Dundee United vs Livingston Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Tannadice Park Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Premiership
Dundee United DUD
0 – 0
Livingston LIV
Full Time Tue, 12 May 6:45 PM
Round 37 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee United hosted Livingston in a Scottish Premiership encounter that ended in a 0-0 draw, mirroring the halftime scoreline with no goals in either half. Possession was nearly even, at 48% for the home side and 52% for the visitors, reflecting a balanced contest. Dundee United, deemed the stronger team pre-match, dominated underlying metrics but failed to convert chances into goals. No red cards were shown, ensuring the game flowed without major interruptions from dismissals. The result displayed a moderate structural deviation of 8.5% towards Dundee United, suggesting performance edges not captured by the score. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and market alignment held true despite the stalemate. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but the even nature at halftime underscored a tactical deadlock throughout.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 8.5% favored Dundee United.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-market structure.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Irvine

Scotland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Spence

1st Assistant

Scotland

M. MacDermid

2nd Assistant

Scotland

G. Grainger

4th Official

Scotland

League averages

Premiership Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.91
Yellow cards / match 3.39
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.21
Dundee United J. Goodwin
J. Goodwin
VS
Livingston M. Bartley
M. Bartley
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 L
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Livingston Rank: 54 W
Rangers Rank: 76 L
Celtic Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee Rank: 59 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 61 L
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 61 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee United
4.91%
Draw
91.5%
Away Livingston
3.59%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dundee United
-2.29%
Draw
+3.16%
Livingston
-0.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.18
52.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee United
Livingston
Power Score
61.18
52.42
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
460
668

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee United Livingston

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dundee United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Livingston

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dundee United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.19
32.40
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.40
37.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dundee United +0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Livingston -0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee United
Livingston
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dundee United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dundee United Livingston
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dundee United Livingston
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee United
Livingston
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dundee United
vs
Livingston
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dundee United Livingston
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dundee United 0.26
Livingston 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dundee United Livingston
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dundee United 0.00
Livingston 0.00
Dundee United
Livingston
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DUD had peak pressure around 52'.
  • LIV started the game with stronger pressure.
DUD Pressure LIV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DUD reached the top pressure at 52' (56.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee United DUD Home
17 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
8
3
Draws
3
8
Losses
6
Goals
23
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
23
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:02:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Richards
Wales
25 D. Richards
S. Harding
Scotland
37 S. Harding
B. Esselink
Netherlands
3 B. Esselink
R. Graham
Scotland
6 R. Graham
R. Strain
Substitution
Australia
2 R. Strain
V. Ševelj
Croatia
5 V. Ševelj
P. Pereira Camará
Substitution
Guinea-Bissau
8 P. Pereira Camará
W. Ferry
Republic of Ireland
11 W. Ferry
N. Farrugia
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
20 N. Farrugia
Z. Sapsford
Substitution
Australia
9 Z. Sapsford
J. Russell
Substitution
Scotland
77 J. Russell
Pitch
J. Prior
France
28 J. Prior
C. Montaño Castillo
Substitution
Colombia
26 C. Montaño Castillo
D. Finlayson
Northern Ireland
19 D. Finlayson
B. Kabongolo
England
23 B. Kabongolo
C. Kerr
Scotland
2 C. Kerr
M. Tait
Scotland
25 M. Tait
E. Danso
Substitution
Ghana
20 E. Danso
S. May
Scotland
17 S. May
S. Pittman
Substitution
Scotland
8 S. Pittman
L. Smith
Substitution
Scotland
15 L. Smith
R. Muirhead
Substitution
Scotland
9 R. Muirhead

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Tannadice Park
Capacity :
14268
Attendance :
8327
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Grant Irvine
Calum Spence
Michael MacDermid
Graham Grainger

Statistics

Possession
DUD
49%
LIV
51%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 6
57 Dangerous attacks 57
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 8
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

25 Throwins 19
8 Goal Kicks 8
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
1 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Dribble Attempts 9
1 Injuries 0
122 Ball Safe 120
7 Goal Attempts 7
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

96 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

61 Long Passes 65
24 Successful Long Passes 18
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28
282 Successful Passes 288
364 Passes 397
13 Key Passes 11
77 Successful Passes Percentage 73

Defensive

11 Interceptions 5
40 Duels Won 47
8 Tackles 11
2 Saves 5

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 25
13 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Grant Irvine

Starting XI ▼

25
Dave Richards
Dave Richards Goalkeeper
3
Bert Esselink
Bert Esselink Defender
6
Ross Graham
Ross Graham Defender
37
S. Harding
S. Harding Defender
2
Ryan Strain
Ryan Strain Midfielder
39
Scott Constable
Scott Constable
Midfielder83'
5
Vicko Sevelj
Vicko Sevelj Midfielder
8
Panutche Camara
Panutche Camara Midfielder
14
Craig Sibbald
Craig Sibbald
Midfielder62'
11
Will Ferry
Will Ferry Midfielder
9
Zachary Sapsford
Zachary Sapsford Attacker
34
Owen Stirton
Owen Stirton
Defender62'
20
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia Attacker
19
Ivan Dolcek
Ivan Dolcek
Attacker62'
77
Johnny Russell
Johnny Russell Attacker
10
Julius Eskesen
Julius Eskesen
Midfielder68'
Referee : Grant Irvine

Starting XI ▼

28
Jérôme Prior
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
2
Cammy Kerr
Cammy Kerr Defender
19
Danny Finlayson
Danny Finlayson Defender
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo Defender
26
Cristian Montano
Cristian Montano Defender
3
Babacar Fati
Babacar Fati
Defender76'
8
Scott Pittman
Scott Pittman Midfielder
10
Barrie McKay
Barrie McKay
Midfielder70'
15
Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith Midfielder
36
Sam Culbert
Sam Culbert
Attacker87'
17
Stevie May
Stevie May Midfielder
20
Emmanuel Danso
Emmanuel Danso Midfielder
29
Joshua Zimmerman
Joshua Zimmerman
Attacker76'
25
Macaulay Tait
Macaulay Tait Midfielder
9
Robbie Muirhead
Robbie Muirhead Attacker
6
Aidan Denholm
Aidan Denholm
Midfielder76'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Scott Constable
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
87'
Event
Sam Culbert → Lewis Smith
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Joshua Zimmerman
Penalty disallowed
86'
Event
Joshua Zimmerman
Simulation / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Scott Constable → Ryan Strain
9th Substitution
83'
76'
Event
Aidan Denholm → Robbie Muirhead
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Joshua Zimmerman → Emmanuel Danso
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Babacar Fati → Cristian Montano
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Barrie McKay → Scott Pittman
5th Substitution
Event
Julius Eskesen → Johnny Russell
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Panutche Camara
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
62'
Event
7th Yellowcard
62'
Event
Ivan Dolcek → N. Farrugia
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Craig Sibbald → Panutche Camara
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Owen Stirton → Zachary Sapsford
3rd Substitution
62'
60'
Event
Emmanuel Danso
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
20'
Event
Cammy Kerr
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Scott Constable of Dundee United receives a yellow card in the 89th minute.
87
Substitution Substitution
Sam Culbert is substituted for Livingston in the 87th minute.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joshua Zimmerman of Livingston receives a yellow card in the 86th minute.
83
Substitution Substitution
Scott Constable is substituted for Dundee United in the 83rd minute.
76
Substitution Substitution
Aidan Denholm is substituted for Livingston in the 76th minute.
76
Substitution Substitution
Joshua Zimmerman is substituted for Livingston in the 76th minute.
76
Substitution Substitution
Babacar Fati is substituted for Livingston in the 76th minute.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brooklyn Kabongolo of Livingston receives a yellow card in the 74th minute.
70
Substitution Substitution
Barrie McKay is substituted for Livingston in the 70th minute.
68
Substitution Substitution
Julius Eskesen is substituted for Dundee United in the 68th minute.
62
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Dolcek is substituted for Dundee United in the 62nd minute.
62
Substitution Substitution
Craig Sibbald is substituted for Dundee United in the 62nd minute.
62
Substitution Substitution
Owen Stirton is substituted for Dundee United in the 62nd minute.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Panutche Camara of Dundee United receives a yellow card in the 62nd minute.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emmanuel Danso from Livingston receives a yellow card in the 60th minute.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cameron Kerr from Livingston receives a yellow card in the 20th minute.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Dundee United and Livingston highlighted a closely fought affair where neither side could capitalize on possession edges. Dundee United's status as the stronger team translated to moderate structural deviation but not a win, with efficiency metrics holding steady. Market alignment confirmed the result fit expectations, while absent xG data leaves chance creation open to interpretation. Without red cards or significant events, the stalemate stemmed from defensive solidity and clinical finishing lacks. This outcome maintains both teams' campaigns without major shifts, emphasizing the need for improved conversion in future fixtures.

Dundee United vs Livingston preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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