic
Midfielder85'
6.45
10
Martín Satriano
Martín Satriano Attacker
6.98

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Martín Satriano
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Josan → Álvaro Rodríguez
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Buba Sangaré → Víctor Chust
8th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Veljko Birmancevic → Mario Martín
7th Substitution
Event
Lucas Cepeda → Grady Diangana
5th Substitution
84'
Event
John Donald → Marc Aguado
6th Substitution
84'
72'
Event
Abdel Abqar → Domingos Duarte
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Luis Vázquez → Allan Nyom
3rd Substitution
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
69'
Event
André Silva
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Martim Neto
Leaving field / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Adrià Pedrosa → André Silva
2nd Substitution
66'
53'
Event
Davinchi → Damián Cáceres
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Dakonam Djené
Foul / 1st Redcard
Event
Víctor Chust
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'

Match Commentary

86
Update Update
Jose Antonio Fernandez Pomares is on, and Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz is off.
85
Update Update
Buba Sangare is on, and Victor Chust is off.
85
Update Update
Veljko Birmancevic comes on for Mario Martin.
84
Update Update
John Nwankwo Donald is on, and Marc Aguado Pallares is off.
84
Update Update
Lucas Cepeda replaces Grady Diangana.
81
Attempt Attempt
German Valera takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
81
Attempt Attempt
German Valera takes a left-footed shot, but it hits the post.
80
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Update Update
Abdel Abqar comes on for Domingos Duarte.
72
Update Update
Luis Vasquez replaces Allan-Romeo Nyom.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz.
68
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano attempts a header but misses the shot.
66
Update Update
Adria Giner Pedrosa replaces Andre Silva.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andre Silva receives a yellow card.
55
Attempt Attempt
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Grady Diangana attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Update Update
On Davinchi replaces Damian Caceres Rodriguez.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andre Silva's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Andre Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Djene Dakonam.
24
Attempt Attempt
Tete Morente takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Victor Chust scores to make it 1-0.
19
Attempt Attempt
Victor Chust takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
17
Attempt Attempt
Grady Diangana's left-footed shot is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
German Valera takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Víctor Garcia Maqueda.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Elche 1-0 Getafe. Structural assessment: Elche exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Elche vs Getafe preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.