Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Stora Valla Sun, 31 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Degerfors Degerfors
2 – 2
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Full Time Sun, 31 May 12:00 PM
Round 10 Regular Season
Marcus Rafferty - 63'
Simon Strand - 55' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Degerfors hosted Brommapojkarna in a competitive fixture that concluded with a 2-2 draw. Brommapojkarna took the lead in the first half to lead 0-1 at the break. Degerfors mounted a strong response after the interval to level the score and then push ahead before the visitors equalized late on. Possession favored Brommapojkarna at 58 percent compared to Degerfors 42 percent yet neither side could secure a winner. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side on paper failed to convert their advantage into maximum points as both teams shared the spoils in an entertaining encounter that featured end to end action and timely responses from each attack.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brommapojkarna exhibited significant structural deviation from pre-match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team output.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be assessed due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: The 2-2 outcome was not aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations could be verified given the absence of metrics.
  • Event impact: Second half goals shaped the progression to a 2-2 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Al Hakim

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Borgström

2nd Assistant

Sweden

S. Robertsson

1st Assistant

Sweden

E. Enerholm

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.09
Yellow cards / match 3.65
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.2
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.56
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: L
GAIS Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Häcken Rank: D
Örgryte Rank: D
AIK Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: W
Kalmar Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: L
Örgryte Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Degerfors
42.66%
Draw
28.02%
Away Brommapojkarna
29.33%

Movement

Changes since opening
Degerfors
+38.22%
Draw
-63.48%
Brommapojkarna
+25.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.09
23.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Degerfors
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
18.09
23.47
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Degerfors Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Degerfors ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.62
32.07
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.07
32.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Degerfors +0.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna -0.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Degerfors
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Degerfors ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Degerfors Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Degerfors Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Degerfors
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Degerfors
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Degerfors Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Degerfors 0.20
Brommapojkarna 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Degerfors Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Degerfors 0.04
Brommapojkarna 0.04
Degerfors
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Brommapojkarna had peak pressure around 25'.
  • Degerfors started the game with stronger pressure.
Degerfors Pressure Brommapojkarna Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Brommapojkarna reached the top pressure at 25' (93.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Degerfors Degerfors Home
4 matches
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
7
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:01:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. Igonen
Estonia
38 M. Igonen
L. Fritzson
Sweden
14 L. Fritzson
S. Ohlsson
Sweden
16 S. Ohlsson
J. Pikkarainen
Finland
5 J. Pikkarainen
E. Lindell
Substitution
Sweden
12 E. Lindell
E. Barsoum
Substitution
Sweden
20 E. Barsoum
K. Karlsson
Sweden
4 K. Karlsson
N. Girmai
Sweden
22 (C) N. Girmai
D. Vukojevic
Substitution
Sweden
11 D. Vukojevic
M. Rafferty
Sweden
10 M. Rafferty
A. Taranis
Substitution
Denmark
17 A. Taranis
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
R. Örqvist
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
S. Oppong
Substitution
33 S. Oppong
S. Strand
Sweden
16 (C) S. Strand
K. Barslund
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 10 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stora Valla
Capacity :
7500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Mohammed Al Hakim
Bendik Borgström
Sebastian Robertsson
Erik Enerholm

Statistics

Possession
Degerfors
43%
Brommapojkarna
57%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 8
54 Dangerous attacks 52
42 Possession 58
3 Corners 5
7 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 71
9 Dribble Attempts 17
21 Throwins 24
3 Successful Dribbles 12
70 Ball Safe 91
8 Goal Attempts 10
4 Substitutions 2
1 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 1
10 Goal Kicks 11
0 Assists 2

Attacking

82 Attacks 97
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

326 Successful Passes 471
394 Passes 542
83 Successful Passes Percentage 87
8 Key Passes 11
42 Long Passes 49
31 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
13 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

28 Duels Won 45
10 Tackles 15
12 Interceptions 10
5 Saves 1

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
7.17
5
Juhani Pikkarainen
Juhani Pikkarainen Defender
7.52
12
Erik Lindell
Erik Lindell Defender
5.99
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara
Defender56'
6.51
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Defender
6.28
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.37
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.62
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Midfielder
7
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Midfielder
6.23
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw
Midfielder56'
6.69
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.52
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker83'
6.46
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay (C) Midfielder
7.12
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
6.69
8
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein
Midfielder63'
6.48
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.66
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.61
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
7.15
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Defender
7.31
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.48
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.12
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Midfielder
7.32
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
6.75
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
7.25
29
Evans Botchway
Evans Botchway
Midfielder87'
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Attacker
7.15
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
7.15
18
Elton Hedström
Elton Hedström
Attacker69'
6.89

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Evans Botchway → Sion Oppong
6th Substitution
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Elias Barsoum
5th Substitution
83'
69'
Event
Elton Hedström → Lukas Björklund
4th Substitution
Event
Bilal Hussein → Arman Taranis
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Marcus Rafferty
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
63'
Event
Samba Diatara → Erik Lindell
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Gideon Yaw → Dijan Vukojevic
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Simon Strand
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
55'
51'
Event
Simon Strand
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Oliver Berg
1st Yellowcard
1'
Event
Mads Hansen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom took a left-footed shot, but it was saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Yiriyon Gideon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Substitution Substitution
Evans Botchway is substituted for Sion Oppong.
83
Update Update
Olle Leonardsson comes on for Elias Barsoum.
81
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
81
Attempt Attempt
Yiriyon Gideon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Berg takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rafferty takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sion Oppong takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom is on, and Lukas Bjorklund is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Elias Barsoum takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Elias Barsoum takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Rafferty scores with a left-footed shot.
62
Substitution Substitution
Bilal Hussein is substituted off for Arman Taranis.
56
Update Update
Gideon Yiriyon Yaw is on, and Dijan Vukojevic is off.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Simon Strand makes it 1-2.
55
Update Update
Samba Diatara replaces Erik Lindell.
51
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Simon Strand with his right foot finds the back of the net.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erik Lindell takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erik Lindell's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oliver Berg receives a yellow card.
40
Attempt Attempt
Juhani Pikkarainen attempts a header but misses the shot.
39
Attempt Attempt
Erik Lindell takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Zanden's left-footed shot is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
2
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a shot with his left foot and scores.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 result leaves both Degerfors and Brommapojkarna with valuable points yet highlights areas for refinement in finishing and defensive organization. Brommapojkarna controlled more of the ball but could not translate that into a victory after the early advantage slipped away. Degerfors demonstrated resilience by overturning the halftime deficit and matching their opponents stride for stride in the later stages. With no disciplinary interruptions the game flowed openly allowing attacking transitions to flourish on both sides. This draw underscores the competitive balance in the division where even favored sides must remain vigilant until the final whistle. Future fixtures will require tighter execution to convert possession and chance creation into decisive outcomes.

Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.