Dynamo Makhachkala vs Orenburg Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Anzhi-Arena Fri, 13 Mar - 4:30 PM

Premier League

Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala

Orenburg Orenburg

Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 4:30 PM

Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad - 28'

CONTEXT

The match between Dynamo Makhachkala and Orenburg has officially finished, with the home side securing a 1-0 full-time victory. Dynamo Makhachkala took the lead in the first half to make it 1-0 at the break, and that lone goal proved decisive as neither side found the back of the net in the second half. Pre-match market probabilities were entirely neutral, yet the final result was ultimately aligned with overall market expectations. Dynamo Makhachkala, identified as the stronger team, produced a significant deviation from baseline metrics to claim the victory. On the pitch, Orenburg held a slight majority of the ball with 54% possession compared to Dynamo Makhachkala's 46%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so a direct comparison between underlying chance quality and the final outcome cannot be made. However, the result was in line with overall efficiency shifts, as the home side posted a positive 1.0056 efficiency rating compared to Orenburg's -1.0056. Finally, the match concluded without any red cards, meaning sudden disciplinary events did not impact the flow or outcome of this closely fought contest.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Dynamo Makhachkala showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Chistyakov

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

V. Evseev

I. Akhmetzyanov

0.83

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Dynamo Makhachkala

Draw

Orenburg

Team Power Ranking

56.86

51.73

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Dynamo Makhachkala

Orenburg

Power Score

56.86

51.73

League Position

Global Rank

554

686

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score

Orenburg — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Makhachkala Orenburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Dynamo Makhachkala

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Orenburg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dynamo Makhachkala ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Orenburg

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.41

19.17

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

19.17

31.41

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Dynamo Makhachkala +1.35 Efficiency Index

Orenburg -1.35 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Makhachkala

Orenburg

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dynamo Makhachkala ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Orenburg

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Dynamo Makhachkala Orenburg

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Dynamo Makhachkala Orenburg

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Makhachkala

Orenburg

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Home

3 matches

Orenburg Orenburg Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:04:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

27 D. Volk

22 M. Azzi

4 (C) I. Shumakhov

5 J. Tabidze

71 J. Đapo

16 H. Eddine Mrezigue

6 E. Moubarik

47 N. Glushkov

10 M. Hosseinnezhad Mahaleh kolaei

77 T. Sundukov

25 G. Agalarov

1 B. Ovsyannikov

3 D. Vedernikov

26 E. Tsenov

6 J. Palacios Santos

18 (C) F. Moufi

59 T. Avanesian

37 E. Santos Queiroz

7 F. Gürlük

8 D. Puebla

16 J. Thompson

9 M. Savelyev

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 13, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Stadium :

Anzhi-Arena

Capacity :

28000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Artem Chistyakov

Statistics

Possession

Dynamo Makhachkala

49%

Orenburg

51%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1

12 Shots 8

49 Dangerous attacks 47

46 Possession 54

6 Corners 5

13 Free kicks 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 7

6 Dribble Attempts 13

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

3 Successful Dribbles 5

22 Throwins 21

11 Successful Headers 23

Attacking

89 Attacks 103

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

19 Successful Long Passes 16

252 Passes 284

64 Long Passes 46

30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

167 Successful Passes 199

66 Successful Passes Percentage 70

Defensive

15 Tackles 6

3 Saves 3

8 Interceptions 7

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 26

10 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

13 Fouls 13

1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Artem Chistyakov

Manager ▼

V. Evseev Coach

Starting XI ▼

David Volk Goalkeeper

6.9

Idar Shumakhov (C) Defender

6.7

Andrés Alarcón

Midfielder43'

6.67

Jemal Tabidze Defender

6.73

Mohamed Azzi Defender

6.95

Jan Dapo Defender

6.53

Kirill Zinovich

Midfielder63'

6.77

Mehdi Moubarik Midfielder

7.11

Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad Midfielder

7.79

Ilyas Akhmedov

Defender85'

6.55

Houssem Mrezigue Midfielder

7.4

Nikita Glushkov Midfielder

6.85

Temirkan Sundukov Midfielder

6.36

Gamid Agalarov Attacker

6.73

Hazem Mastouri

Attacker46'

6.66

Substitutes ▼

Andrés Alarcón

Midfielder43'

6.67

Hazem Mastouri

Attacker46'

6.66

Kirill Zinovich

Midfielder63'

6.77

Ilyas Akhmedov

Defender85'

6.55

Bench ▼

Nikita Karabashev Goalkeeper

Timur Magomedov Goalkeeper

Soslan Kagermazov Defender

Arsen Shikhaliev Defender

Nikita Voronin Midfielder

Miro Attacker

Serder Serderov Attacker

Diaa Eddine Mechid Attacker

Referee : Artem Chistyakov