Djurgården vs Hammarby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Djurgården DJU
1 – 1
Hammarby HAM
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Kristian Strømland Lien - 9'
Goal
|
Goal
Nahir Besara - 61'

CONTEXT

Djurgården and Hammarby played out a 1-1 draw in a tightly contested Allsvenskan match. Djurgården struck first in the first half, leading 1-0 at halftime with a goal that capitalized on their limited possession of 38 percent. Hammarby, identified as the stronger team, dominated possession at 62 percent but struggled to convert their control into goals until the second half, where they equalized to secure a point. No red cards were shown, and there were no significant second-half adjustments noted. The result represents a moderate structural deviation of 10 percent favoring Hammarby, with market alignment holding true and efficiency remaining in line with expectations. Despite Hammarby's superiority in possession and team strength, Djurgården's defensive resilience ensured the share of spoils, highlighting the home side's effectiveness in countering pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 10 percent deviation favored Hammarby in the 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards impacted the 1-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Nyberg

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Beigi

1st Assistant

D. Yng

2nd Assistant

A. Ladebäck

4th Official

Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
VS
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Kalmar Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Öster Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: D
Örgryte Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 9 - 18
18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Djurgården
4.46%
Draw
90.03%
Away Hammarby
5.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.93
31.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Djurgården
Hammarby
Power Score
19.93
31.08
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Djurgården — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Djurgården Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Djurgården

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.13
30.40
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.40
20.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Djurgården -1.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Hammarby +1.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Hammarby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Djurgården ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Djurgården Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Djurgården Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Djurgården
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Djurgården
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Djurgården Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Djurgården 0.18
Hammarby 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Djurgården Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Djurgården 0.02
Hammarby 0.03
Djurgården
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 35'.
  • DJU started the game with stronger pressure.
DJU Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 35' (83.71).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Djurgården DJU Home
32 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
5
Wins
18
9
Draws
9
18
Losses
5
Goals
37
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
37
-20
Goal Difference
+20

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:02:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Rinne
Sweden
35 J. Rinne
P. Johansson
Sweden
2 P. Johansson
M. Tenho
Finland
5 M. Tenho
J. Une-Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
4 J. Une-Larsson
M. Larsson
Sweden
24 M. Larsson
P. Langhoff
Denmark
6 P. Langhoff
M. Siltanen
Finland
20 M. Siltanen
P. Åslund
Substitution
Sweden
8 P. Åslund
H. Finndell
Substitution
Sweden
14 H. Finndell
B. Hegland
Substitution
Norway
16 B. Hegland
K. Lien
Substitution
Norway
9 K. Lien
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
I. Breze Fofana
Guinea
6 I. Breze Fofana
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
O. Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 O. Johansson
V. Lind
Substitution
Denmark
9 V. Lind
N. Besara
Sweden
20 N. Besara
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
P. Abraham
Sweden
7 P. Abraham

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mahbod Beigi
Daniel Yng
Adam Ladebäck
Glenn Nyberg

Statistics

Possession
DJU
42%
HAM
58%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 3
33 Dangerous attacks 57
38 Possession 62
1 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 20
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 4
14 Dribble Attempts 19
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 37
22 Throwins 17
10 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Injuries 1
81 Ball Safe 77
6 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

78 Attacks 82

Possession

6 Key Passes 12
28 Successful Long Passes 19
69 Successful Passes Percentage 85
326 Passes 541
225 Successful Passes 461
74 Long Passes 46
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

54 Duels Won 49
2 Saves 2
21 Tackles 9
8 Interceptions 11

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 15
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

20 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Piotr Johansson
Piotr Johansson Defender
7.23
4
Jacob Une Larsson
Jacob Une Larsson Defender
6.94
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques
Defender78'
7.22
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Defender
7.05
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Defender
6.87
6
P. Langhoff
P. Langhoff Midfielder
6.58
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Midfielder
6.87
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels
Attacker62'
6.6
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Midfielder
6.87
18
Adam Ståhl
Adam Ståhl
Defender78'
6.43
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Midfielder
7.37
22
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro
Attacker62'
6.59
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Midfielder
7.08
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Attacker
7.19
3
Leon Hien
Leon Hien
Attacker69'
6.79
Referee : Glenn Nyberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7.11
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
7.08
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.3
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.83
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
6.91
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.27
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7.62
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson
Defender67'
7.11
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
7.04
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder90+5'
7.17
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
7.93
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
6.98
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Attacker80'
6.87
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.49

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Oscar Johansson Schellhas
8th Substitution
Event
P. Langhoff
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
81'
Event
Noah Persson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
80'
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
7th Substitution
Event
Adam Ståhl → Hampus Finndell
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Mikael Marques → Jacob Une Larsson
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Leon Hien → Kristian Strømland Lien
4th Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Noah Persson → Victor Lind
3rd Substitution
Event
Jeppe Okkels → Patric Åslund
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Joel Asoro → B. Hegland
1st Substitution
62'
61'
Event
Nahir Besara
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Kristian Strømland Lien
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Djurgården and Hammarby underscores a balanced outcome despite Hammarby's edge in possession and status as the stronger team. Djurgården's first-half goal provided a halftime lead of 1-0, but Hammarby's second-half response leveled the score, reflecting their control without overperformance. With no red cards or structural disruptions beyond a moderate 10 percent deviation, the result stayed market-aligned and efficiency-consistent. This point leaves both sides with positives: Djurgården for resilience, Hammarby for dominance without defeat. The match exemplifies Allsvenskan competitiveness.

Djurgården vs Hammarby preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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