Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Selhurst Park Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace CRY
2 Winner 1
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Full Time Thu, 7 May 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 2
Ismaïla Sarr - 52'
Pedro Henrique - 25' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Eguinaldo - 34'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. The result saw Crystal Palace take the points. Crystal Palace showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 34%–66%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Crystal Palace exhibited minimal structural deviation of 4.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No key events disrupted the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. del Cerro Grande

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Naranjo Pérez

1st Assistant

Spain

D. Sánchez Rojo

2nd Assistant

Spain

J. Sánchez Martínez

4th Official

Spain

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.5
Yellow cards / match 4.82
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.29
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Fiorentina Rank: 77 W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 L
AZ Rank: 74 D
AZ Rank: 76 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 W
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crystal Palace
95.61%
Draw
4.2%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.09
74.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
86.09
74.94
League Position
10
6
Global Rank
28
116

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Crystal Palace

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Crystal Palace ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.18
30.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.61
36.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Crystal Palace +0.46 Efficiency Index
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Crystal Palace ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Crystal Palace
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Crystal Palace 0.42
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Crystal Palace 0.02
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.08
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHK had peak pressure around 40'.
  • SHK started the game with stronger pressure.
CRY Pressure SHK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHK reached the top pressure at 40' (83.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crystal Palace CRY Home
1 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:01:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Henderson
England
1 D. Henderson
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
D. Muñoz Mejía
Substitution
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
A. Wharton
Substitution
England
20 A. Wharton
D. Kamada
Substitution
Japan
18 D. Kamada
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
I. Sarr
Senegal
7 I. Sarr
J. Mateta
Substitution
France
14 J. Mateta
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
Substitution
Spain
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
Pitch
D. Riznyk
Ukraine
31 D. Riznyk
P. Azevedo Pereira
Brazil
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
M. Matviyenko
Ukraine
22 M. Matviyenko
V. Bondar
Ukraine
5 V. Bondar
V. Tobias da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
17 V. Tobias da Silva
O. Ocheretko
Substitution
Ukraine
27 O. Ocheretko
E. de Sousa Lemos
Brazil
7 E. de Sousa Lemos
M. Gomes Claudino
Brazil
6 M. Gomes Claudino
P. Delmino da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
10 P. Delmino da Silva
A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
Substitution
Brazil
30 A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
K. Elias Nogueira
Substitution
Brazil
19 K. Elias Nogueira

General Information

Date & Time :
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 2
Stadium :
Selhurst Park
Capacity :
25456
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
José Enrique Naranjo Pérez
Diego Sánchez Rojo
José María Sánchez Martínez
Carlos del Cerro Grande

Statistics

Possession
CRY
37%
SHK
63%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 7
26 Dangerous attacks 64
34 Possession 66
1 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
10 Dribble Attempts 24
6 Successful Dribbles 7
8 Goal Attempts 12
74 Ball Safe 75
10 Goal Kicks 5
10 Throwins 14
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
1 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

67 Attacks 122
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

12 Successful Long Passes 21
7 Key Passes 11
209 Successful Passes 495
77 Successful Passes Percentage 91
41 Long Passes 29
272 Passes 541
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 72

Defensive

6 Interceptions 8
5 Saves 4
31 Tackles 11

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 20
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Carlos del Cerro Grande

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.69
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
7.18
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.84
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
7.12
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder
7.27
17
Nathaniel Clyne
Nathaniel Clyne
Defender89'
6.42
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder
7.11
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.2
8
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma
Midfielder88'
6.73
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.04
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes
Midfielder89'
6.87
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.21
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
7.17
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson
Attacker78'
6.84
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.74
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Attacker66'
6.79
Referee : Carlos del Cerro Grande

Starting XI ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
6.68
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar Defender
7.17
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
7.16
17
Vinícius Tobias
Vinícius Tobias Defender
6.97
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram
Defender27'
6.77
22
Mykola Matvienko
Mykola Matvienko Defender
6.91
6
Marlon Gomes
Marlon Gomes Midfielder
7.12
7
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo Midfielder
6.86
10
Pedrinho
Pedrinho Midfielder
7.29
37
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira
Midfielder75'
6.7
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko Midfielder
6.76
11
Newerton
Newerton
Midfielder56'
6.85
30
Alisson
Alisson Midfielder
7.03
14
Isaque
Isaque
Midfielder46'
6.79
19
Kauã Elias
Kauã Elias Attacker
7.05
2
Lassina Traoré
Lassina Traoré
Attacker56'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nathaniel Clyne → Daniel Muñoz
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Will Hughes → Adam Wharton
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Jefferson Lerma → Daichi Kamada
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Brennan Johnson → Yéremy Pino
7th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Lucas Ferreira → Pedrinho
6th Substitution
Event
Jørgen Strand Larsen → Jean-Philippe Mateta
5th Substitution
66'
56'
Event
Newerton → Oleg Ocheretko
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Lassina Traoré → Kauã Elias
4th Substitution
Event
Ismaïla Sarr
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
52'
46'
Event
Isaque → Alisson
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Eguinaldo
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
27'
Event
Alaa Ghram → Vinícius Tobias
1st Substitution
Event
Pedro Henrique
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
25'
15'
Event
Valeriy Bondar
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Yéremy Pino
Goal disallowed
12'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lassina Traore takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
89
Update Update
Nathaniel Clyne comes on for Daniel Munoz.
89
Update Update
Will Hughes is on, and Adam Wharton is off.
88
Update Update
Jefferson Andres Lerma Solis comes on for Daichi Kamada.
82
Attempt Attempt
Lassina Traore attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Attempt Attempt
Mykola Matvyenko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Brennan Johnson is on, and Yeremi Pino is off.
77
Attempt Attempt
Jorgen Strand Larsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
76
Attempt Attempt
Lassina Traore takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
75
Update Update
Lucas Ferreira replaces Pedrinho.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mykola Matvyenko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Jorgen Strand Larsen comes on for Jean Philippe Mateta.
65
Attempt Attempt
Pedrinho takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jean Philippe Mateta takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Tyrick Mitchell's left-footed shot is blocked.
56
Update Update
Isaque takes a header, but it goes wide.
56
Update Update
Lassina Traore is on, and Kaua Elias Nogueira is off.
56
Update Update
On comes Newerton, off goes Oleh Ocheretko.
52
Attempt Attempt
Ismaila Sarr scores with a right-footed shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Kaua Elias Nogueira takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Adam Wharton takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Munoz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Isaque comes on for Alisson Santana.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jean Philippe Mateta takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
42
Attempt Attempt
Alisson Santana takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Alisson Santana takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ismaila Sarr takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Eguinaldo takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eguinaldo scores, bringing the match to 1-1.
34
Attempt Attempt
Alisson Santana's right-footed shot is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Munoz takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jean Philippe Mateta takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
27
Update Update
Alaa Ghram replaces Vinicius Tobias.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal! The score is now 1-0.
25
Attempt Attempt
Adam Wharton takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Vinicius Tobias takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Valerii Bondar receives a yellow card.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yeremi Pino scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Jean Philippe Mateta.
10
Attempt Attempt
Yeremi Pino scores with a right-footed shot.
4
Attempt Attempt
Eguinaldo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Marlon Gomes takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
2
Attempt Attempt
Kaua Elias Nogueira takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Crystal Palace exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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