Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Selhurst Park Thu, 9 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace CRY
3 Winner 0
Fiorentina FIO
Full Time Thu, 9 Apr 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 1 of 2
Ismaïla Sarr - 90'
Tyrick Mitchell - 31'
Jean-Philippe Mateta - 24' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match is finished, with Crystal Palace defeating Fiorentina 3-0 in the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie. Crystal Palace led 2-0 at half-time and maintained control after the break to secure the clean-sheet win, establishing a strong aggregate advantage. Pre-match assessments had Crystal Palace as clear favorites at 60.3 percent, yet the result represented a significant deviation in their favor. The home side outperformed expectations by a wide margin, turning a projected competitive fixture into a one-sided affair. Possession was closely contested at 52 percent to 48 percent, but the underlying quality gap was stark. Crystal Palace posted 3.2 expected goals against Fiorentina’s 0.61, and the final score aligned closely with this xG profile. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection, while efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout. No red cards were issued, allowing both teams to complete the contest with full squads and without disruptive disciplinary events.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Crystal Palace showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Rumšas

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Radiušas

1st Assistant

D. Sužiedėlis

2nd Assistant

M. Lukjančukas

4th Official

Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
VS
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: 58 W
Zrinjski Rank: 58 D
KuPS Rank: D
Shelbourne Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 W
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crystal Palace
60.34%
Draw
24.29%
Away Fiorentina
15.37%

Movement

Changes since opening
Crystal Palace
-37.55%
Draw
+22.37%
Fiorentina
+15.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.53
76.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Power Score
86.53
76.09
League Position
10
15
Global Rank
24
87

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crystal Palace Fiorentina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Crystal Palace

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fiorentina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Crystal Palace ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fiorentina
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.54
18.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.85
36.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Crystal Palace +1.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Fiorentina -1.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Crystal Palace
vs
Fiorentina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Crystal Palace Fiorentina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Crystal Palace Fiorentina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Crystal Palace
vs
Fiorentina
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Crystal Palace Fiorentina
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Crystal Palace 0.43
Fiorentina 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Crystal Palace Fiorentina
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Crystal Palace 0.00
Fiorentina 0.08
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CRY had peak pressure around 94'.
  • CRY started the game with stronger pressure.
CRY Pressure FIO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CRY reached the top pressure at 94' (95.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crystal Palace CRY Home
0 matches
Fiorentina FIO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-10T13:36:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Henderson
England
1 (C) D. Henderson
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
D. Muñoz Mejía
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
A. Wharton
Substitution
England
20 A. Wharton
D. Kamada
Substitution
Japan
18 D. Kamada
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
I. Sarr
Senegal
7 I. Sarr
J. Mateta
Substitution
France
14 J. Mateta
E. Guessand
Substitution
France
29 E. Guessand
Pitch
D. de Gea Quintana
Spain
43 (C) D. de Gea Quintana
R. Gosens
Substitution
Germany
21 R. Gosens
L. Ranieri
Italy
6 L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic
Substitution
Croatia
5 M. Pongracic
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
Brazil
2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos
C. Ndour
Italy
27 C. Ndour
N. Fagioli
Substitution
Italy
44 N. Fagioli
G. Fabbian
Italy
80 G. Fabbian
A. Gudmundsson
Substitution
Iceland
10 A. Gudmundsson
R. Piccoli
Italy
91 R. Piccoli
J. Harrison
Substitution
England
17 J. Harrison

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Selhurst Park
Capacity :
25456
Attendance :
22775
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Aleksandras Radiušas
Dovydas Sužiedėlis
Manfredas Lukjančukas
Donatas Rumšas

Statistics

Possession
CRY
54%
FIO
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
7 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 6
40 Dangerous attacks 21
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

10 Dribble Attempts 10
13 Throwins 18
8 Goal Kicks 9
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
1 Penalties 0
6 Successful Dribbles 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0
86 Ball Safe 83
1 Injuries 1
12 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

108 Attacks 83
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

32 Successful Long Passes 24
59 Long Passes 52
389 Successful Passes 345
449 Passes 418
14 Key Passes 8
87 Successful Passes Percentage 83
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

41 Duels Won 32
13 Tackles 7
7 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 2

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 9
7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

16 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Donatas Rumšas

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson (C) Goalkeeper
6.94
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
6.97
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
7.16
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.71
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder
7.87
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder
7.56
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.8
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson
Attacker90+4'
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.18
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes
Midfielder90+4'
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.78
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
7.4
8
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma
Midfielder83'
6.67
29
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand Attacker
7.32
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino
Midfielder65'
7.05
Referee : Donatas Rumšas

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea (C) Goalkeeper
6.18
2
Dodô
Dodô Defender
6.54
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
6.47
15
Pietro Comuzzo
Pietro Comuzzo
Defender82'
6.2
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
6.58
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
6.24
62
Luís Balbo
Luís Balbo
Defender78'
6.07
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
6.93
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
6.29
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora
Midfielder90+1'
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder
6.71
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson Attacker
6.82
69
Giorgio Puzzoli
Giorgio Puzzoli
Attacker90+1'
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison Attacker
6.74
22
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini
Midfielder78'
6.07
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Will Hughes → Adam Wharton
8th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Brennan Johnson → Daichi Kamada
9th Substitution
90+4'
90+1'
Event
Rolando Mandragora → Nicolò Fagioli
6th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Giorgio Puzzoli → Albert Gudmundsson
7th Substitution
Event
Ismaïla Sarr
Header / 2nd Goal
90'
Event
Jefferson Lerma → Jean-Philippe Mateta
5th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Pietro Comuzzo → Marin Pongracic
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Luís Balbo → Robin Gosens
2nd Substitution
78'
Event
Jacopo Fazzini → Jack Harrison
3rd Substitution
Event
Chris Richards
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
69'
Event
Roberto Piccoli
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Yéremy Pino → Evann Guessand
1st Substitution
65'
1ST-HALF
Event
Tyrick Mitchell
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
31'
Event
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
24'
21'
Event
Dodô
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Crystal Palace winning 3-0 against Fiorentina.
90
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ismaïla Sarr scores for Crystal Palace with a header from the center of the box. The score is now Crystal Palace 3, Fiorentina 0.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Brennan Johnson comes on for Daichi Kamada.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Crystal Palace winning 3-0 against Fiorentina.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Brennan Johnson comes on for Daichi Kamada.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Will Hughes comes on for Adam Wharton.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ismaïla Sarr of Crystal Palace.
90
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace is awarded a corner after Dodô concedes.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul by Ismaïla Sarr of Crystal Palace.
90
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Yéremy Pino's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Adam Wharton provided the assist.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Giorgio Puzzoli comes on for Albert Gudmundsson.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Crystal Palace leads Fiorentina 3-0. Ismaïla Sarr scores for Crystal Palace with a header from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Daichi Kamada's cross.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Will Hughes comes on for Adam Wharton.
90
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace win a corner after Dodô concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Yéremy Pino's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Adam Wharton provided the assist.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora comes on for Nicolò Fagioli.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Giorgio Puzzoli comes on for Albert Gudmundsson.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora comes on for Nicolò Fagioli.
88
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Lerma's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Yéremy Pino.
88
Attempt Attempt
Jefferson Lerma's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Yéremy Pino.
87
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina.
87
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
84
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina.
84
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Jefferson Lerma comes on for Jean-Philippe Mateta.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Jefferson Lerma comes on for Jean-Philippe Mateta.
82
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Cher Ndour of Fiorentina takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Pietro Comuzzo comes on for Marin Pongracic.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Pietro Comuzzo comes on for Marin Pongracic.
82
Attempt Attempt
Cher Ndour from Fiorentina misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high, assisted by Albert Gudmundsson.
80
Attempt Attempt
Ismaïla Sarr's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Jean-Philippe Mateta.
80
Attempt Attempt
Ismaïla Sarr's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Jean-Philippe Mateta.
79
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace heads the ball from the left side of the six-yard box, but it goes just to the left. Ismaïla Sarr provided the assist with a cross after a quick break.
79
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace heads the ball from the left side of the six-yard box, but it goes just left of the goal. Ismaïla Sarr assisted after a fast break.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jacopo Fazzini comes on for Jack Harrison.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jacopo Fazzini comes on for Jack Harrison.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Luís Balbo comes on for Robin Gosens.
77
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. Daniel Muñoz provided the cross.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Luís Balbo comes on for Robin Gosens.
77
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. The cross was assisted by Daniel Muñoz.
76
Update Update
Cher Ndour from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards of Crystal Palace.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards of Crystal Palace.
76
Update Update
Cher Ndour of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chris Richards of Crystal Palace receives a yellow card for a foul.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chris Richards of Crystal Palace receives a yellow card for a foul.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards of Crystal Palace.
75
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
75
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards of Crystal Palace.
73
Corner Corner
Fiorentina wins a corner after Jaydee Canvot concedes.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace.
73
Update Update
Luca Ranieri from Fiorentina is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Update Update
Foul by Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace.
73
Corner Corner
Fiorentina wins a corner after Jaydee Canvot concedes.
73
Update Update
Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Jack Harrison of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace is penalized for dangerous play.
71
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace is called for dangerous play.
71
Update Update
Jack Harrison from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Update Update
Maxence Lacroix from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
69
Update Update
Foul by Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
69
Update Update
Foul by Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina.
69
Update Update
Maxence Lacroix from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
68
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Albert Gudmundsson of Fiorentina.
68
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
68
Update Update
Foul by Albert Gudmundsson of Fiorentina.
68
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. The assist came from Marin Pongracic.
68
Update Update
Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
67
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Yéremy Pino comes on for Evann Guessand due to an injury.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Yéremy Pino comes on for Evann Guessand due to an injury.
63
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace.
63
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina.
60
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the attacking half.
60
Update Update
Foul by Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina.
60
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the attacking half.
59
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Piccoli's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved.
59
Corner Corner
Roberto Piccoli's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Dean Henderson. The attempt was assisted by Dodô.
58
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Albert Gudmundsson's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Albert Gudmundsson's header from the center of the box is saved by Dean Henderson in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Jack Harrison's cross.
57
Update Update
Foul by Daniel Muñoz of Crystal Palace.
57
Update Update
Nicolò Fagioli from Fiorentina wins a free kick on the left wing.
57
Update Update
Foul by Daniel Muñoz of Crystal Palace.
57
Update Update
Nicolò Fagioli from Fiorentina wins a free kick on the left wing.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
56
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
56
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Marin Pongracic of Fiorentina.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Ismaïla Sarr of Crystal Palace.
54
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace wins a free kick on the left wing.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Marin Pongracic of Fiorentina.
52
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Attempt Attempt
Daichi Kamada from Crystal Palace misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, sending it close but to the left. The attempt was assisted by Evann Guessand with a cross.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
52
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Attempt Attempt
Daichi Kamada from Crystal Palace misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, just to the left of the target. He was assisted by Evann Guessand's cross.
51
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina hits the woodwork with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
51
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina hits the bar with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Dodô.
48
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina.
48
Update Update
Daichi Kamada wins a free kick for Crystal Palace in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Crystal Palace leading 2-0 against Fiorentina.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Maxence Lacroix of Crystal Palace.
45
Update Update
Dodô wins a free kick for Fiorentina in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Crystal Palace 2, Fiorentina 0.
45
Update Update
Foul by Maxence Lacroix of Crystal Palace.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Crystal Palace leading 2-0 against Fiorentina.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Crystal Palace 2, Fiorentina 0.
45
Update Update
Dodô from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Dodô of Fiorentina.
43
Update Update
Evann Guessand of Crystal Palace wins a free kick on the left wing.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Dodô of Fiorentina.
43
Update Update
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace wins a free kick on the left wing.
42
Corner Corner
Maxence Lacroix from Crystal Palace misses a header from the left side of the six-yard box, sending it to the left. Adam Wharton provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
42
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace wins a corner after Luca Ranieri concedes.
42
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace wins a corner after Luca Ranieri concedes.
42
Corner Corner
Maxence Lacroix of Crystal Palace misses a header from the left side of the six-yard box, sending it to the left. Adam Wharton assisted with a cross after a corner.
41
Attempt Attempt
Evann Guessand's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Evann Guessand's right-footed shot from outside the box for Crystal Palace is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Jaydee Canvot from Crystal Palace has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by David de Gea from Fiorentina. The assist comes from Daichi Kamada.
37
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace wins a corner after Luca Ranieri concedes.
37
Corner Corner
Crystal Palace wins a corner after Luca Ranieri concedes.
31
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Jean-Philippe Mateta's right-footed shot from close range is saved in the bottom left corner by David de Gea. The assist came from Daniel Muñoz.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Crystal Palace lead 2-0 over Fiorentina as Tyrick Mitchell scores with a left-footed shot from very close range.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tyrick Mitchell scores for Crystal Palace with a left-footed shot from very close range into the bottom right corner. The score is now Crystal Palace 2, Fiorentina 0.
31
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace has his left-footed shot from close range saved in the bottom left corner by David de Gea of Fiorentina, with the assist coming from Daniel Muñoz.
31
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Daniel Muñoz from Crystal Palace has a left-footed shot from the center of the box that goes wide to the left, assisted by Daichi Kamada's through ball.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tyrick Mitchell scores for Crystal Palace with a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box into the bottom right corner. The score is now Crystal Palace 2, Fiorentina 0.
27
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina is caught offside.
27
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina is caught offside.
26
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace is caught offside.
26
Update Update
Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace is caught offside.
25
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Albert Gudmundsson of Fiorentina, who took a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
25
Attempt Attempt
Albert Gudmundsson of Fiorentina misses the attempt, sending a right-footed shot from the left side of the box high and wide to the right. Cher Ndour provided the assist.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jean-Philippe Mateta scores for Crystal Palace with a right-footed shot to the center of the goal. The match stands at 1-0 in favor of Crystal Palace.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jean-Philippe Mateta scores for Crystal Palace with a right-footed shot to the center of the goal. The match stands at 1-0.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dodô of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
21
Update Update
Crystal Palace is awarded a penalty after Evann Guessand is fouled in the penalty area.
21
Update Update
Penalty conceded by Dodô of Fiorentina for a foul in the penalty area.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dodô of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
21
Update Update
Dodô of Fiorentina concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
21
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Crystal Palace as Evann Guessand is fouled in the penalty area.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, just to the right, after an assist from Daichi Kamada.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending the ball to the right. Daichi Kamada provided the assist.
18
Update Update
Foul by Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina.
18
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
18
Attempt Attempt
Evann Guessand from Crystal Palace misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
18
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr from Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the defensive half.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Dodô of Fiorentina.
16
Update Update
Evann Guessand of Crystal Palace wins a free kick on the left wing.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrick Mitchell of Crystal Palace.
14
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Robin Gosens from Fiorentina has a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes wide to the left. Giovanni Fabbian provided the assist with a cross.
13
Update Update
Ismaïla Sarr commits a handball for Crystal Palace.
12
Update Update
Luca Ranieri from Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
12
Update Update
Adam Wharton of Crystal Palace wins a free kick in the attacking half.
7
Update Update
Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace misses a header from the center of the box, sending it close but to the left. The cross was assisted by Daniel Muñoz.
5
Update Update
Foul by Evann Guessand of Crystal Palace.
5
Update Update
Cher Ndour from Fiorentina is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
4
Update Update
Handball by Jaydee Canvot of Crystal Palace.
3
Update Update
Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Adam Wharton of Crystal Palace.
2
Update Update
Jack Harrison of Fiorentina wins a free kick in the attacking half.
1
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Piccoli's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Crystal Palace exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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