Cultural Leonesa vs Córdoba Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
1 Winner 2
Córdoba Córdoba
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Bicho - 64'
Goal
|
Goal
Diego Percan - 90+2'
Matia Barzic - 52' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

In a gripping Segunda B encounter at Estadio Reina Sofía, Cultural Leonesa fell 1-2 to a resilient Córdoba side, handing the visitors a crucial away victory. The first half ended goalless, with the hosts holding a slim 53-47 possession edge but failing to convert chances into shots on target. Tension mounted post-interval as Córdoba struck first through sharp counter-attacking play, doubling their lead soon after with clinical finishing. Leonesa pulled one back late via a determined effort, but it wasn't enough to salvage a point. No red cards marred the contest, keeping the focus on tactical battles and individual brilliance. Córdoba, deemed the stronger team pre-match, capitalized on their efficiency despite less possession, exposing Leonesa's defensive frailties in transition. This outcome highlighted a significant 66.2% deviation from expectations, boosting Córdoba's promotion push while denting Leonesa's home record.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Córdoba's win marked a 66.2% significant structural deviation favoring their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiency stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: Outcome diverged from pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured undistorted match progression.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Etayo Herrera

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Miranda Bolaño

4th Official

Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Huesca Rank: D
FC Andorra Rank: L
Castellón Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
Cádiz Rank: W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: D
Burgos Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
38.68%
Draw
27.56%
Away Córdoba
33.76%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cultural Leonesa
+38.49%
Draw
+22.47%
Córdoba
-60.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.52
21.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
Córdoba
Power Score
16.52
21.87
League Position
22
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa Córdoba

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.70
42.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.45
36.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cultural Leonesa -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Córdoba +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Córdoba
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cultural Leonesa Córdoba
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa Córdoba
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Córdoba
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cultural Leonesa
vs
Córdoba
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cultural Leonesa Córdoba
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cultural Leonesa 0.35
Córdoba 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa Córdoba
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cultural Leonesa 0.05
Córdoba 0.02
Cultural Leonesa
Córdoba
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Córdoba had peak pressure around 21'.
  • Cultural Leonesa started the game with stronger pressure.
Cultural Leonesa Pressure Córdoba Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Córdoba reached the top pressure at 21' (97.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
3 matches
Córdoba Córdoba Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:06:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
E. Fornos Domínguez
Substitution
Spain
5 E. Fornos Domínguez
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 R. Suárez Marcos
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
Substitution
Spain
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
H. Ahmed
Substitution
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
I. Calero Ruiz
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
S. Maestre García
Spain
6 S. Maestre García
T. Ojeda
Argentina
28 T. Ojeda
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
J. Fernández Abruñedo
Substitution
Spain
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
D. Collado Raya
Substitution
Spain
7 D. Collado Raya
Pitch
I. Iker
Andorra
1 I. Iker
I. Vilarrasa Palacios
Spain
2 I. Vilarrasa Palacios
R. González Alves
Brazil
16 R. González Alves
J. Martín Valerón
Spain
4 J. Martín Valerón
C. Albarrán Sanz
Spain
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
D. Requena Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
30 D. Requena Sánchez
A. Del Moral Saelices
Spain
20 A. Del Moral Saelices
S. Guardiola Navarro
Substitution
Spain
14 S. Guardiola Navarro
K. Villodres Medina
Substitution
Spain
11 K. Villodres Medina
A. Fuentes González
Substitution
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
C. Carracedo García
Substitution
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity :
13346
Attendance :
10531
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Gorka Etayo Herrera
D. Miranda Bolaño

Statistics

Possession
Cultural Leonesa
51%
Córdoba
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 5
49 Dangerous attacks 39
53 Possession 47
4 Corners 8
15 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
14 Goal Attempts 11
78 Ball Safe 70
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 1
15 Dribble Attempts 11
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
7 Goal Kicks 10
20 Throwins 13
7 Successful Dribbles 6

Attacking

5 Big Chances Missed 0
70 Attacks 70

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes 37
53 Long Passes 63
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59
333 Successful Passes 291
83 Successful Passes Percentage 83
15 Key Passes 15
400 Passes 350

Defensive

35 Duels Won 51
5 Saves 9
12 Tackles 21
6 Interceptions 10

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 6
9 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

15 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Gorka Etayo Herrera

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.81
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez Defender
6.84
5
Quique Fornos
Quique Fornos Defender
6.33
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Attacker81'
6.92
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Defender
6.46
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo
Defender81'
6.66
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Defender
6.78
23
Selu Diallo
Selu Diallo
Midfielder90+3'
6.51
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre Midfielder
6.59
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
7.12
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
6.71
28
Thiago Ojeda
Thiago Ojeda Midfielder
6.71
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado Attacker
6.61
9
Manu Justo
Manu Justo
Attacker67'
6.74
14
Bicho
Bicho Attacker
6.83
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno
Midfielder81'
6.56
Referee : Gorka Etayo Herrera

Starting XI ▼

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender
6.73
4
Álex Martín
Álex Martín Defender
6.78
16
Rubén Alves
Rubén Alves Defender
7.02
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán Defender
6.46
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola Midfielder
6.83
25
Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti
Midfielder69'
6.85
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral Midfielder
6.6
30
Dani Requena
Dani Requena Midfielder
6.95
7
Théo Zidane
Théo Zidane
Midfielder60'
6.64
11
Kevin Medina
Kevin Medina Attacker
6.71
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González
Attacker60'
6.99
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
6.8
6
Diego Percan
Diego Percan
Attacker69'
6.6
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker
7.32
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri
Attacker78'
6.76

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Selu Diallo → Matia Barzic
10th Substitution
90+3'
90+2'
Event
Diego Percan
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Roger Hinojo → Homam Al-Amin
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Víctor Moreno → Bicho
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro → Quique Fornos
9th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Diego Bri → Cristian Carracedo
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Diego Percan → Adrián Fuentes
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Mikel Goti → Sergi Guardiola
4th Substitution
Event
Manu Justo → Diego Collado
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Bicho
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
64'
60'
Event
Jacobo González → Kevin Medina
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Théo Zidane → Dani Requena
2nd Substitution
52'
Event
Matia Barzic
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Dani Requena
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Bicho
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
40'

CONCLUSION

Córdoba's 2-1 triumph over Cultural Leonesa underscores their superior quality in decisive moments, turning a balanced first half into second-half dominance without relying on possession. The visitors' ability to strike efficiently on the break exposed Leonesa's vulnerabilities, resulting in a win that defied pre-match leanings toward the hosts. With no disruptions from cards or tactical shifts, this pure test of football rewarded Córdoba's clinical edge and squad depth. For Leonesa, the late goal offers faint consolation, but defensive lapses demand urgent review to protect their home fortress. Córdoba gains momentum in the standings, positioning them strongly for upcoming challenges in the competitive Segunda B landscape.

Cultural Leonesa vs Córdoba preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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