Cremonese vs Fiorentina Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giovanni Zini Mon, 16 Mar - 7:45 PM
Serie A
Cremonese USC
1 Winner 4
Fiorentina FIO
Full Time Mon, 16 Mar 7:45 PM
David Okereke - 57'
Goal
|
Goal
Albert Gudmundsson - 70'
Dodô - 49'
Roberto Piccoli - 32'
Fabiano Parisi - 25'

CONTEXT

The match between Cremonese and Fiorentina has officially finished, with the visitors securing a commanding 4-1 full-time victory. Fiorentina took control early, carrying a comfortable 2-0 lead into halftime, and never relinquished their grip on the game. The result was fully aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored Fiorentina at a 49.4% win probability compared to Cremonese's 22.9% chance. Despite a victory being the expected outcome, the lopsided margin resulted in a significant statistical deviation in Fiorentina's favor, outperforming standard baseline projections for the fixture. The flow of play saw a relatively balanced midfield battle, with Fiorentina holding a narrow possession advantage of 52% to Cremonese's 48%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this matchup, a precise assessment of whether the scoring output aligned with the underlying chance quality cannot be determined. However, the teams' efficiency shift remained completely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the match proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as zero red cards were shown to either team, allowing the away side to comfortably see out their dominant win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fiorentina showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Di Bello

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Vecchi

2nd Assistant

J. Sacchi

4th Official

A. Lo Cicero

1st Assistant

Cremonese D. Nicola
D. Nicola
VS
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
0.68
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.79
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: 68 L
AC Milan Rank: 86 L
Roma Rank: 85 L
Genoa Rank: 73 D
Atalanta Rank: 86 L
Inter Rank: 92 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cagliari Rank: 71 L
Bologna Rank: 79 W
AC Milan Rank: 87 D
Lazio Rank: 80 D
Cremonese Rank: 69 W
Parma Rank: 72 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cremonese
22.92%
Draw
27.63%
Away Fiorentina
49.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.94
75.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Power Score
55.94
75.35
League Position
18
16
Global Rank
276
90

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cremonese — Opponent-weighted form score
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cremonese Fiorentina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cremonese

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fiorentina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cremonese ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fiorentina
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.29
27.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.50
32.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cremonese +0.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Fiorentina -0.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cremonese
Fiorentina
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cremonese
vs
Fiorentina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cremonese Fiorentina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cremonese Fiorentina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Cremonese
Fiorentina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cremonese USC Home
5 matches
Fiorentina FIO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
2
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-03-17T12:54:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Audero Mulyadi
Italy
1 E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Ceccherini
Substitution
Italy
23 F. Ceccherini
F. Folino
Italy
55 F. Folino
S. Luperto
Italy
5 S. Luperto
T. Barbieri
Italy
4 T. Barbieri
M. Thorsby
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Thorsby
W. Bondo
Substitution
France
38 W. Bondo
Y. Maleh
Substitution
Morocco
29 Y. Maleh
R. Floriani
Substitution
Italy
22 R. Floriani
F. Bonazzoli
Italy
90 (C) F. Bonazzoli
M. Đurić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 M. Đurić
Pitch
D. de Gea Quintana
Spain
43 (C) D. de Gea Quintana
R. Gosens
Substitution
Germany
21 R. Gosens
L. Ranieri
Substitution
Italy
6 L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic
Croatia
5 M. Pongracic
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
Brazil
2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos
M. Brescianini
Italy
4 M. Brescianini
N. Fagioli
Italy
44 N. Fagioli
R. Mandragora
Substitution
Italy
8 R. Mandragora
A. Gudmundsson
Substitution
Iceland
10 A. Gudmundsson
R. Piccoli
Italy
91 R. Piccoli
F. Parisi
Substitution
Italy
65 F. Parisi

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 16, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadium :
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Capacity :
20641
Attendance :
11030
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marco Di Bello
Valerio Vecchi
Juan Luca Sacchi
Alessandro Lo Cicero

Statistics

Possession
USC
51%
FIO
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
3 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 3
50 Dangerous attacks 26
48 Possession 52
4 Corners 6
16 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

27 Throwins 17
100 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
15 Successful Headers 12
6 Goal Kicks 8
2 Dribble Attempts 9
1 Assists 4
2 Successful Dribbles 5
5 Substitutions 5
12 Goal Attempts 10
52 Ball Safe 64
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
118 Attacks 68

Possession

351 Passes 401
80 Successful Passes Percentage 83
282 Successful Passes 334
58 Long Passes 47
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
29 Successful Long Passes 21
9 Key Passes 11

Defensive

2 Saves 2
2 Interceptions 6
13 Tackles 4

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 4
35 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

17 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Audero
Emil Audero Goalkeeper
6.04
5
Sebastiano Luperto
Sebastiano Luperto Defender
6.54
23
Federico Ceccherini
Federico Ceccherini Defender
6.64
24
Filippo Terracciano
Filippo Terracciano
Defender80'
6.65
55
Francesco Folino
Francesco Folino Defender
6.1
2
Morten Thorsby
Morten Thorsby Midfielder
6.4
77
David Okereke
David Okereke
Attacker46'
7.51
4
Tommaso Barbieri
Tommaso Barbieri Midfielder
6.65
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Romano Floriani Mussolini Midfielder
6.45
7
Alessio Zerbin
Alessio Zerbin
Attacker69'
6.51
29
Youssef Maleh
Youssef Maleh Midfielder
6.38
27
Jari Vandeputte
Jari Vandeputte
Midfielder62'
6.9
38
Warren Bondo
Warren Bondo Midfielder
6.55
33
Alberto Grassi
Alberto Grassi
Midfielder46'
6.47
9
Milan Djuric
Milan Djuric Attacker
7.12
90
Federico Bonazzoli
Federico Bonazzoli (C) Attacker
6.54
Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea (C) Goalkeeper
6.98
2
Dodô
Dodô Defender
7.45
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
6.54
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
6.95
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian
Midfielder89'
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
7.27
3
Daniele Rugani
Daniele Rugani
Defender81'
6.38
4
Marco Brescianini
Marco Brescianini Midfielder
6.86
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder
7.19
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour
Midfielder75'
6.53
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
7.09
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson Attacker
7.94
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison
Attacker76'
6.46
65
Fabiano Parisi
Fabiano Parisi Attacker
7.54
22
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini
Midfielder81'
6.32
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker
7.87

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Giovanni Fabbian → Luca Ranieri
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Jacopo Fazzini → Fabiano Parisi
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Daniele Rugani → Robin Gosens
9th Substitution
Event
Filippo Terracciano → Federico Ceccherini
7th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Jack Harrison → Albert Gudmundsson
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Cher Ndour → Rolando Mandragora
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Albert Gudmundsson
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Alessio Zerbin → Romano Floriani Mussolini
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Jari Vandeputte → Youssef Maleh
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
David Okereke
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
57'
49'
Event
Dodô
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Alberto Grassi → Warren Bondo
1st Substitution
46'
Event
David Okereke → Morten Thorsby
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Roberto Piccoli
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Warren Bondo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
25'
Event
Fabiano Parisi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Cremonese 1, Fiorentina 4.
90
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Milan Djuric from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
Daniele Rugani from Fiorentina committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Milan Djuric from Cremonese attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but couldn’t find the target.
90
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
89
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. David Okereke from Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom left corner by David de Gea of Fiorentina.
89
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Nicolò Fagioli from Fiorentina took a right-footed shot from inside the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Roberto Piccoli.
86
Update Update
Fiorentina is flagged for offside. Roberto Piccoli has been caught in an offside position.
85
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Alessio Zerbin from Cremonese attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a corner, but it went wide.
83
Corner Corner
Cremonese earns a corner kick after Marco Brescianini allows the ball to go out.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jacopo Fazzini comes on to replace Fabiano Parisi.
81
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Robin Gosens of Fiorentina.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jacopo Fazzini comes on to replace Fabiano Parisi.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Daniele Rugani replaces Robin Gosens due to an injury.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Filippo Terracciano comes on to replace Federico Ceccherini.
80
Update Update
Robin Gosens from Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. David Okereke from Cremonese attempted a right-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, but it went wide to the left.
79
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Cremonese after Robin Gosens allowed the ball to go out.
78
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Jari Vandeputte from Cremonese took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick, but it didn't find the target.
77
Update Update
Jack Harrison from Fiorentina committed a foul.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Cher Ndour comes on to replace Rolando Mandragora.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jack Harrison comes on to replace Albert Gudmundsson.
76
Update Update
Federico Ceccherini from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
75
Update Update
Marco Brescianini from Fiorentina earned a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Dodô from Fiorentina committed a foul.
75
Update Update
Alberto Grassi from Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
72
Update Update
Jari Vandeputte from Cremonese committed a handball foul.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cremonese 1, Fiorentina 4. Albert Gudmundsson scores for Fiorentina with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the bottom right corner. The assist came from Roberto Piccoli.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Alessio Zerbin comes on to replace Romano Floriani Mussolini.
68
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
68
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Alberto Grassi of Cremonese took a left-footed shot from within the six-yard box, but it soared over the bar on the left side. The assist came from Milan Djuric, who set him up with a header.
67
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. David Okereke from Cremonese heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but his shot is blocked. The cross was delivered by Jari Vandeputte.
66
Attempt Attempt
A header attempt from Milan Djuric of Cremonese is thwarted. The cross delivered by Federico Bonazzoli set him up for the shot, but it was successfully blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Cremonese has been awarded a corner kick after Dodô allowed the ball to go out of play.
65
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Milan Djuric of Cremonese attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it went just wide. The cross was delivered by Romano Floriani Mussolini.
64
Update Update
Offside call against Fiorentina. Roberto Piccoli has been caught in an offside position.
64
Update Update
Federico Ceccherini from Cremonese committed a foul.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Jari Vandeputte comes on to replace Youssef Maleh.
62
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after a deflection off Emil Audero.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Cremonese after a deflection off Robin Gosens.
61
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Emil Audero of Cremonese makes a fantastic save, reaching up to deny the attempt in the top left corner. The assist came from Marco Brescianini.
61
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina, following a save by Emil Audero.
60
Corner Corner
Goal! Cremonese 1, Fiorentina 3. David Okereke scores for Cremonese with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the left corner of the net. The assist comes from Federico Ceccherini.
57
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese attempted a header from the center of the box, but it just went wide of the top right corner. The assist came from Youssef Maleh.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Emil Audero of Cremonese makes a save, catching the ball in the upper center of the goal.
57
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Marco Brescianini of Fiorentina takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Nicolò Fagioli.
54
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Alberto Grassi from Cremonese attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left.
51
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: David Okereke comes on to replace Morten Thorsby.
51
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
50
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese commits a handball.
48
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Cremonese 0, Fiorentina 3. Dodô scores for Fiorentina with a left-footed shot from the middle of the box right into the center of the net. The assist came from Albert Gudmundsson after a quick counterattack.
48
Update Update
Nicolò Fagioli from Fiorentina committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
46
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Marco Brescianini of Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
46
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
45
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Alberto Grassi comes on to replace Warren Bondo.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the scoreline reading Cremonese 0, Fiorentina 2.
45
Update Update
Federico Ceccherini from Cremonese committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Alberto Grassi replaces Warren Bondo.
45
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
44
Update Update
Milan Djuric of Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Update Update
Marin Pongracic from Fiorentina committed a foul.
43
Update Update
Marco Brescianini of Fiorentina committed a foul.
43
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
42
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
42
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fiorentina after Federico Bonazzoli allowed the ball to go out.
40
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after Francesco Folino allowed the ball to go out.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fiorentina, following a deflection off Federico Ceccherini.
39
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina earned a free kick in the defensive area.
39
Update Update
Romano Floriani Mussolini from Cremonese committed a foul.
38
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal.
38
Update Update
Marco Brescianini from Fiorentina committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Morten Thorsby of Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
36
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
35
Update Update
Nicolò Fagioli from Fiorentina committed a foul.
35
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Rolando Mandragora of Fiorentina.
35
Update Update
Warren Bondo from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cremonese 0, Fiorentina 2. Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina scores with a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
30
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
30
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Warren Bondo of Cremonese has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
27
Update Update
Warren Bondo from Cremonese committed a foul.
27
Update Update
Nicolò Fagioli of Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fiorentina takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Cremonese. Fabiano Parisi scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, finding the center of the net. The assist comes from Rolando Mandragora.
24
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora of Fiorentina committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina earned a free kick in an offensive position.
19
Update Update
Robin Gosens from Fiorentina was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Robin Gosens from Fiorentina was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
17
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina committed a foul.
17
Update Update
Francesco Folino from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
16
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Federico Ceccherini from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
14
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina committed a foul.
14
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
14
Update Update
Luca Ranieri from Fiorentina has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
14
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
10
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
7
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after Francesco Folino allowed the ball to go out.
7
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but his shot is blocked. The assist came from Robin Gosens, who delivered a cross.
7
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina took a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Marco Brescianini, who delivered a cross.
4
Attempt Attempt
A shot was deflected. Luca Ranieri from Fiorentina attempted a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Robin Gosens.
3
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push unfolds as Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but David de Gea of Fiorentina makes a fantastic save, denying the attempt in the top right corner.
3
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
2
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Cremonese, following a foul by Marin Pongracic.
2
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push unfolds. Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but David de Gea, the goalkeeper for Fiorentina, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Sebastiano Luperto, who delivered a header.
1
Update Update
Milan Djuric from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
1
Update Update
Fiorentina's Marin Pongracic committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Fiorentina exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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