Dundee United vs Livingston Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Tannadice Park Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Premiership Dundee United DUD 
0 – 0
Livingston LIV Full Time Tue, 12 May 6:45 PM
Round 37 · 2nd Phase
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Dundee United hosted Livingston in a Scottish Premiership encounter that ended in a 0-0 draw, mirroring the halftime scoreline with no goals in either half. Possession was nearly even, at 48% for the home side and 52% for the visitors, reflecting a balanced contest. Dundee United, deemed the stronger team pre-match, dominated underlying metrics but failed to convert chances into goals. No red cards were shown, ensuring the game flowed without major interruptions from dismissals. The result displayed a moderate structural deviation of 8.5% towards Dundee United, suggesting performance edges not captured by the score. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and market alignment held true despite the stalemate. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but the even nature at halftime underscored a tactical deadlock throughout.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 8.5% favored Dundee United.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-market structure.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
G. Irvine
Scotland • 25 matches in sample Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
C. Spence
1st Assistant
ScotlandM. MacDermid
2nd Assistant
ScotlandG. Grainger
4th Official
ScotlandLeague averages
Premiership Based on last 100 matches
Fouls / match 19.91
Yellow cards / match 3.39
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.21
J. Goodwin
VS
M. Bartley
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 L
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Livingston Rank: 54 W
Rangers Rank: 76 L
Celtic Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee Rank: 59 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 61 L
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 61 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 8
8
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Dundee United4.91%
Draw
91.5%
Livingston3.59%
Movement
Changes since opening Dundee United-2.29%
Draw
+3.16%
Livingston-0.87%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.18 52.42 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee United LivingstonPower Score
61.18
52.42
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
460
668
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee United Livingston
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
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Dundee United
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Livingston
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Dundee United ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.19
32.40
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.40
37.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dundee United +0.46 Efficiency Index
vs
Livingston -0.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee United
Livingston
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Dundee United ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Livingston
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dundee United Livingston Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dundee United Livingston Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dundee United
Livingston
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Dundee Unitedvs
Livingston
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dundee United Livingston Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dundee United 0.26
Livingston 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dundee United Livingston Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dundee United 0.00
Livingston 0.00
Dundee United
Livingston
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- DUD had peak pressure around 52'.
- LIV started the game with stronger pressure.
DUD Pressure LIV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DUD reached the top pressure at 52' (56.20).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Dundee United DUD Home
17 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record 6
Wins
8
3
Draws
3
8
Losses
6
Goals 23
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
23
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:02:43+00:00
STARTING XI
Dundee United Livingston Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
25 D. Richards
37 S. Harding
3 B. Esselink
6 R. Graham
S. Constable
#3983'
2 R. Strain
5 V. Ševelj
C. Sibbald
#1462'
8 P. Pereira Camará
11 W. Ferry
I. Dolček
#1962'
20 N. Farrugia
O. Stirton
#3462'
9 Z. Sapsford
J. Eskesen
#1068'
77 J. Russell
28 J. Prior
B. Fati
#376'
26 C. Montaño Castillo
19 D. Finlayson
23 B. Kabongolo
2 C. Kerr
25 M. Tait
J. Zimmerman
#2976'
20 E. Danso
17 S. May
B. McKay
#1070'
8 S. Pittman
S. Culbert
#3687'
15 L. Smith
A. Denholm
#676'
9 R. Muirhead
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
🏟️ Stadium :
Tannadice Park
👥 Capacity :
14268
🎟️ Attendance :
8327
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Grant Irvine
Calum Spence
Michael MacDermid
Graham Grainger
Next Match
Dundee United
vs
St. Mirren
League: Premiership
Kickoff: Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: The Smisa Stadium
Livingston
vs
Kilmarnock
League: Premiership
Kickoff: Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena
Statistics
Possession
DUD
49%
LIV
51%
Top Statistics
1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 6
57 Dangerous attacks 57
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 8
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
Match Overview
25 Throwins 19
8 Goal Kicks 8
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
1 Successful Dribbles 6
4 Dribble Attempts 9
1 Injuries 0
122 Ball Safe 120
7 Goal Attempts 7
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5
Attacking
96 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0
Possession
61 Long Passes 65
24 Successful Long Passes 18
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28
282 Successful Passes 288
364 Passes 397
13 Key Passes 11
77 Successful Passes Percentage 73
Defensive
11 Interceptions 5
40 Duels Won 47
8 Tackles 11
2 Saves 5
Build-up
29 Total Crosses 25
13 Accurate Crosses 2
Discipline
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
Lineup
Dundee United Referee : Grant Irvine
Manager ▼
J. Goodwin Coach
Starting XI ▼
25 Dave Richards Goalkeeper
3 Bert Esselink Defender
6 Ross Graham Defender
37 S. Harding Defender
2 Ryan Strain Midfielder
39Scott Constable
Midfielder83'
5 Vicko Sevelj Midfielder
8 Panutche Camara Midfielder
14Craig Sibbald
Midfielder62'
11 Will Ferry Midfielder
9 Zachary Sapsford Attacker
34Owen Stirton
Defender62'
20 N. Farrugia Attacker
19Ivan Dolcek
Attacker62'
77 Johnny Russell Attacker
10Julius Eskesen
Midfielder68'
Substitutes ▼
19Ivan Dolcek
Attacker62'
14Craig Sibbald
Midfielder62'
34Owen Stirton
Defender62'
10Julius Eskesen
Midfielder68'
39Scott Constable
Midfielder83'
Bench ▼
31 Ruairidh Adams Goalkeeper
4
Iurie Iovu Defender
23
Krisztián Keresztes Defender
36
Max Watters Attacker
Livingston Referee : Grant Irvine
Manager ▼
M. Bartley Coach
Starting XI ▼
28 Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
2 Cammy Kerr Defender
19 Danny Finlayson Defender
23 Brooklyn Kabongolo Defender
26 Cristian Montano Defender
3Babacar Fati
Defender76'
8 Scott Pittman Midfielder
10Barrie McKay
Midfielder70'
15 Lewis Smith Midfielder
36Sam Culbert
Attacker87'
17 Stevie May Midfielder
20 Emmanuel Danso Midfielder
29Joshua Zimmerman
Attacker76'
25 Macaulay Tait Midfielder
9 Robbie Muirhead Attacker
6Aidan Denholm
Midfielder76'
Substitutes ▼
10Barrie McKay
Midfielder70'
6Aidan Denholm
Midfielder76'
29Joshua Zimmerman
Attacker76'
3Babacar Fati
Defender76'
36Sam Culbert
Attacker87'
Bench ▼
14
Jack Hamilton Goalkeeper
27
Danny Wilson Defender
24
Mohamad Sylla Midfielder
40
Samson Lawal Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
Scott Constable
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
87'
Sam Culbert → Lewis Smith
10th Substitution
86'
Joshua Zimmerman
Penalty disallowed
86'
Joshua Zimmerman
Simulation / 4th Yellowcard
Scott Constable → Ryan Strain
9th Substitution
83'
76'
Aidan Denholm → Robbie Muirhead
6th Substitution
76'
Joshua Zimmerman → Emmanuel Danso
8th Substitution
76'
Babacar Fati → Cristian Montano
7th Substitution
74'
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Barrie McKay → Scott Pittman
5th Substitution
Julius Eskesen → Johnny Russell
4th Substitution
68'
Panutche Camara
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
62'
7th Yellowcard
62'
Ivan Dolcek → N. Farrugia
1st Substitution
62'
Craig Sibbald → Panutche Camara
2nd Substitution
62'
Owen Stirton → Zachary Sapsford
3rd Substitution
62'
60'
Emmanuel Danso
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
20'
Cammy Kerr
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
The 0-0 draw between Dundee United and Livingston highlighted a closely fought affair where neither side could capitalize on possession edges. Dundee United's status as the stronger team translated to moderate structural deviation but not a win, with efficiency metrics holding steady. Market alignment confirmed the result fit expectations, while absent xG data leaves chance creation open to interpretation. Without red cards or significant events, the stalemate stemmed from defensive solidity and clinical finishing lacks. This outcome maintains both teams' campaigns without major shifts, emphasizing the need for improved conversion in future fixtures.
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Match Commentary