Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Anzhi-Arena Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala
Versus
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Dynamo Makhachkala hosts Spartak Moskva at Anzhi-Arena in a Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies 14th position, grappling with inconsistency, while Spartak holds a strong 4th place, showcasing greater stability. Spartak's power score stands at 72.99, significantly outpacing Dynamo's 56.65, which translates to a 16.3-point advantage for the visitors. Recent form reinforces this gap, with Spartak's 21.28 score dwarfing Dynamo's 7.39, indicating sharper momentum heading into the fixture. Limited data on set pieces due to unavailable xG metrics adds uncertainty, but Spartak's superior overall ratings point to control in possession and chance creation. Dynamo must leverage home advantage and defensive solidity to disrupt Spartak's rhythm, yet the visitors' quality across metrics suggests they will dictate terms. Expect a tactical battle where Spartak's edge could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Spartak Moskva possesses a 16.3-point power advantage over Dynamo Makhachkala with scores of 72.99 to 56.65.
  • Form: Spartak Moskva's form score of 21.28 far exceeds Dynamo Makhachkala's 7.39.
  • Squad: Dynamo Makhachkala ranks 14th and Spartak Moskva 4th in the Premier League standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG information is absent for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Projection split: Dynamo Makhachkala 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dynamo Makhachkala V. Evseev
V. Evseev
VS
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
0.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 D
Rostov Rank: 59 L
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Akron Rank: 54 D
Zenit Rank: 81 L
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: 64 W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
Krasnodar Rank: 76 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 W
Rostov Rank: 61 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dynamo Makhachkala
0%
Draw
0%
Away Spartak Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.65
72.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dynamo Makhachkala
Spartak Moskva
Power Score
56.65
72.99
League Position
14
4
Global Rank
596
143

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Makhachkala Spartak Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Home
3 matches
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:04:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
N. Karabashev
33 N. Karabashev
M. Azzi
22 M. Azzi
A. Alarcón Mendoza
24 A. Alarcón Mendoza
M. Alibekov
99 M. Alibekov
J. Tabidze
5 J. Tabidze
T. Sundukov
77 T. Sundukov
H. Eddine Mrezigue
16 H. Eddine Mrezigue
E. Moubarik
6 E. Moubarik
N. Glushkov
47 N. Glushkov
R. Magomedov
9 R. Magomedov
G. Agalarov
25 G. Agalarov
Pitch
A. Maximenko
98 A. Maximenko
R. Zobnin
47 R. Zobnin
A. Djiku
4 A. Djiku
C. Wooh
3 C. Wooh
D. Denisov
97 D. Denisov
N. Umyarov
18 N. Umyarov
R. Litvinov
68 R. Litvinov
J. Costa Martins
10 J. Costa Martins
E. Barco
5 E. Barco
P. Solari
7 P. Solari
M. Ugalde
9 M. Ugalde

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anzhi-Arena
Capacity :
28000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Nikita Karabashev
Nikita Karabashev Goalkeeper
6.39
25
Gamid Agalarov
Gamid Agalarov Attacker
6.73
9
Razhab Magomedov
Razhab Magomedov Attacker
6.44
5
Jemal Tabidze
Jemal Tabidze Left Back
6.66
24
Andrés Alarcón
Andrés Alarcón Right Back
6.63
6
Mehdi Moubarik
Mehdi Moubarik Central Midfield
6.82
16
Houssem Mrezigue
Houssem Mrezigue Central Midfield
6.96
22
Mohamed Azzi
Mohamed Azzi Right Back
6.8
77
Temirkan Sundukov
Temirkan Sundukov Left Back
6.6
99
Mutalip Alibekov
Mutalip Alibekov Centre Back
6.83
47
Nikita Glushkov
Nikita Glushkov Central Midfield
6.67

Starting XI ▼

98
Aleksandr Maksimenko
Aleksandr Maksimenko Goalkeeper
6.67
9
Manfred Ugalde
Manfred Ugalde Centre Forward
6.99
3
Christopher Wooh
Christopher Wooh Right Back
6.82
4
Alexander Djiku
Alexander Djiku Left Back
6.81
10
Marquinhos
Marquinhos Left Wing
6.9
18
Nail Umyarov
Nail Umyarov Defensive Midfield
6.95
5
Esequiel Barco
Esequiel Barco Attacking Midfield
7.5
7
Pablo Solari
Pablo Solari Right Wing
6.98
68
Ruslan Litvinov
Ruslan Litvinov Defensive Midfield
6.96
47
Roman Zobnin
Roman Zobnin Left Back
6.77
97
Daniil Denisov
Daniil Denisov Right Back
6.8

CONCLUSION

Spartak Moskva arrives with clear superiority in power ratings, form, and league standing, positioning them to exploit Dynamo's vulnerabilities at Anzhi-Arena. The 16.3-point edge underscores Spartak's structural dominance, likely leading to better control and scoring opportunities. While Dynamo may mount a spirited home challenge, their lower metrics suggest struggles in matching Spartak's intensity. Limited insights into set pieces and efficiency leave room for surprises, but Spartak's momentum points toward a composed victory. This fixture highlights the Premier League's depth, where quality often prevails over grit.

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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