Deportivo La Coruña vs Córdoba Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Tue, 31 Mar - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Deportivo La Coruña
COR
2
0
0
Córdoba
Córdoba
Full Time
Tue, 31 Mar
6:00 PM
Round 33 ·
Regular Season
Giacomo Quagliata - 30'
Lucas Noubi - 19'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 12
CONTEXT
The match has officially finished, resulting in a 0-0 full-time draw between Deportivo La Coruña and Córdoba. Deportivo La Coruña entered the fixture as the explicitly stronger team and the clear pre-match favorites, carrying a 49.4% implied probability of victory. By contrast, Córdoba held a 23.8% chance of winning outright, with the draw sitting at
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Deportivo La Coruña showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
A. Hidalgo Morilla
VS
I. Ania Cadavieco
1.62
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II
Rank: 62
W
SD Eibar
Rank: 68
W
Castellón
Rank: 65
L
Albacete
Rank: 66
W
Cultural Leonesa
Rank: 57
W
Racing Santander
Rank: 69
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos
Rank: 66
L
Real Sociedad II
Rank: 62
L
Racing Santander
Rank: 71
L
FC Andorra
Rank: 61
L
Ceuta
Rank: 61
L
Almería
Rank: 71
L
6
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Deportivo La Coruña
49.41%
Draw
26.82%
Córdoba
23.77%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.2
60.33
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
Power Score
68.2
60.33
League Position
2
14
Global Rank
220
458
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Deportivo La Coruña
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Córdoba
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Deportivo La Coruña Córdoba
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Deportivo La Coruña
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Córdoba
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Deportivo La Coruña
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Córdoba
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.54
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Deportivo La Coruña
+0.23
Efficiency Index
vs
Córdoba
-0.23
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Deportivo La Coruña
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Córdoba
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Deportivo La Coruña
COR
Home
14
matches
Córdoba
Córdoba
Away
Match Record
6
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
6
Goals
19
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
19
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Data last updated: 2026-04-01T00:00:44+00:00
STARTING XI
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-3-3
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
5 D. Barcia Rama
12 G. Quagliata
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
L. Cruz Hernández
#1972'
21 M. Soriano Carreño
N. Carrillo
#3786'
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
J. Jurado de la Torre
#2072'
6 C. Patino
B. Nsongo Tonfack
#3265'
7 S. Mulattieri
Y. Hernández Cubas
#1065'
22 J. Molina Martínez
1 I. Iker
I. Vilarrasa Palacios
#246'
5 D. Bri Carrazoni
16 R. González Alves
4 J. Martín Valerón
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
D. de Almeida Leite
#1960'
20 A. Del Moral Saelices
T. Zidane Fernandez
#760'
25 M. Goti López
K. Villodres Medina
#1146'
10 J. González Rodrigañez
S. Guardiola Navarro
#1446'
18 A. Fuentes González
23 C. Carracedo García
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Mar 31, 2026, 06:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
👥
Capacity :
32490
🎟️
Attendance :
25632
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
Alaiz Gutiérrez Martino
Manuel Herrera Ruiz
Manuel García Gómez
Next Match
Deportivo La Coruña
vs
Málaga
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Home
Córdoba
vs
Cádiz
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Away
Statistics
Possession
COR
44%
Córdoba
56%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
0
2
Big Chances Created
0
4
Shots
2
37
Dangerous attacks
54
43
Possession
57
2
Corners
8
18
Free kicks
23
1
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
0
Hit Woodwork
1
0
Injuries
1
17
Throwins
21
9
Successful Dribbles
14
22
Dribble Attempts
20
41
Successful Dribbles Percentage
70
8
Goal Kicks
6
81
Ball Safe
91
2
Assists
0
9
Goal Attempts
7
5
Substitutions
5
Attacking
95
Attacks
109
Possession
266
Successful Passes
382
335
Passes
448
51
Long Passes
32
39
Successful Long Passes Percentage
53
79
Successful Passes Percentage
85
20
Successful Long Passes
17
6
Key Passes
8
Defensive
52
Duels Won
71
5
Interceptions
10
13
Tackles
20
2
Saves
2
Build-up
16
Total Crosses
23
7
Accurate Crosses
5
Discipline
23
Fouls
18
5
Offsides
1
Lineup
Deportivo La Coruña
Referee :
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
Manager ▼
A. Hidalgo Morilla
Coach
Starting XI ▼
25
Álvaro Fernández
Goalkeeper
4
Lucas Noubi
Defender
5
Dani Barcia
Defender
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Defender
15
Miguel Loureiro
Defender
2
Adrià Altimira
Midfielder
6
Charlie Patiño
Midfielder
20José Ángel Jurado
Midfielder72'
14
Riki Rodríguez
Midfielder
37Noé Carrillo
Midfielder86'
21
Mario Soriano
Midfielder
19Luismi Cruz
Attacker72'
7
Samuele Mulattieri
Attacker
32Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Attacker65'
22
Stoichkov
Attacker
10Yeremay Hernández
Attacker65'
Substitutes ▼
32Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Attacker65'
10Yeremay Hernández
Attacker65'
19Luismi Cruz
Attacker72'
20José Ángel Jurado
Midfielder72'
37Noé Carrillo
Midfielder86'
Bench ▼
1
Germán Parreño
Goalkeeper
3
Arnau Comas
Defender
18
Sergio Escudero
Defender
23
Ximo Navarro
Defender
16
José Gragera
Midfielder
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Attacker
17
Cristian Herrera
Attacker
Córdoba
Referee :
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
Manager ▼
I. Ania Cadavieco
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Iker Álvarez
Goalkeeper
4
Álex Martín
Defender
5
Diego Bri
Defender
2Ignasi Vilarrasa
Defender46'
16
Rubén Alves
Defender
21
Carlos Albarrán
Defender
8
Isma Ruiz
Midfielder
20
Alberto del Moral
Midfielder
19Dalisson de Almeida
Midfielder60'
25
Mikel Goti
Midfielder
7Théo Zidane
Midfielder60'
10
Jacobo González
Attacker
11Kevin Medina
Attacker46'
18
Adrián Fuentes
Attacker
14Sergi Guardiola
Attacker46'
23
Cristian Carracedo
Attacker
Substitutes ▼
14Sergi Guardiola
Attacker46'
11Kevin Medina
Attacker46'
2Ignasi Vilarrasa
Defender46'
7Théo Zidane
Midfielder60'
19Dalisson de Almeida
Midfielder60'
Bench ▼
26
Alejandro Arevalo
Goalkeeper
15
Xavi Sintes
Defender
9
Nikolay Obolskiy
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Noé Carrillo → Riki Rodríguez
10th Substitution
86'
Riki Rodríguez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
83'
Luismi Cruz → Mario Soriano
8th Substitution
72'
José Ángel Jurado → Charlie Patiño
9th Substitution
72'
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack → Samuele Mulattieri
7th Substitution
65'
Yeremay Hernández → Stoichkov
6th Substitution
65'
60'
Théo Zidane → Mikel Goti
5th Substitution
60'
Dalisson de Almeida → Alberto del Moral
4th Substitution
46'
Sergi Guardiola → Adrián Fuentes
1st Substitution
46'
Kevin Medina → Jacobo González
2nd Substitution
46'
Ignasi Vilarrasa → Diego Bri
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Jacobo González
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Giacomo Quagliata
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
30'
Lucas Noubi
Header / 1st Goal
19'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Deportivo La Coruña exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.
Deportivo La Coruña vs Córdoba preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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