Dynamo Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Olimpiysky National Sports Complex Wed, 13 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
2 Winner 1
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
Full Time Wed, 13 May 12:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Andriy Yarmolenko - 13' (P)
Taras Mykhavko - 8'
Goal
|
Goal
Anton Salabay - 58'

CONTEXT

Dynamo Kyiv claimed a hard-fought 2-1 win against Kolos Kovalivka, extending their strong form at home. The match saw Dynamo Kyiv surge ahead with two first-half goals, leading 2-0 at halftime while holding 48% possession against Kolos's 52%. The visitors responded in the second half, scoring once to narrow the gap, but Dynamo Kyiv's defense held firm to secure the victory. No red cards disrupted play, keeping the contest open and competitive. As the stronger team on paper, Dynamo Kyiv delivered a performance marked by clinical finishing despite the even possession battle. Kolos showed resilience but lacked the cutting edge to overturn the deficit. This result highlights Dynamo Kyiv's ability to capitalize on limited chances in a tightly fought encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dynamo Kyiv's 2-1 win exhibited a 39.3% structural deviation, classified as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Kovalenko

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Stashuk

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.99
Yellow cards / match 3.03
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.26
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
VS
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
Karpaty Rank: 54 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: 42 W
Oleksandria Rank: 44 W
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 59 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dynamo Kyiv
60.68%
Draw
24.12%
Away Kolos Kovalivka
15.2%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dynamo Kyiv
-33.62%
Draw
+19.06%
Kolos Kovalivka
+14.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.95
55.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
Power Score
65.95
55.46
League Position
4
7
Global Rank
307
637

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kolos Kovalivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dynamo Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dynamo Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dynamo Kyiv
vs
Kolos Kovalivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dynamo Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dynamo Kyiv 0.00
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dynamo Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dynamo Kyiv 0.00
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
Dynamo Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kolos Kovalivka had peak pressure around 60'.
  • DYN started the game with stronger pressure.
DYN Pressure Kolos Kovalivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kolos Kovalivka reached the top pressure at 60' (63.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dynamo Kyiv DYN Home
14 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Away
Match Record
7
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
7
Goals
32
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
32
+22
Goal Difference
-22

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T12:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-2-3
Pitch
R. Neshcheret
Ukraine
35 R. Neshcheret
O. Karavaev
Ukraine
20 O. Karavaev
V. Zakharchenko
Ukraine
34 V. Zakharchenko
T. Mykhavko
Ukraine
32 T. Mykhavko
K. Vivcharenko
Substitution
Ukraine
2 K. Vivcharenko
M. Mykhailenko
Ukraine
91 M. Mykhailenko
A. Yarmolenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Yarmolenko
V. Buyalskyy
Substitution
Ukraine
29 V. Buyalskyy
O. Yatsyk
Substitution
Ukraine
5 O. Yatsyk
N. Voloshyn
Ukraine
9 N. Voloshyn
E. Guerrero Lozcano
Substitution
Panama
39 E. Guerrero Lozcano
Pitch
I. Pakholyuk
Ukraine
31 I. Pakholyuk
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 A. Tsurikov
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 M. Burda
E. Kozik
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
E. Trevizan Telles
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
O. Demchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Demchenko
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
A. Salabay
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
A. Tahiri
Kosovo
11 A. Tahiri
I. Kane
Substitution
Mali
14 I. Kane

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Olimpiysky National Sports Complex
Capacity :
70050
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andriy Kovalenko
Igor Stashuk

Statistics

Possession
DYN
50%
Kolos Kovalivka
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
7 Shots 5
35 Dangerous attacks 44
48 Possession 52
1 Corners 5
6 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
1 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 2

Attacking

78 Attacks 66

Defensive

5 Saves 0

Discipline

13 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Andriy Kovalenko

Starting XI ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
6.29
2
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko Defender
6.51
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Defender77'
6.34
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev Defender
6.51
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
6.51
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
6.41
5
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder
6.53
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko
Midfielder62'
6.78
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko Midfielder
6.78
16
Shola Ogundana
Shola Ogundana
Midfielder64'
6.47
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder
6.75
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi Midfielder
6.67
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Midfielder64'
6.77
91
Mykola Mykhaylenko
Mykola Mykhaylenko Midfielder
6.46
39
Eduardo Guerrero
Eduardo Guerrero Attacker
6.57
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko
Midfielder77'
6.82
Referee : Andriy Kovalenko

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Pakholyuk
Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
6.41
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
6.49
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
6.54
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov Defender
6.48
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.51
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
6.61
99
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Arinaldo Rrapaj
Midfielder79'
6.41
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
6.57
15
Artem Gusol
Artem Gusol
Midfielder46'
6.6
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.68
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.56
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
6.65
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri Attacker
6.68

Events

2ND-HALF
79'
Event
Oleksandr Demchenko
4th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Arinaldo Rrapaj → Oleksandr Demchenko
7th Substitution
Event
Mykola Shaparenko → Eduardo Guerrero
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Vladyslav Dubinchak → Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Shola Ogundana → Andriy Yarmolenko
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok → Vitaliy Buyalskyi  
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Volodymyr Brazhko  → Oleksandr Yatsyk
2nd Substitution
62'
58'
Event
Anton Salabay
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
3rd Yellowcard
54'
46'
Event
Artem Gusol → Ibrahim Kane
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi  
2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko
Penalty / 1st Penalty
13'
13'
Event
Mykyta Burda
1st Yellowcard
Event
Taras Mykhavko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
8'

Match Commentary

79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oleksandr Demchenko.
79
Update Update
Arinaldo Rrapaj replaces Oleksandr Demchenko.
77
Update Update
Mykola Shaparenko comes on for Eduardo Guerrero.
77
Update Update
Vladyslav Dubinchak replaces Kostyantyn Vivcharenko.
64
Update Update
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok replaces Vitaliy Buyalskyi.
64
Update Update
Ogundana Shola comes on for Andriy Yarmolenko.
62
Update Update
Volodymyr Brazhko replaces Oleksandr Yatsyk.
46
Update Update
Artem Gusol comes on for Ibrahim Kane.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Andriy Yarmolenko scores, making it 2-0.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Taras Mykhavko scores to make it 1-0.

CONCLUSION

Dynamo Kyiv's 2-1 triumph over Kolos Kovalivka underscores their dominance as the stronger side, converting a 2-0 halftime lead into a vital win despite Kolos's second-half push and slight possession edge. The lack of red cards ensured a fair, uninterrupted flow, with Dynamo Kyiv's efficiency proving the difference in a balanced affair. This significant structural deviation reinforces their control, aligning with expectations in a match defined by early momentum and solid defending. Kolos's response showed promise but fell short, leaving Dynamo Kyiv with a deserved three points.

Dynamo Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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