Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mendizorroza Sun, 5 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés ALA
2 – 2
Osasuna OSA
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Lucas Boyé - 90+1' (P)
Toni Martínez - 44'
Goal
|
Goal
Ante Budimir - 80' (P)
Valentin Rosier - 4'
|
Red Card Asier Osambela 90+3'

CONTEXT

The match between Deportivo Alavés and Osasuna has concluded, finishing in a hard-fought 2-2 draw. The two sides went into the halftime break evenly matched at 1-1 before trading additional goals in the second half. Pre-match expectations suggested an incredibly tight contest. The market implied a 35.3% probability of a home victory, a 34.5% chance for an away win, and just 30.2% for the draw. Because Osasuna was evaluated as the stronger squad overall, this draw registered as a significant deviation from expectations for the away side, meaning the final outcome ultimately did not align with the pre-match market. Possession was closely contested throughout the ninety minutes, with Osasuna holding a narrow 52% share of the ball compared to Deportivo Alavés's 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the result aligned with underlying chance creation. However, the teams' efficiency shift was deemed perfectly in line with standard performance metrics. A major turning point occurred in the second half when Osasuna was reduced to ten men. This away red card created a distinct red card distortion, forcing Osasuna into adjustments to successfully secure a point on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Osasuna showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Soto Grado

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Becerril Gómez

2nd Assistant

C. Álvarez Fernández

1st Assistant

F. Crespo Puente

4th Official

Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
VS
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 83 W
Villarreal Rank: 83 D
Valencia Rank: 78 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
Girona Rank: 75 D
Sevilla Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Girona Rank: 76 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 L
Mallorca Rank: 75 D
Valencia Rank: 78 L
Real Madrid Rank: 94 W
Elche Rank: 73 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo Alavés
35.33%
Draw
30.19%
Away Osasuna
34.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.08
78.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
Power Score
76.08
78.41
League Position
15
9
Global Rank
90
71

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo Alavés Osasuna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo Alavés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Deportivo Alavés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.50
18.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.56
42.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Deportivo Alavés +2.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Osasuna -2.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo Alavés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo Alavés Osasuna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo Alavés Osasuna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Deportivo Alavés
vs
Osasuna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Deportivo Alavés Osasuna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Deportivo Alavés 0.38
Osasuna 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Deportivo Alavés Osasuna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Deportivo Alavés 0.06
Osasuna 0.04
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo Alavés ALA Home
20 matches
Osasuna OSA Away
Match Record
5
Wins
12
3
Draws
3
12
Losses
5
Goals
22
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
22
-7
Goal Difference
+7

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:06:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
J. Castro Otto
Spain
17 J. Castro Otto
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
V. Parada González
Spain
24 V. Parada González
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim
Substitution
Spain
3 Y. Enríquez Lekhedim
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
Substitution
Spain
19 P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
J. Guridi Aldalur
Substitution
Spain
18 J. Guridi Aldalur
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López
I. Diabate
Substitution
Ivory Coast
22 I. Diabate
Pitch
S. Herrera Pirón
Spain
1 S. Herrera Pirón
J. Galán Gil
Spain
20 J. Galán Gil
F. Boyomos
Cameroon
22 F. Boyomos
A. Catena Marugán
Spain
24 A. Catena Marugán
V. Rosier
France
19 V. Rosier
L. Torró Marset
Substitution
Spain
6 L. Torró Marset
J. Moncayola Tollar
Spain
7 J. Moncayola Tollar
E. Barja Afonso
Substitution
Spain
11 E. Barja Afonso
A. Oroz
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Oroz
R. García Santos
Substitution
Spain
14 R. García Santos
A. Budimir
Substitution
Croatia
17 A. Budimir

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 05, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Capacity :
19840
Attendance :
17736
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rubén Becerril Gómez
César Soto Grado
Carlos Álvarez Fernández
F. Crespo Puente

Statistics

Possession
ALA
49%
OSA
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 3
3 Shots 3
48 Dangerous attacks 33
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 1
16 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 1
4 Substitutions 5
3 Goal Kicks 12
13 Successful Headers 20
27 Throwins 8
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
6 Successful Dribbles 2
10 Dribble Attempts 3
1 Assists 0
10 Goal Attempts 6
55 Ball Safe 63

Attacking

96 Attacks 84
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 82
300 Successful Passes 348
52 Long Passes 68
372 Passes 422
12 Key Passes 5
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
18 Successful Long Passes 30

Defensive

2 Interceptions 6
7 Tackles 6
3 Saves 5
42 Duels Won 36

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 12
7 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
3
Youssef Enríquez
Youssef Enríquez Defender
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach
Attacker46'
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
17
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto Defender
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Midfielder
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
10
Carles Aleñá
Carles Aleñá
Midfielder46'
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez Midfielder
15
Lucas Boyé
Lucas Boyé
Attacker81'
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
6
Ander Guevara
Ander Guevara
Midfielder73'
Referee : César Soto Grado

Starting XI ▼

1
Sergio Herrera
Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
20
Javi Galán
Javi Galán Defender
22
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo Defender
24
Alejandro Catena
Alejandro Catena Defender
6
Lucas Torró
Lucas Torró Midfielder
8
Iker Muñoz
Iker Muñoz
Midfielder77'
7
Jon Moncayola
Jon Moncayola Midfielder
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
9
Raúl García
Raúl García
Attacker77'
11
Kike Barja
Kike Barja Midfielder
21
Víctor Muñoz
Víctor Muñoz
Attacker60'
14
Rubén García
Rubén García Midfielder
23
Abel Bretones
Abel Bretones
Defender77'
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
5
Jorge Herrando
Jorge Herrando
Defender85'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ángel Pérez
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
8th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+4'
Event
Iker Muñoz
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Asier Osambela
Argument / 1st Redcard
Event
Lucas Boyé
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
90+1'
90'
Event
Alejandro Catena
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Toni Martínez
Penalty awarded
89'
87'
Event
Enzo Boyomo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Jorge Herrando → Ante Budimir
9th Substitution
Event
Lucas Boyé → Pablo Ibáñez
8th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Ante Budimir
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
77'
Event
Abel Bretones → Rubén García
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Raúl García → Aimar Oroz
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Iker Muñoz → Lucas Torró
7th Substitution
Event
Ander Guevara → Ibrahim Diabaté
4th Substitution
73'
60'
Event
Víctor Muñoz → Kike Barja
3rd Substitution
Event
Abde Rebbach → Youssef Enríquez
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Carles Aleñá → Jon Guridi
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Toni Martínez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
44'
Event
Antonio Blanco
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
41'
Event
Jon Moncayola
Handball / 3rd Yellowcard
16'
Event
Valentin Rosier
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'
Event
Valentin Rosier
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 2-2 between Alaves and Osasuna.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alejandro Catena of Osasuna receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Toni Martínez from Alaves had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ángel Pérez of Alaves receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Foul by Alejandro Catena of Osasuna.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Iker Muñoz of Osasuna receives a yellow card.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Asier Osambela from Osasuna receives a red card.
90
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Fouled by Carles Aleñá of Alaves.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Lucas Boyé scores for Alaves with a right-footed shot into the left corner. The match remains 2-2.
89
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty for Alaves.
87
Corner Corner
Toni Martínez of Alaves attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but Sergio Herrera of Osasuna makes a save in the right corner. The assist comes from Jonny.
87
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves won a free kick on the left wing.
87
Update Update
Enzo Boyomo of Osasuna commits a foul.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Enzo Boyomo of Osasuna receives a yellow card for a foul.
87
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Alaves as Toni Martínez is fouled in the penalty area.
87
Update Update
Alejandro Catena of Osasuna concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
86
Update Update
Raúl García from Osasuna committed a foul.
86
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Jorge Herrando replaces Ante Budimir.
84
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna commits a foul.
84
Update Update
Lucas Boyé from Alaves won a free kick on the right wing.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Enzo Boyomo concedes.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Lucas Boyé replaces Pablo Ibáñez.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ante Budimir scores for Osasuna with a left-footed shot into the right corner. The match remains 1-1.
79
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
79
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Osasuna as Víctor Muñoz is fouled in the penalty area.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Raúl García replaces Aimar Oroz.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Iker Muñoz comes on for Lucas Torró.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Abel Bretones replaces Rubén García.
76
Corner Corner
Rubén García from Osasuna makes an attacking attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Antonio Sivera from Alaves saves it in the right corner.
76
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Rosier's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Víctor Muñoz of Osasuna.
76
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves won a free kick on the right wing.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Ander Guevara replaces Ibrahim Diabate.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Javi Galán of Osasuna.
72
Update Update
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
68
Update Update
Carles Aleñá of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
68
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna committed a foul.
66
Update Update
Offside called against Osasuna. Víctor Muñoz is in an offside position.
63
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna won a free kick on the left wing.
63
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna won a free kick on the left wing.
62
Update Update
Ángel Pérez from Alaves committed a foul.
61
Update Update
Toni Martínez of Alaves is flagged for offside.
60
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Toni Martínez from Alaves.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Víctor Muñoz replaces Kike Barja.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ante Budimir of Osasuna attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from outside the box, but Antonio Sivera, the goalkeeper for Alaves, makes a save in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Rubén García.
57
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Carles Aleñá from Alaves shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but it's high and wide to the left. Assist by Pablo Ibáñez.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Carles Aleñá of Alaves took a left-footed shot from outside the box.
55
Corner Corner
Victor Parada from Alaves had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went just left of the goal. The assist came from Carles Aleñá, who provided a cross after a corner.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Enzo Boyomo concedes.
52
Update Update
Enzo Boyomo from Osasuna won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Jonny from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
51
Update Update
Kike Barja from Osasuna committed a foul.
50
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Sergio Herrera from Osasuna.
49
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves shoots with his left foot from the center of the box.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Javi Galán concedes.
49
Update Update
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box but sending it high.
47
Update Update
Offside called against Osasuna. Ante Budimir is offside.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at Alaves 1, Osasuna 1.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Carles Aleñá replaces Jon Guridi.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Abde Rebbach replaces Youssef Enríquez.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between Alaves and Osasuna.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Toni Martínez scores for Alaves with a right-footed shot from the center of the box. The match is now 1-1.
41
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna won a free kick in an attacking position.
41
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves committed a foul.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kike Barja of Osasuna receives a yellow card for handball.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Blanco of Alaves receives a yellow card for a foul.
41
Update Update
Jon Moncayola from Osasuna commits a foul.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after a concession by Antonio Sivera.
36
Corner Corner
Rubén García of Osasuna attempts a header from the center of the box, but Antonio Sivera of Alaves saves it in the top right corner. The assist comes from Jon Moncayola, who provided the cross.
35
Update Update
Toni Martínez's header from the center of the box is blocked after an assist from Ángel Pérez's cross.
35
Corner Corner
Alaves win a corner after Kike Barja concedes.
32
Update Update
Victor Parada from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Ante Budimir from Osasuna committed a foul.
31
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
30
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Jon Guridi of Alaves heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved by Sergio Herrera of Osasuna, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Youssef Enríquez, who delivered a cross.
29
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Toni Martínez from Alaves shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but Sergio Herrera from Osasuna saves it in the top right corner. The assist was provided by Pablo Ibáñez.
29
Attempt Attempt
Toni Martínez of Alaves had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just wide. Jonny provided the assist with a cross.
28
Update Update
Foul committed by Jon Moncayola of Osasuna.
28
Update Update
Jonny from Alaves won a free kick in the attacking area.
27
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Diabate's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Jon Guridi provided the assist.
25
Update Update
Offside called against Osasuna. Ante Budimir is offside.
25
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Torró of Osasuna.
22
Update Update
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Ángel Pérez of Alaves.
20
Update Update
Victor Parada of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
20
Update Update
Rubén García from Osasuna committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Jon Moncayola from Osasuna committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Valentin Rosier of Osasuna receives a yellow card for a foul.
16
Update Update
Toni Martínez from Alaves won a free kick in an attacking position.
16
Update Update
Valentin Rosier fouled an Osasuna player.
13
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Pablo Ibáñez of Alaves heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved by Sergio Herrera, the Osasuna goalkeeper, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Ángel Pérez with a cross.
13
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Rosier's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Lucas Torró concedes.
12
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ibáñez from Alaves has his right-footed shot from outside the box blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Jon Guridi's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Enzo Boyomo concedes.
9
Update Update
Kike Barja from Osasuna committed a foul.
9
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves won a free kick on the right wing.
7
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Youssef Enríquez of Alaves.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after a concession by Valentin Rosier.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Osasuna takes the lead 1-0 with Valentin Rosier scoring from the center of the box with a right-footed shot into the top right corner.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Osasuna exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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