Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mendizorroza Wed, 13 May - 7:30 PM
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés ALA
1 Winner 0
FC Barcelona BAR
Full Time Wed, 13 May 7:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Ibrahim Diabaté - 45+1'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Deportivo Alavés pulled off a stunning 1-0 victory over FC Barcelona in a match defined by defensive resilience. The home side took the lead in the first half, entering halftime 1-0 ahead, and held firm despite Barcelona's overwhelming 77% possession. Alavés managed just 23% of the ball but frustrated the visitors' attacks throughout. No red cards were shown, and the game proceeded without major disruptions. Barcelona, considered the stronger team, dominated statistically but could not convert their control into goals. Alavés' early strike proved decisive, showcasing their efficiency in a low-possession outing. This result highlights the home team's tactical discipline against a possession-heavy opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal 5.3% structural deviation favored Deportivo Alavés.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-match market indications.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Sánchez Martínez

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Cabañero Martínez

1st Assistant

Spain

J. López Mir

2nd Assistant

Spain

F. Crespo Puente

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.58
Yellow cards / match 4.01
Red cards / match 0.23
Penalties / match 0.29
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
VS
FC Barcelona H. Flick
H. Flick
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.74
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: 74 D
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Osasuna Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 93 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Getafe Rank: 76 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 W
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 20
20

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo Alavés
94.72%
Draw
5.09%
Away FC Barcelona
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Deportivo Alavés
+3.78%
Draw
-3.59%
FC Barcelona
-0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.98
97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo Alavés
FC Barcelona
Power Score
75.98
97
League Position
19
1
Global Rank
103
4

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Barcelona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo Alavés FC Barcelona

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo Alavés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Barcelona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo Alavés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Barcelona
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo Alavés FC Barcelona
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo Alavés FC Barcelona
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo Alavés
FC Barcelona
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Deportivo Alavés
vs
FC Barcelona
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Deportivo Alavés FC Barcelona
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Deportivo Alavés 0.00
FC Barcelona 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Deportivo Alavés FC Barcelona
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Deportivo Alavés 0.00
FC Barcelona 0.00
Deportivo Alavés
FC Barcelona
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAR had peak pressure around 8'.
  • BAR started the game with stronger pressure.
ALA Pressure BAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BAR reached the top pressure at 8' (83.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo Alavés ALA Home
24 matches
FC Barcelona BAR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
20
3
Draws
3
20
Losses
1
Goals
14
Goals Scored
61
61
Goals Conceded
14
-47
Goal Difference
+47

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T19:00:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Sivera Salvá
Spain
1 A. Sivera Salvá
A. Pérez Hidalgo
Spain
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
N. Tenaglia
Argentina
14 N. Tenaglia
V. Koski
Finland
16 V. Koski
V. Parada González
Substitution
Spain
24 V. Parada González
D. Suárez Fernández
Substitution
Spain
4 D. Suárez Fernández
A. Blanco Conde
Spain
8 A. Blanco Conde
J. Guridi Aldalur
Spain
18 J. Guridi Aldalur
A. Rebbach
Algeria
21 A. Rebbach
I. Diabate
Substitution
Ivory Coast
22 I. Diabate
A. Martínez López
Spain
11 A. Martínez López
Pitch
W. Szczęsny
Poland
25 W. Szczęsny
A. Balde Martínez
Substitution
Spain
3 A. Balde Martínez
?. Cortés Moyano
Spain
36 ?. Cortés Moyano
P. Cubarsí Paredes
Substitution
Spain
5 P. Cubarsí Paredes
J. Koundé
France
23 J. Koundé
M. Bernal Casas
Substitution
Spain
22 M. Bernal Casas
M. Casadó Torras
Substitution
Spain
17 M. Casadó Torras
M. Rashford
England
14 M. Rashford
D. Olmo Carvajal
Spain
20 D. Olmo Carvajal
R. Bardghji
Substitution
Sweden
19 R. Bardghji
R. Lewandowski
Poland
9 R. Lewandowski

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Capacity :
19840
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
José María Sánchez Martínez
Raúl Cabañero Martínez
Juan José López Mir
F. Crespo Puente

Statistics

Possession
ALA
30%
BAR
70%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 3
35 Dangerous attacks 60
23 Possession 77
6 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 61
18 Throwins 15
14 Dribble Attempts 23
22 Successful Headers 14
6 Successful Dribbles 14
14 Goal Kicks 4
4 Goal Attempts 4
53 Ball Safe 62
1 Assists 0
3 Substitutions 6

Attacking

66 Attacks 158

Possession

59 Successful Passes Percentage 89
112 Successful Passes 605
190 Passes 676
65 Long Passes 49
7 Key Passes 8
32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 65
21 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

51 Duels Won 53
10 Interceptions 6
16 Tackles 11
0 Saves 3

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 16
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

14 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
6.72
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Defender
6.72
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Defender
6.85
16
Ville Koski
Ville Koski Defender
6.52
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Defender
6.52
23
Carlos Protesoni
Carlos Protesoni
Midfielder80'
6.55
4
Denis Suárez
Denis Suárez Midfielder
6.64
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez
Midfielder64'
6.76
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Midfielder
6.96
18
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi Midfielder
6.54
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Midfielder
6.73
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
7.15
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
6.59
34
Aitor Mañas
Aitor Mañas
Attacker64'
6.42
Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

25
Wojciech Szczesny
Wojciech Szczesny Goalkeeper
6.81
3
Alejandro Balde
Alejandro Balde Defender
6.85
2
João Cancelo
João Cancelo
Defender79'
7.15
5
Pau Cubarsí
Pau Cubarsí Defender
7.03
42
Xavi Espart
Xavi Espart
Defender62'
6.82
23
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
6.98
36
Álvaro Cortés
Álvaro Cortés Defender
14
Marcus Rashford
Marcus Rashford Midfielder
7
17
Marc Casadó
Marc Casadó Midfielder
6.73
8
Pedri
Pedri
Midfielder62'
7.46
19
Roony Bardghji
Roony Bardghji Midfielder
6.83
7
Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres
Attacker62'
7.01
20
Dani Olmo
Dani Olmo Midfielder
7.26
22
Marc Bernal
Marc Bernal Midfielder
6.81
43
Tomás Marqués
Tomás Marqués
Midfielder87'
6.39
9
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski Attacker
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
João Cancelo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Tomás Marqués → Marc Bernal
8th Substitution
Event
Abde Rebbach
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Carlos Protesoni → Victor Parada
7th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
João Cancelo → Alejandro Balde
6th Substitution
Event
Pablo Ibáñez → Denis Suárez
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Aitor Mañas → Ibrahim Diabaté
5th Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Xavi Espart → Pau Cubarsí
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Ferran Torres → Roony Bardghji
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Pedri → Marc Casadó
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Marcus Rashford
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Ibrahim Diabaté
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45+1'

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
Ángel Pérez of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
João Cancelo of Barcelona receives a yellow card for a foul.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by João Cancelo - Barcelona.
88
Update Update
Aitor Mañas from Alaves committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Jules Koundé of Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Tomás Marqués replaces Marc Bernal.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Álvaro Cortés concedes.
82
Update Update
Toni Martínez of Alaves commits a foul.
82
Update Update
Álvaro Cortés from Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abde Rebbach of Alaves receives a yellow card.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Abde Rebbach of Alaves.
81
Update Update
Marcus Rashford of Barcelona won a free kick in an attacking position.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Carlos Protesoni replaces Victor Parada.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: João Cancelo replaces Alejandro Balde.
74
Update Update
Pedri from Barcelona won a free kick in an attacking position.
73
Update Update
Offside called against Alaves. Ángel Pérez is offside.
72
Update Update
Toni Martínez from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Jules Koundé - Barcelona.
68
Update Update
Marcus Rashford of Barcelona won a free kick on the right wing.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Abde Rebbach of Alaves.
67
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Blanco's shot from outside the box for Alaves is blocked.
67
Update Update
Toni Martínez of Alaves is flagged for offside.
65
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves committed a foul.
65
Update Update
Ferran Torres of Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Pablo Ibáñez replaces Denis Suárez.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Aitor Mañas replaces Ibrahim Diabate.
64
Attempt Attempt
Marc Bernal from Barcelona missed a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box. The assist was provided by Pedri.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Ferran Torres replaces Roony Bardghji.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Xavi Espart replaces Pau Cubarsí.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Pedri replaces Marc Casadó.
60
Attempt Attempt
Dani Olmo from Barcelona had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left. Alejandro Balde provided the assist.
59
Update Update
Jules Koundé from Barcelona won a free kick on the right wing.
58
Update Update
Marc Bernal from Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
58
Update Update
Toni Martínez from Alaves committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Marc Casadó from Barcelona won a free kick in an attacking position.
58
Update Update
Antonio Blanco from Alaves committed a foul.
55
Corner Corner
Barcelona wins a corner after Ángel Pérez concedes.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after Abde Rebbach concedes.
51
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Ibrahim Diabate of Alaves heads the ball from the center of the box, but Wojciech Szczesny of Barcelona saves it in the right corner. The assist came from Abde Rebbach with a cross.
47
Update Update
Offside called against Alaves. Nahuel Tenaglia is offside.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Rashford of Barcelona receives a yellow card for a foul.
46
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia from Alaves won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Alaves leading Barcelona 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Alejandro Balde concedes.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alaves lead 1-0 against Barcelona. Ibrahim Diabate scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner, assisted by Antonio Blanco's header following a corner.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with the score at Alaves 1, Barcelona 0.
42
Attempt Attempt
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but Wojciech Szczesny of Barcelona makes a save in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Antonio Blanco.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Marc Bernal of Barcelona.
39
Update Update
Ibrahim Diabate from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ángel Pérez's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Antonio Blanco.
31
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia from Alaves commits a foul.
31
Update Update
Robert Lewandowski of Barcelona won a free kick in an attacking position.
30
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rashford had a missed chance for Barcelona, shooting with his right foot from long distance on the left, just missing the goal. The assist came from Marc Casadó.
27
Update Update
Roony Bardghji from Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
27
Update Update
Ángel Pérez from Alaves commits a foul.
26
Update Update
Victor Parada from Alaves was awarded a free kick in defense.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Roony Bardghji of Barcelona.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Alejandro Balde concedes.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Álvaro Cortés concedes.
21
Attempt Attempt
Abde Rebbach from Alaves had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it went close and missed the target.
21
Attempt Attempt
Toni Martínez from Alaves missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box to the left. Ángel Pérez provided the assist with a cross.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after Ville Koski concedes.
18
Attempt Attempt
Marc Casadó's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Dani Olmo with a through ball.
16
Update Update
Toni Martínez from Alaves committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Marc Bernal of Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
15
Update Update
Ángel Pérez from Alaves committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Marcus Rashford of Barcelona won a free kick in defense.
14
Update Update
Jon Guridi from Alaves won a free kick in defense.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alaves after Pau Cubarsí concedes.
14
Update Update
Marc Casadó from Barcelona committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Toni Martínez from Alaves misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. The assist came from Jon Guridi with a cross.
11
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rashford's shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Roony Bardghji's cross.
10
Corner Corner
Barcelona wins a corner after Ville Koski concedes.
10
Attempt Attempt
Dani Olmo's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Marc Casadó.
8
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rashford had a missed chance for Barcelona, shooting with his right foot from the left side of the box, but it went just left of the goal. The assist came from Jules Koundé's cross.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for Barcelona. Roony Bardghji's right-footed shot from the right side of the box goes wide to the left, assisted by Dani Olmo.
5
Update Update
Roony Bardghji of Barcelona won a free kick on the right wing.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Abde Rebbach of Alaves.
4
Update Update
Nahuel Tenaglia of Alaves won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Marc Casadó of Barcelona.
1
Corner Corner
Alaves win a corner after Dani Olmo concedes.
1
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Diabate's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Antonio Blanco's cross.

CONCLUSION

Deportivo Alavés' 1-0 triumph over FC Barcelona underscores the value of defensive solidity over possession dominance. With 77% ball control, Barcelona created pressure but lacked clinical finishing, while Alavés maximized their 23% share efficiently. The minimal deviation and market alignment suggest this upset was within plausible bounds, though xG absence limits deeper insights. No red cards or adjustments preserved the first-half goal's integrity. For Alavés, this boosts survival hopes; for Barcelona, it signals vulnerabilities against compact defenses.

Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Dan A

Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.