Dynamo Kyiv vs Zorya Luhansk Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky Fri, 17 Apr - 12:30 PM

Premier League

Dynamo Kyiv DYN

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk

Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 12:30 PM

Round 24 Regular Season

Bogdan Redushko - 68'

Volodymyr Brazhko - 63' (P)

Matviy Ponomarenko - 18'

Pylyp Budkivskyi - 8' (P)

CONTEXT

Dynamo Kyiv defeated Zorya Luhansk 3-1 in a Ukrainian Premier League match characterized by a balanced first half and home dominance thereafter. The score was tied 1-1 at halftime, with each team scoring once amid competitive play. Dynamo Kyiv then scored twice in the second half without conceding, leveraging their 63% possession to control proceedings. Zorya Luhansk held 37% possession but struggled to create sustained threats post-interval. No red cards were shown, ensuring even disciplinary conditions. Identified as the stronger team pre-match, Dynamo Kyiv's win aligned with expectations, yet featured a significant structural deviation of 29.9% in their favor. Efficiency remained in line throughout, with no major adjustments or events noted.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Dynamo Kyiv recorded a significant structural deviation of 29.9%.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully market aligned.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments produced no event impact.
Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

Maksim Koziryatskiy

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Vysotsky

1st Assistant

O. Korniyko

2nd Assistant

D. Kubryak

4th Official

I. Kostyuk

V. Skripnik

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

29 - 12 - 6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Dynamo Kyiv

70.06%

Draw

18.88%

Zorya Luhansk

11.07%

Movement

Changes since opening

Dynamo Kyiv

-27.26%

Draw

+16.97%

Zorya Luhansk

+10.3%

Team Power Ranking

32.49

21.61

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Dynamo Kyiv

Zorya Luhansk

Power Score

32.49

21.61

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score

Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Kyiv Zorya Luhansk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Zorya Luhansk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zorya Luhansk

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

22.06

11.49

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

11.49

22.06

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Dynamo Kyiv +1.08 Efficiency Index

Zorya Luhansk -1.08 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Kyiv

Zorya Luhansk

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Zorya Luhansk

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Dynamo Kyiv Zorya Luhansk

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Dynamo Kyiv Zorya Luhansk

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Dynamo Kyiv

Zorya Luhansk

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Dynamo Kyiv

Zorya Luhansk

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Dynamo Kyiv Zorya Luhansk

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Dynamo Kyiv Zorya Luhansk

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Dynamo Kyiv

Zorya Luhansk

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

DYN had peak pressure around 43'.
Zorya Luhansk started the game with stronger pressure.

DYN Pressure Zorya Luhansk Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: DYN reached the top pressure at 43' (72.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 47 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Kyiv DYN Home

47 matches

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+57

Goal Difference

-57

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:01:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

35 R. Neshcheret

13 M. Korobov

34 V. Zakharchenko

32 T. Mykhavko

44 V. Dubinchak

29 V. Buyalskyy

6 V. Brazhko

10 M. Shaparenko

9 N. Voloshyn

11 M. Ponomarenko

70 B. Redushko

12 M. Turbaevsky

10 L. Reis Rodrigues

4 G. Eskinja

55 A. da Silva Cordeiro

44 I. Perduta

6 D. Popara

77 B. Kushnirenko

9 A. Slesar

7 N. Anđušić

11 I. Horbach

28 P. Budkivskyi

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 17, 2026, 12:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Capacity :

40003

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Maksim Koziryatskiy

Volodymyr Vysotsky

Oleksandr Korniyko

Dmitriy Kubryak

Statistics

Possession

DYN

59%

Zorya Luhansk

41%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

4 Shots 1

58 Dangerous attacks 25

63 Possession 37

12 Corners 2

6 Free kicks 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 1

4 Goal Kicks 10

2 Assists 0

4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

74 Attacks 63

Defensive

1 Saves 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 11

0 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy

Manager ▼

I. Kostyuk Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper

6.3

Maksym Korobov Defender

6.45

Taras Mykhavko Defender

6.48

Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender

6.39

Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender

6.37

Kostyantyn Vivcharenko

Defender74'

6.54

Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder

6.75

Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder

6.65

Andriy Yarmolenko

Midfielder74'

6.74

Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder

6.75

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok

Midfielder70'

6.72

Vitaliy Buyalskyi Midfielder

6.58

Bogdan Redushko Midfielder

6.85

Vladyslav Kabaev

Midfielder70'

6.36

Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker

7.11

Eduardo Guerrero

Attacker86'

6.57

Substitutes ▼

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok

Midfielder70'

6.72

Vladyslav Kabaev

Midfielder70'

6.36

Kostyantyn Vivcharenko

Defender74'

6.54

Andriy Yarmolenko

Midfielder74'

6.74

Eduardo Guerrero

Attacker86'

6.57

Bench ▼

Valentyn Morgun Goalkeeper

6.11

Viacheslav Surkis Goalkeeper

6.49

Kristian Bilovar Defender

6.48

Aliou Thiaré Defender

6.36

Shola Ogundana Midfielder

6.46

Referee : Maksim Koziryatskiy