Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mendizorroza Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés ALA
Versus
Rayo Vallecano RAY
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Deportivo Alaves welcome Rayo Vallecano to Estadio de Mendizorroza for a La Liga regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors carry a modest power edge of 1.8 points, posting 78.65 against the hosts 76.81 rating. Current domestic standings place Rayo ninth while Alaves occupy fifteenth. Form readings remain tight, with the away side at 24.06 and the home team at 23.56. Both clubs operate as mid-table entities aiming to climb higher. Rayo Vallecano registers as the stronger unit per available metrics. Alaves intend to exploit home advantage to offset the opponents qualities. The fixture promises a measured contest between sides with comparable profiles.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano holds a narrow power advantage of 1.8 points over Deportivo Alaves.
  • Form: Recent form scores stand close with Rayo Vallecano at 24.06 and Deportivo Alaves at 23.56.
  • Squad: Squad depth aligns with standard mid-table requirements for both La Liga sides.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics show no significant deviation between the two teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data indicates balanced capabilities in moving from defense to attack.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis lacks detailed xG metrics for this encounter.
  • xVariable: Power scores highlight Rayo Vallecano as the stronger side with 78.65 against 76.81.
  • Market: Baseline split: Deportivo Alavés 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rayo Vallecano 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Deportivo Alavés E. Coudet
E. Coudet
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 D
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 W
Elche Rank: 74 D
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 93 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: 83 D
Valencia Rank: 78 D
Girona Rank: 75 D
Getafe Rank: 77 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 0 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo Alavés
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rayo Vallecano
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.81
78.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
76.81
78.65
League Position
15
9
Global Rank
91
72

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo Alavés ALA Home
14 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
5
Wins
9
0
Draws
0
9
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
14
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T01:01:16+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Capacity :
19840
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Raúl Fernández-Cavada Mateos
Raúl Fernández-Cavada Mateos Goalkeeper
1
Antonio Sivera Salvá
Antonio Sivera Salvá Goalkeeper
17
Jonathan Castro Otto
Jonathan Castro Otto Defender
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
2
Facundo Tomás Garcés
Facundo Tomás Garcés Defender
16
Ville Koski
Ville Koski Defender
5
Jon Pacheco Dozagarat
Jon Pacheco Dozagarat Defender
24
Victor Parada González
Victor Parada González Defender
3
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim Defender
4
Denis Suárez Fernández
Denis Suárez Fernández Midfielder
10
Carles Aleña Castillo
Carles Aleña Castillo Midfielder
18
Jon Guridi Aldalur
Jon Guridi Aldalur Midfielder
23
Carlos Nahuel Benavídez Protesoni
Carlos Nahuel Benavídez Protesoni Midfielder
6
Ander Guevara Lajo
Ander Guevara Lajo Midfielder
8
Antonio Blanco Conde
Antonio Blanco Conde Midfielder
19
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras Midfielder
20
Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva Midfielder
11
Antonio Martínez López
Antonio Martínez López Attacker
15
Lucas Ariel Boyé
Lucas Ariel Boyé Attacker
9
Mariano Díaz Mejía
Mariano Díaz Mejía Attacker
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
Abderrahman Rebbach Attacker
22
Ibrahim Yalatif Diabate
Ibrahim Yalatif Diabate Attacker
34
Aitor Mañas Buenadicha
Aitor Mañas Buenadicha Attacker
7
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
Angel Pérez Hidalgo Attacker

Squad ▼

13
Augusto Martín Batalla Barga
Augusto Martín Batalla Barga Goalkeeper
1
Daniel Cárdenas Lindez
Daniel Cárdenas Lindez Goalkeeper
16
Abdul Mumin
Abdul Mumin Defender
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
20
Iván Balliu Campeny
Iván Balliu Campeny Defender
5
Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi
Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi Defender
22
Luis Alfonso Espino García
Luis Alfonso Espino García Defender
2
Andrei Florin Ratiu
Andrei Florin Ratiu Defender
3
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
Josep María Chavarría Pérez Defender
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Jozhua Vertrouwd Defender
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
8
Óscar Guido Trejo
Óscar Guido Trejo Midfielder
17
Unai López Cabrera
Unai López Cabrera Midfielder
15
Gerard Gumbau Garriga
Gerard Gumbau Garriga Midfielder
4
Pedro Díaz Fanjul
Pedro Díaz Fanjul Midfielder
23
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo Midfielder
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
11
Randy Ntekja
Randy Ntekja Midfielder
28
Samuel Becerra Gómez
Samuel Becerra Gómez Midfielder
18
Álvaro García Rivera
Álvaro García Rivera Attacker
7
Isaac Palazón Camacho
Isaac Palazón Camacho Attacker
19
Jorge De Frutos Sebastián
Jorge De Frutos Sebastián Attacker
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
10
Sergio Camello Pérez
Sergio Camello Pérez Attacker
21
Francisco Perez Martinez
Francisco Perez Martinez Attacker
12
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour Attacker
14
Carlos Martín Domínguez
Carlos Martín Domínguez Attacker

CONCLUSION

Rayo Vallecano arrives with a slight overall edge yet faces a resilient Alaves outfit on home soil. League positions underscore the need for points from both participants. Comparable form readings suggest neither side dominates recent exchanges. The contest may hinge on execution in open play and defensive organization. Alaves will seek to disrupt Rayo patterns through structured pressing. Visitors aim to translate their marginal power superiority into tangible control. Mid-table implications add motivation for a positive result. Expect a tactical battle where small margins decide the outcome.

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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