Dundee vs Livingston Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee DUD
3 Winner 0
Livingston LIV
Full Time Sat, 9 May 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase
Ashley Hay - 83'
Finlay Robertson - 71'
Cameron Congreve - 13'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Dundee claimed a commanding 3-0 home win against Livingston, asserting dominance as the stronger side. They struck first in the opening half to lead 1-0 at halftime, then piled on two more goals after the break to seal the deal. Holding just 43% possession against Livingston's 57%, Dundee showcased ruthless efficiency in front of goal, turning limited chances into a comprehensive victory. The performance featured minimal structural deviation of 2.8%, keeping things tightly in line with expectations. No red cards marred proceedings, ensuring uninterrupted flow, while second-half play saw no major adjustments. This result perfectly aligned with pre-match assessments, underlining Dundee's control despite the visitors' ball dominance. Livingston couldn't muster a response, exiting empty-handed.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dundee recorded minimal structural deviation of 2.8%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments altered second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Steven

Scotland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Bell

1st Assistant

Scotland

C. Ferguson

2nd Assistant

Scotland

G. Soutar

4th Official

Scotland

League averages

Premiership Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.77
Yellow cards / match 3.13
Red cards / match 0.19
Penalties / match 0.21
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
VS
Livingston M. Bartley
M. Bartley
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.52
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 D
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 75 L
Dundee United Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 61 L
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 L
Hibernian Rank: 68 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee
97.15%
Draw
2.37%
Away Livingston
0.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.85
52.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee
Livingston
Power Score
58.85
52.93
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
526
648

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee Livingston

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dundee

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Livingston

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dundee ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.74
20.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.79
41.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dundee +2.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Livingston -2.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee
Livingston
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dundee ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dundee Livingston
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dundee Livingston
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee
Livingston
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dundee
vs
Livingston
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dundee Livingston
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dundee 0.41
Livingston 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dundee Livingston
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dundee 0.00
Livingston 0.08
Dundee
Livingston
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LIV had peak pressure around 71'.
  • DUD started the game with stronger pressure.
DUD Pressure LIV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LIV reached the top pressure at 71' (86.77).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee DUD Home
14 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
18
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:02:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. O'Hara
Republic of Ireland
13 K. O'Hara
B. Halliday
Substitution
England
16 B. Halliday
R. Astley
Wales
4 R. Astley
L. Graham
Scotland
22 L. Graham
D. Wright
England
7 D. Wright
Y. Dhanda
England
21 Y. Dhanda
E. Hamilton
Scotland
48 E. Hamilton
C. Congreve
Substitution
Wales
20 C. Congreve
J. Westley
Substitution
England
19 J. Westley
T. Yogane
Substitution
England
17 T. Yogane
S. Murray
Substitution
Scotland
15 S. Murray
Pitch
J. Prior
France
28 J. Prior
C. Kerr
Substitution
Scotland
2 C. Kerr
D. Wilson
Scotland
27 D. Wilson
B. Kabongolo
England
23 B. Kabongolo
D. Finlayson
Northern Ireland
19 D. Finlayson
M. Sylla
Substitution
France
24 M. Sylla
M. Tait
Scotland
25 M. Tait
B. McKay
Substitution
Scotland
10 B. McKay
S. Pittman
Scotland
8 S. Pittman
L. Smith
Scotland
15 L. Smith
J. Nouble
Substitution
England
7 J. Nouble

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Capacity :
11775
Attendance :
5573
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Colin Steven
Jonathan Bell
Craig Ferguson
Greg Soutar

Statistics

Possession
DUD
47%
LIV
53%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 5
39 Dangerous attacks 37
43 Possession 57
7 Corners 5
5 Free kicks 2
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
9 Dribble Attempts 7
16 Throwins 22
8 Goal Kicks 7
5 Successful Dribbles 2
68 Ball Safe 64
14 Goal Attempts 7
0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

80 Attacks 79
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

345 Successful Passes 483
11 Key Passes 9
82 Successful Passes Percentage 85
65 Long Passes 53
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
32 Successful Long Passes 18
421 Passes 565

Defensive

40 Duels Won 29
11 Interceptions 5
3 Saves 1
14 Tackles 9

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 20
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

3 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

13
Kieran O'Hara
Kieran O'Hara Goalkeeper
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Defender
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Defender
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Defender
12
Imari Samuels
Imari Samuels
Defender68'
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Defender
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Midfielder
5
Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio
Defender68'
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Midfielder
11
Ashley Hay
Ashley Hay
Attacker80'
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Midfielder
25
Scott Wright
Scott Wright
Attacker80'
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Midfielder
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Midfielder
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Attacker
10
Finlay Robertson
Finlay Robertson
Midfielder69'
Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

28
Jérôme Prior
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
2
Cammy Kerr
Cammy Kerr Defender
26
Cristian Montano
Cristian Montano
Defender86'
19
Danny Finlayson
Danny Finlayson Defender
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo Defender
27
Danny Wilson
Danny Wilson Defender
8
Scott Pittman
Scott Pittman Midfielder
10
Barrie McKay
Barrie McKay Midfielder
17
Stevie May
Stevie May
Attacker80'
15
Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith Midfielder
24
Mohamad Sylla
Mohamad Sylla Midfielder
20
Emmanuel Danso
Emmanuel Danso
Midfielder86'
25
Macaulay Tait
Macaulay Tait Midfielder
7
Joel Nouble
Joel Nouble Attacker
9
Robbie Muirhead
Robbie Muirhead
Attacker64'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Billy Koumetio
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+2'
86'
Event
Cristian Montano → Cammy Kerr
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Emmanuel Danso → Mohamad Sylla
8th Substitution
Event
Ashley Hay
Header / 3rd Goal
83'
Event
Ashley Hay → Joe Westley
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Scott Wright → Cameron Congreve
7th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Stevie May → Barrie McKay
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
75'
Event
Robbie Muirhead
GoalkeeperSave
Event
Finlay Robertson
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
Event
Finlay Robertson → Simon Murray
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Imari Samuels → Brad Halliday
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Billy Koumetio → Tony Yogane
2nd Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Robbie Muirhead → Joel Nouble
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Cameron Congreve
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ethan Hamilton takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Cristian Montano is on, and Cammy Kerr is off.
86
Update Update
Emmanuel Danso is on, and Mohamad Sylla is off.
83
Update Update
Ashley Hay scores with a header.
83
Attempt Attempt
Ashley Hay takes a shot with her head and scores a goal.
82
Attempt Attempt
Macauley Tait has a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Update Update
Scott Wright replaces Cameron Congreve.
80
Substitution Substitution
Ashley Hay is substituted for Joe Westley.
80
Update Update
Steve May comes on for Barry McKay.
76
Attempt Attempt
Barry McKay takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
75
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Muirhead takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve's left-footed shot is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Finlay Robertson scores with a left-footed shot.
69
Update Update
Finlay Robertson replaces Simon Murray.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Billy Koumetio comes on for Tony Yogane.
68
Attempt Attempt
Cammy Kerr takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Update Update
Imari Samuels is on, and Brad Halliday is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Lewis Smith takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
64
Update Update
Robbie Muirhead is on, and Jon Nouble is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Macauley Tait takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jon Nouble takes a header shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Joe Westley took a right-footed shot, but it was blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Yan Dhanda's right-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Astley takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Simon Murray takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Jon Nouble takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Ethan Hamilton takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Simon Murray takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Joe Westley takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Congreve scores with a right-footed shot.
12
Attempt Attempt
Danny Wilson attempts a header but misses the shot.
7
Attempt Attempt
Macauley Tait takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
5
Attempt Attempt
Graham Luke takes a shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Joe Westley takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Dundee's 3-0 rout of Livingston exemplified their edge as the stronger team, converting scant possession into a flawless scoreline. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they efficiently extended the advantage without disruption from cards or events. Minimal deviation and aligned efficiency validated the straightforward outcome, even sans xG insights. Livingston's higher possession yielded nothing, highlighting Dundee's defensive solidity and clinical edge. This clean-sheet victory bolsters Dundee's standing, signaling sustained form ahead in competitive fixtures.

Dundee vs Livingston preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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