Cultural Leonesa vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sat, 14 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
1 Winner 2
Racing Santander RAC
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 3:15 PM
Iván Calero - 57'
Goal
|
Goal
Andrés Martín - 83', 38'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Cultural Leonesa 1–2 Racing Santander. The result saw Racing Santander take the points. Racing Santander showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 53%–47%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Racing Santander showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Fuentes Molina

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Hernández Ramos

2nd Assistant

C. Martínez Caballero

1st Assistant

J. Figueiredo Comesaña

4th Official

Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 66 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 L
FC Andorra Rank: 58 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Granada Rank: 66 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 W
Las Palmas Rank: 68 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
30.04%
Draw
26.62%
Away Racing Santander
43.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.29
71.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
Racing Santander
Power Score
54.29
71.93
League Position
21
1
Global Rank
522
143

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa Racing Santander

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.49
35.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.74
43.49
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cultural Leonesa +0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Racing Santander -0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Racing Santander
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cultural Leonesa Racing Santander
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa Racing Santander
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Racing Santander
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
1 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:13:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
V. García Hernández
Substitution
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 (C) R. Suárez Marcos
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
Spain
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
R. Hinojo Estrada
Spain
21 R. Hinojo Estrada
T. Ojeda
Substitution
Argentina
28 T. Ojeda
M. Diallo Diallo
Substitution
Spain
23 M. Diallo Diallo
I. Calero Ruiz
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
V. Moreno Alcalá
Substitution
Spain
11 V. Moreno Alcalá
M. Justo Román
Substitution
Spain
9 M. Justo Román
Pitch
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
Spain
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
M. García Alvear
Substitution
Spain
3 M. García Alvear
F. González Molino
Uruguay
16 F. González Molino
J. Hernando Riol
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
J. Castro Urdín
Substitution
Spain
5 J. Castro Urdín
G. Puerta Molano
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
D. Rodríguez Sousa
Substitution
Spain
23 D. Rodríguez Sousa
I. Vicente Elorduy
Substitution
Spain
10 (C) I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
Spain
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
Substitution
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 14, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity :
13346
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Iván Hernández Ramos
Andrés Fuentes Molina
Carlos Martínez Caballero
Javier Figueiredo Comesaña

Statistics

Possession
Cultural Leonesa
52%
RAC
48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 4
20 Shots 15
61 Dangerous attacks 36
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 3
4 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 7
80 Ball Safe 77
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
14 Dribble Attempts 14
6 Goal Kicks 11
27 Throwins 17
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 2
14 Goal Attempts 8

Attacking

103 Attacks 95
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

447 Passes 410
59 Long Passes 46
14 Key Passes 12
24 Successful Long Passes 14
361 Successful Passes 335
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
81 Successful Passes Percentage 82

Defensive

9 Tackles 14
11 Interceptions 15
1 Saves 5

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 1
18 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

3 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.03
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez (C) Defender
6.66
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo Defender
6.7
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
6.81
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino
Attacker90+2'
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Defender
6.95
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
6.93
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno Midfielder
6.56
20
Rafa Tresaco
Rafa Tresaco
Attacker46'
6.21
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
7.45
23
Selu Diallo
Selu Diallo Midfielder
6.54
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre
Midfielder55'
6.49
28
Thiago Ojeda
Thiago Ojeda Midfielder
6.99
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin
Defender90+2'
9
Manu Justo
Manu Justo Attacker
6.11
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado
Attacker46'
6.99
Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
7.41
3
Mario García
Mario García Defender
6.18
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker65'
6.39
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
7.14
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
6.73
15
Marco Sangalli
Marco Sangalli
Attacker65'
6.81
16
Facundo González
Facundo González Defender
7.43
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente (C) Midfielder
7.76
17
Jaime Mata
Jaime Mata
Attacker89'
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
2
7.79
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
6.74
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
7.16
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez Midfielder
6.99
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye
Midfielder78'
6.6
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.74
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas
Defender65'
7.11

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rubén Sobrino → Víctor García
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Homam Al-Amin → Thiago Ojeda
9th Substitution
90+2'
89'
Event
Jaime Mata → Iñigo Vicente
8th Substitution
Event
Thiago Ojeda
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
88'
88'
Event
Andrés Martín
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Maguette Gueye → Damián Rodríguez
7th Substitution
Event
Matia Barzic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
76'
Event
5th Yellowcard
76'
65'
Event
Jorge Salinas → Giorgi Guliashvili
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Suleiman Camara → Mario García
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Marco Sangalli → Javi Castro
6th Substitution
Event
Iván Calero
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
57'
Event
Sergi Maestre → Selu Diallo
3rd Substitution
55'
48'
Event
Andrés Martín
Offside / Goal Disallowed
Event
Rafa Tresaco → Víctor Moreno
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Diego Collado → Manu Justo
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Víctor García
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
45+1'
38'
Event
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
29'
Event
Giorgi Guliashvili
Goal disallowed

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Racing Santander exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Cultural Leonesa vs Racing Santander preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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