Djurgården vs Sirius Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Mon, 18 May - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Djurgården DJU
2 Winner 3
Sirius SIR
Full Time Mon, 18 May 5:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
Tobias Anker - 51' (Own Goal)
Mikael Anderson - 13'
Goal
|
Goal
Neo Jönsson - 57'

CONTEXT

The match between Djurgården and Sirius concluded with a 2-3 victory for the visitors. Djurgården, expected to be the stronger side, held 60 percent of the possession throughout the game. However, they only managed to score twice, while Sirius found the net on three occasions. At halftime, the score stood at 1-2 in favor of Sirius. The significant structural deviation observed in the game favored the away team, who defied pre-match expectations. Efficiency remained in line with overall performance metrics for both sides. Without any red cards affecting the play, the contest proceeded without major disruptions. Sirius's ability to secure the win away from home marked a notable achievement in this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sirius recorded a significant 68.1 percent deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with performance metrics for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable to assess alignment with the scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The final result showed no alignment with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: Absence of xG figures prevented precise evaluation of goal expectations.
  • Event impact: The 1-2 halftime score shaped second-half play leading to the 2-3 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards issued produced no distortion to match structure or flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Wolf

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hallin

1st Assistant

Sweden

A. Milovanovic

2nd Assistant

Sweden

E. Mattsson

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.14
Yellow cards / match 3.09
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.18
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.71
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: 58 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 W
Hammarby Rank: 68 D
Elfsborg Rank: 57 L
Malmö FF Rank: 62 L
Kalmar Rank: 50 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Kalmar Rank: 50 W
Häcken Rank: 58 D
Malmö FF Rank: 62 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 W
Hammarby Rank: 70 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Djurgården
43.29%
Draw
24.79%
Away Sirius
31.92%

Movement

Changes since opening
Djurgården
+43.1%
Draw
+20.59%
Sirius
-63.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.01
64.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Djurgården
Sirius
Power Score
65.01
64.05
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
326
352

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Djurgården — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Djurgården Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Djurgården

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.58
40.38
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.38
25.58
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Djurgården -1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius +1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Djurgården Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Djurgården Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Djurgården
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Djurgården Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Djurgården 0.28
Sirius 0.65
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Djurgården Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Djurgården 0.13
Sirius 0.04
Djurgården
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 46'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
DJU Pressure SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 46' (83.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Djurgården DJU Home
18 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
13
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
13
Goals
42
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
42
+29
Goal Difference
-29

Data last updated: 2026-05-19T00:01:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Rinne
Sweden
35 J. Rinne
P. Johansson
Sweden
2 P. Johansson
M. Tenho
Finland
5 M. Tenho
M. Marques
Sweden
21 M. Marques
A. Ståhl
Substitution
Sweden
18 A. Ståhl
M. Anderson
Substitution
Iceland
10 M. Anderson
H. Finndell
Substitution
Sweden
14 H. Finndell
B. Hegland
Norway
16 B. Hegland
M. Siltanen
Finland
20 M. Siltanen
J. Okkels
Substitution
Denmark
19 J. Okkels
K. Lien
Norway
9 K. Lien
Pitch
D. Celic
Sweden
34 D. Celic
O. Krusnell
Sweden
22 O. Krusnell
T. Anker
Denmark
4 T. Anker
M. Soumah
Guinea
2 M. Soumah
V. Ekström
Sweden
20 V. Ekström
M. Lindberg
Denmark
6 M. Lindberg
M. Heier
Sweden
10 M. Heier
V. Svensson
Substitution
Denmark
24 V. Svensson
I. Bjerkebo
Substitution
Sweden
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
Scotland
9 R. Ure
O. Jönsson
Substitution
Sweden
17 O. Jönsson

General Information

Date & Time :
May 18, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mikael Hallin
Victor Wolf
Alexander Milovanovic
Erik Mattsson

Statistics

Possession
DJU
58%
SIR
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 13
47 Dangerous attacks 23
60 Possession 40
7 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 4
4 Successful Dribbles 4
22 Throwins 20
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
12 Dribble Attempts 8
1 Assists 3
78 Ball Safe 75
7 Goal Attempts 12
4 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

116 Attacks 55
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 81
50 Long Passes 33
27 Successful Long Passes 11
432 Successful Passes 274
505 Passes 340
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
8 Key Passes 8

Defensive

11 Tackles 18
33 Duels Won 46
7 Interceptions 11
6 Saves 3

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 10
8 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

14 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
2
Piotr Johansson
Piotr Johansson Defender
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Defender
18
Adam Ståhl
Adam Ståhl Defender
3
Leon Hien
Leon Hien
Attacker74'
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques Defender
10
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson Midfielder
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund
Midfielder56'
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Midfielder
13
Daniel Stensson
Daniel Stensson
Midfielder62'
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Midfielder
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels Midfielder
22
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro
Attacker74'
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Midfielder
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Attacker
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Defender
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu
Attacker87'
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
8
Matthias Nartey
Matthias Nartey
Midfielder90+5'
17
Neo Jönsson
Neo Jönsson Attacker
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder75'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Matthias Nartey → Isak Bjerkebo
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Victor Ekstrom
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Odera Samuel Adindu → Victor Svensson
6th Substitution
Event
Mikael Marques
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
85'
Event
Victor Svensson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
75'
Event
Charlie Nildén → Neo Jönsson
5th Substitution
Event
Joel Asoro → Jeppe Okkels
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Leon Hien → Adam Ståhl
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Daniel Stensson → Hampus Finndell
2nd Substitution
62'
58'
Event
Neo Jönsson
2nd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Neo Jönsson
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Patric Åslund → Mikael Anderson
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Tobias Anker
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
38'
Event
Marcus Lindberg
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
35'
Event
Oscar Krusnell
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Mikael Anderson
Header / 1st Goal
13'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Joel Asoro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leon Hien's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Update Update
Matthias Nartey replaces Isak Bjerkebo.
90
Attempt Attempt
Joel Asoro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Joel Asoro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Odera Samuel Adindu comes on for Victor Svensson.
86
Attempt Attempt
Leon Hien's right-footed shot is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Joel Asoro takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
83
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Joel Asoro takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Stensson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Substitution Substitution
Charlie Nilden is substituted for Neo Jonsson.
75
Update Update
Leon Hien comes on for Adam Stahl.
74
Update Update
Joel Asoro is on, and Jeppe Okkels is off.
73
Attempt Attempt
Bo Asulv Hegland takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Neo Jonsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Neo Jonsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Update Update
Daniel Stensson replaces Hampus Finndell.
59
Attempt Attempt
Hampus Finndell takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Neo Jonsson receives a yellow card.
57
Attempt Attempt
Neo Jonsson scores with a left-footed shot.
56
Update Update
Patric Karl Emil Aslund comes on for Mikael Neville Anderson.
49
Attempt Attempt
Miro Tenho takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson's header is saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Ure scores with a right-footed shot.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marcus Lindberg scores, making it 1-1.
38
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg scores with a right-footed shot.
34
Attempt Attempt
Hampus Finndell's left-footed shot is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Bo Asulv Hegland takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
26
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Mikael Neville Anderson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikael Neville scores to make it 1-0.
13
Update Update
Mikael Neville Anderson scores with a header.
11
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Review of the fixture shows Djurgården controlled possession at 60 percent yet could not prevent Sirius from claiming a 2-3 away success. The visitors established a 1-2 halftime advantage and defended it through organized transitions. Absence of red cards allowed uninterrupted tactical battles between the sides. Sirius outperformed relative to their designation as the weaker side by converting limited chances. Djurgården's territorial edge failed to produce sufficient goal returns against a compact defense. The significant deviation underscores how execution in decisive moments outweighed statistical control. This result illustrates variance in outcomes when efficiency aligns with opportunity rather than dominance alone.

Djurgården vs Sirius preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.