Deportivo La Coruña vs Las Palmas Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Abanca-Riazor Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Deportivo La Coruña COR
1 Winner 2
Las Palmas LPA
Full Time Sun, 31 May 4:30 PM
Round 42 Regular Season
Zakaria Eddahchouri - 28'
Goal
|
Goal
Marvin Park - 18'
Kirian Rodríguez - 7'

CONTEXT

Deportivo La Coruña hosted Las Palmas in a match that concluded with a 1-2 away victory. The halftime score stood at 1-2, indicating an early advantage for the visitors that held throughout the second period. Home side possession reached 44 percent while the away team controlled 56 percent of the ball. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. Las Palmas emerged as the winner despite Deportivo La Coruña being the stronger pre-match side. The outcome featured a significant deviation level of 55.3 percent attributed to the away team. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed performance patterns and the result aligned with market indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Las Palmas recorded a significant 55.3 percent structural deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the final performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to missing expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the away side claimed the 1-2 result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined without supporting data inputs.
  • Event impact: Event impact produced a 1-2 away win after a 1-2 halftime scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Mallo Fernández

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. García Aguilera

1st Assistant

Spain

L. Morona Del Campo

4th Official

Spain

M. Barroso Galán

2nd Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.77
Yellow cards / match 5.13
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.32
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
VS
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: W
Leganés Rank: W
Burgos Rank: D
Mirandés Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Almería Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: W
Leganés Rank: W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo La Coruña
28.56%
Draw
26.72%
Away Las Palmas
44.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Deportivo La Coruña
+28.37%
Draw
+22.52%
Las Palmas
-50.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.82
30.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo La Coruña
Las Palmas
Power Score
35.82
30.84
League Position
2
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo La Coruña Las Palmas

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
15.34
11.52
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.52
15.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Deportivo La Coruña +0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Las Palmas -0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Las Palmas
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo La Coruña Las Palmas
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña Las Palmas
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Las Palmas
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Deportivo La Coruña
vs
Las Palmas
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Deportivo La Coruña Las Palmas
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Deportivo La Coruña 0.40
Las Palmas 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña Las Palmas
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Deportivo La Coruña 0.07
Las Palmas 0.07
Deportivo La Coruña
Las Palmas
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COR had peak pressure around 29'.
  • LPA started the game with stronger pressure.
COR Pressure LPA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COR reached the top pressure at 29' (75.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo La Coruña COR Home
17 matches
Las Palmas LPA Away
Match Record
8
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
8
Goals
25
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
25
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:01:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Parreño Boix
Spain
1 G. Parreño Boix
J. Navarro Jiménez
Spain
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
A. Comas Freixas
Substitution
Spain
3 A. Comas Freixas
D. Barcia Rama
Spain
5 D. Barcia Rama
S. Escudero Palomo
Substitution
Spain
18 S. Escudero Palomo
C. Herrera Pérez
Substitution
Spain
17 C. Herrera Pérez
M. Soriano Carreño
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Soriano Carreño
J. Jurado de la Torre
Substitution
Spain
20 (C) J. Jurado de la Torre
N. Carrillo
Spain
37 N. Carrillo
Z. Eddahchouri
Netherlands
9 Z. Eddahchouri
J. Molina Martínez
Spain
22 J. Molina Martínez
Pitch
D. Horkaš
Croatia
1 D. Horkaš
E. Clemente Maza
Spain
5 E. Clemente Maza
M. Marmol Medina
Spain
3 M. Marmol Medina
Á. Suárez
Substitution
Spain
4 Á. Suárez
M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
Spain
2 M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
L. Amatucci
Italy
16 L. Amatucci
K. Rodríguez Concepción
Substitution
Spain
20 (C) K. Rodríguez Concepción
E. Pedrola Fortuny
Substitution
Spain
39 E. Pedrola Fortuny
M. Fuster Lázaro
Substitution
Spain
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
T. Miyashiro
Japan
18 T. Miyashiro
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Capacity :
32490
Attendance :
29500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Samuel García Aguilera
Luis Enrique Morona Del Campo
E. Mallo Fernández
Marcos Barroso Galán

Statistics

Possession
COR
46%
LPA
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 3
15 Dangerous attacks 29
44 Possession 56
1 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

0 Assists 2
13 Dribble Attempts 13
7 Successful Dribbles 5
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
9 Throwins 18
2 Goal Kicks 5
7 Goal Attempts 4
75 Ball Safe 70
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
72 Attacks 114

Possession

32 Successful Long Passes 14
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
51 Long Passes 25
506 Successful Passes 654
5 Key Passes 5
91 Successful Passes Percentage 92
554 Passes 712

Defensive

11 Interceptions 5
16 Tackles 18
34 Duels Won 37
0 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 0
6 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : E. Mallo Fernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Germán Parreño
Germán Parreño Goalkeeper
6.07
3
Arnau Comas
Arnau Comas Defender
6.64
27
Samu Fernández
Samu Fernández
Defender80'
6.38
5
Dani Barcia
Dani Barcia Defender
6.53
18
Sergio Escudero
Sergio Escudero Defender
6.44
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata
Defender70'
6.73
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Defender
6.85
17
Cristian Herrera
Cristian Herrera Midfielder
6.93
6
Charlie Patiño
Charlie Patiño
Midfielder70'
6.68
20
José Ángel Jurado
José Ángel Jurado (C) Midfielder
7.23
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz
Attacker70'
6.46
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Midfielder
6.37
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez
Midfielder54'
6.49
37
Noé Carrillo
Noé Carrillo Midfielder
6.35
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Zakaria Eddahchouri Attacker
7.16
22
Stoichkov
Stoichkov Attacker
6.61
Referee : E. Mallo Fernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.67
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park Defender
7.66
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
6.05
4
Álex Suárez
Álex Suárez Defender
6.54
15
Juanma Herzog
Juanma Herzog
Defender87'
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Defender
6.57
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Midfielder
6.58
7
Nicolás Benedetti
Nicolás Benedetti
Midfielder70'
6.36
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder
7.44
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
7.17
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez (C) Midfielder
7.43
26
Iñaki González
Iñaki González
Midfielder87'
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Midfielder
6.69
21
Jonathan Viera
Jonathan Viera
Midfielder60'
6.87
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
6.16
49
Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo
Attacker70'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Iñaki González → Kirian Rodríguez
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Juanma Herzog → Álex Suárez
10th Substitution
Event
Samu Fernández → Arnau Comas
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Luismi Cruz → José Ángel Jurado
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Charlie Patiño → Cristian Herrera
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Giacomo Quagliata → Sergio Escudero
7th Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Iker Bravo → Jesé
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Nicolás Benedetti → Manu Fuster
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Jonathan Viera → Estanis Pedrola
2nd Substitution
Event
Riki Rodríguez → Mario Soriano
1st Substitution
54'
1ST-HALF
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
28'
18'
Event
Marvin Park
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
Event
Kirian Rodríguez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

88
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Olawale Akinlabi takes a right-footed shot from the park, but it is blocked.
87
Update Update
Juanma Herzog comes on for Alex Suarez.
87
Update Update
Inaki Gonzalez comes on for Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion.
81
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Quagliata takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
80
Update Update
Samu Fernandez comes on for Arnau Comas.
73
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Viera Ramos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Giacomo Quagliata comes on for Sergio Escudero Palomo.
70
Update Update
Nicolas Benedetti comes on for Manuel Fuster.
70
Update Update
Luismi Cruz is on, and Cristian Ignacio Herrera Perez is off.
70
Update Update
Charlie Patino comes on for Jose Angel Jurado de la Torre.
60
Update Update
Jonathan Viera Ramos comes on for Estanis Pedrola.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jese Rodriguez Ruiz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Update Update
Riki Rodriguez replaces Mario Soriano.
53
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Ignacio Herrera Perez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Navarro Jimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Stoichkov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Zakaria Eddahchouri.
28
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Eddahchouri scores with a right-footed shot.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Zakaria Eddahchouri scores, making it 1-2.
26
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Eddahchouri attempts a header but misses the shot.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marvin Olawale Akinlabi scores, making it 0-2.
18
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Olawale Akinlabi takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
7
Attempt Attempt
Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion takes a shot with his right foot and scores.

CONCLUSION

Las Palmas secured a 1-2 victory on the road against Deportivo La Coruña after leading 1-2 at the interval. Possession favored the visitors at 56 percent compared to the hosts 44 percent. The result reflected a significant deviation driven by the away side yet stayed consistent with efficiency patterns and market signals. Absence of expected goals data limited deeper metric analysis while no red cards influenced proceedings. The stronger designated team fell short as Las Palmas maintained control and converted their opportunities effectively. This outcome underscores the visitors ability to overcome initial expectations through sustained second half management.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Las Palmas preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.