Degerfors vs Häcken Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sat, 2 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
1 – 1
Häcken HAC
Full Time Sat, 2 May 1:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Silas Andersen - 19' (P)

CONTEXT

Degerfors and Häcken played out an entertaining 1-1 draw in their league encounter. The visitors struck first, leading 0-1 at halftime through a well-taken goal, capitalizing on their superior possession of 58% compared to Degerfors' 42%. The home side mounted a strong comeback in the second half, leveling the score with a determined equalizer that shifted the momentum. Häcken, considered the stronger team pre-match, dominated proceedings but failed to extend their lead despite creating chances. No red cards were shown, allowing continuous flow without major interruptions. Possession stats highlighted Häcken's control, yet Degerfors' resilience earned them a share of the points. The result represents a moderate structural deviation for Häcken, who dropped points from an advantageous position. Both teams showed tactical discipline, with second-half adjustments proving decisive for the hosts. This outcome underscores the fine margins in competitive football.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 9% deviation impacted Häcken in the 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events like second-half adjustments altered the game flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Sars

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Wilde

1st Assistant

A. Spahić

2nd Assistant

Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: 42 D
AIK Rank: 58 W
Elfsborg Rank: 55 L
Halmstad Rank: 48 W
Sirius Rank: 63 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: 62 D
Västerås SK Rank: 46 D
GAIS Rank: 58 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 57 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
4.07%
Draw
90.99%
Away Häcken
4.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.38
58.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Häcken
Power Score
48.38
58.7
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
828
526

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Degerfors ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.79
27.93
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.93
31.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Degerfors +0.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken -0.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Degerfors
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Degerfors ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Degerfors Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Degerfors Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Degerfors
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Degerfors
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Degerfors Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Degerfors 0.23
Häcken 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Degerfors Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Degerfors 0.02
Häcken 0.02
Degerfors
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 21'.
  • Degerfors started the game with stronger pressure.
Degerfors Pressure HAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 21' (82.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
8 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
12
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Linde
Sweden
1 A. Linde
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
H. Hilvenius
Sweden
13 H. Hilvenius
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
M. Rygaard Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
10 M. Rygaard Jensen
A. Doumbia
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
G. Lindgren
Substitution
Sweden
9 G. Lindgren

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stora Valla
Capacity :
7500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Joakim Sars
Robin Wilde
Almira Spahić

Statistics

Possession
Degerfors
44%
HAC
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
47 Dangerous attacks 44
42 Possession 58
3 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 20
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
17 Dribble Attempts 19
22 Throwins 33
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21
8 Successful Dribbles 4
10 Goal Kicks 9
62 Ball Safe 66
5 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 3
1 Assists 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

85 Attacks 99

Possession

24 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
15 Successful Long Passes 34
212 Successful Passes 331
311 Passes 439
68 Successful Passes Percentage 75
63 Long Passes 91
7 Key Passes 6

Defensive

10 Interceptions 10
50 Duels Won 57
21 Tackles 14
2 Saves 2

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 15
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
21 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.78
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren Defender
6.96
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Defender
6.42
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic
Attacker71'
6.61
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.94
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
6.65
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.68
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Midfielder
6.75
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw Midfielder
6.83
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.54
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker84'
6.36
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Midfielder
7.29
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis
Attacker46'
6.78
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacker
6.69
Referee : Joakim Sars

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Linde
Andreas Linde Goalkeeper
7.41
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
6.86
13
Harry Hilvenius
Harry Hilvenius Defender
7.16
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.55
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6.87
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
7.1
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
7.12
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard Midfielder
7.26
18
Danilo Al-Saed
Danilo Al-Saed
Attacker90+3'
6.42
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
7.01
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
6.9
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker85'
6.59
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.92
16
Pontus Dahbo
Pontus Dahbo
Midfielder90+10'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
90+10'
Event
Pontus Dahbo → G. Lindgren
6th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Danilo Al-Saed → Mikkel Rygaard
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Adrian Svanbäck
4th Substitution
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Elias Barsoum
3rd Substitution
84'
Event
Arman Taranis
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
84'
73'
Event
G. Lindgren
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Dijan Vukojevic → Nasiru Moro
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Arman Taranis → Nahom Girmai Netabay
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Brice Wembangomo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Gideon Yaw
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
28'
19'
Event
Silas Andersen
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rafferty takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Agbonifo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren attempts a header but misses the shot.
87
Update Update
Pontus Dahbo comes on for Gustav Lindgren.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ludvig Fritzson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
80
Update Update
Danilo Al-Saed comes on for Mikkel Rygaard Jensen.
80
Attempt Attempt
Julius Lindberg's right-footed shot is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Silas Andersen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Jeremy Agbonifo replaces Adrian Svanback.
71
Update Update
Olle Leonardsson comes on for Elias Barsoum.
71
Attempt Attempt
Ludvig Fritzson attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Update Update
Dijan Vukojevic comes on for Nasiru Moro.
46
Update Update
Arman Taranis is on, and Nahom Netabay is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gustav Lindgren takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Brice Wembangomo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Nahom Netabay takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
33
Update Update
Adrian Svanback's header is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Harry Hilvenius takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Doumbia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Silas Andersen scores with a right-footed shot.
19
Update Update
Goal in the penalty shootout! Silas Andersen scores, making it 0-1.
18
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Svanback takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rafferty's right-footed shot is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joakim Sars.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw leaves both Degerfors and Häcken with mixed feelings. Häcken will rue missed opportunities despite controlling 58% possession and leading at halftime 0-1, as Degerfors' second-half grit secured a vital point. This result highlights defensive solidity over attacking flair, with no red cards ensuring a fair contest. For the stronger visitors, the moderate deviation stings, but market alignment suggests it was not an outlier. Degerfors' comeback boosts morale, potentially shifting their campaign trajectory. Overall, a fair reflection of a balanced matchup where efficiency held steady amid null xG insights.

Degerfors vs Häcken preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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