Cracovia Kraków vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego Sat, 23 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków
1 – 1
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Full Time Sat, 23 May 3:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Kahveh Zahiroleslam - 6'
Goal
|
Goal
Tamar Svetlin - 2'

CONTEXT

The encounter at the stadium saw Cracovia Kraków hosting Korona Kielce in what turned out to be a hard-fought 1-1 stalemate. Both teams scored once in the opening period, setting the tone for an even contest that persisted until the final whistle. Possession statistics revealed Korona Kielce dominating with 61 percent compared to Cracovia's 39 percent. No dismissals occurred during the ninety minutes, allowing both sides to maintain their full complements on the pitch. The stronger team according to pre-match assessments failed to convert their advantage into a win. This result underscores the competitive nature of the league where possession does not always translate directly into goals. The deviation observed was moderate and centered on Korona Kielce's performance. Fans witnessed a match characterized by solid defending and limited clear-cut chances with the even halftime score carrying through the second half without changes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Cracovia Kraków 1-1 Korona Kielce. Korona Kielce showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout the game.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The draw result proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were provided to evaluate goal expectations.
  • Event impact: The even score at halftime influenced the second half dynamics significantly.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from dismissals occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

B. Frankowski

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Winkler

1st Assistant

Poland

S. Rutkowski

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.3
Yellow cards / match 3.82
Red cards / match 0.22
Penalties / match 0.23
Cracovia Kraków B. Grzelak
B. Grzelak
VS
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Katowice Rank: 66 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 68 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 67 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 11 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cracovia Kraków
4.44%
Draw
92.34%
Away Korona Kielce
3.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cracovia Kraków
-1.78%
Draw
+2.62%
Korona Kielce
-0.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.94
60.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cracovia Kraków
Korona Kielce
Power Score
59.94
60.82
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
487
461

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cracovia Kraków Korona Kielce

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cracovia Kraków

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Korona Kielce

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Korona Kielce
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.79
13.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.11
26.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cracovia Kraków +1.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Korona Kielce -1.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cracovia Kraków
Korona Kielce
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Korona Kielce
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cracovia Kraków Korona Kielce
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cracovia Kraków Korona Kielce
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cracovia Kraków
Korona Kielce
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cracovia Kraków
vs
Korona Kielce
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cracovia Kraków Korona Kielce
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cracovia Kraków 0.31
Korona Kielce 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cracovia Kraków Korona Kielce
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cracovia Kraków 0.03
Korona Kielce 0.03
Cracovia Kraków
Korona Kielce
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Cracovia Kraków had peak pressure around 11'.
  • Cracovia Kraków started the game with stronger pressure.
Cracovia Kraków Pressure Korona Kielce Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Cracovia Kraków reached the top pressure at 11' (65.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Home
35 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Away
Match Record
14
Wins
10
11
Draws
11
10
Losses
14
Goals
48
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
48
+13
Goal Difference
-13

Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:02:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
S. Madejski
Poland
13 S. Madejski
O. Wójcik
Poland
66 O. Wójcik
G. Henriksson
Sweden
4 G. Henriksson
B. Šutalo
Croatia
21 B. Šutalo
D. Piła
Poland
79 D. Piła
M. Klich
Substitution
Poland
43 M. Klich
A. Al-Ammari
Sweden
6 A. Al-Ammari
M. Perković
Croatia
39 M. Perković
A. Hasić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
14 A. Hasić
K. Zahiroleslam
Substitution
United States
18 K. Zahiroleslam
M. Praszelik
Substitution
Poland
7 M. Praszelik
Pitch
X. Dziekonski
Poland
1 X. Dziekonski
M. Pieczek
Substitution
Poland
6 M. Pieczek
C. Soteriou
Cyprus
44 C. Soteriou
S. Rubežić
Serbia
23 S. Rubežić
K. Matuszewski
Poland
3 K. Matuszewski
T. Svetlin
Substitution
Slovenia
88 T. Svetlin
M. Remacle
Belgium
8 M. Remacle
H. Zwoźny
Poland
37 H. Zwoźny
D. Błanik
Substitution
Poland
7 D. Błanik
M. Stępiński
Substitution
Poland
14 M. Stępiński
D. González Plata
Substitution
Spain
10 D. González Plata

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity :
15016
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Bartosz Frankowski
Jacub Winkler
Szymon Rutkowski

Statistics

Possession
Cracovia Kraków
43%
Korona Kielce
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
1 Shots 2
29 Dangerous attacks 40
39 Possession 61
3 Corners 1
11 Free kicks 15

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 6
1 Assists 1
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
10 Successful Dribbles 7
17 Throwins 19
10 Dribble Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 5
4 Goal Attempts 3
65 Ball Safe 70
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

77 Attacks 86

Possession

337 Passes 517
20 Long Passes 17
69 Successful Passes Percentage 82
5 Key Passes 6
233 Successful Passes 424

Defensive

11 Interceptions 5
62 Duels Won 51
16 Tackles 8
1 Saves 0

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Bartosz Frankowski

Starting XI ▼

13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
4
Gustav Henriksson
Gustav Henriksson Defender
21
Bosko Sutalo
Bosko Sutalo Defender
66
Oskar Wojcik
Oskar Wojcik Defender
6
Amir Al-Ammari
Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder
39
Mauro Perkovic
Mauro Perkovic Midfielder
43
Mateusz Klich
Mateusz Klich Midfielder
10
Maxime Dominguez
Maxime Dominguez
Midfielder79'
79
Dominik Pila
Dominik Pila Midfielder
7
Mateusz Praszelik
Mateusz Praszelik Attacker
17
Martin Yankov
Martin Yankov
Midfielder70'
14
Ajdin Hasic
Ajdin Hasic Attacker
18
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Kahveh Zahiroleslam Attacker
99
Gabriel Charpentier
Gabriel Charpentier
Attacker59'
Referee : Bartosz Frankowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Defender
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Defender32'
23
Slobodan Rubezic
Slobodan Rubezic Defender
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
Konstantinos Sotiriou Defender
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Midfielder
37
Hubert Zwozny
Hubert Zwozny Midfielder
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Midfielder
86
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson
Midfielder77'
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Attacker
9
Stjepan Davidovic
Stjepan Davidovic
Midfielder32'
10
Nono
Nono Attacker
70
Antoñín
Antoñín
Attacker69'
14
Mariusz Stepinski
Mariusz Stepinski Attacker
11
Vladimir Nikolov
Vladimir Nikolov
Attacker76'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Maxime Dominguez → Mateusz Klich
8th Substitution
79'
77'
Event
Simon Gustafson → Tamar Svetlin
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Vladimir Nikolov → Mariusz Stepinski
6th Substitution
Event
Martin Yankov → Mateusz Praszelik
5th Substitution
70'
69'
Event
Antoñín → Nono
4th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Charpentier → Kahveh Zahiroleslam
3rd Substitution
59'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Stjepan Davidovic → Dawid Blanik
1st Substitution
32'
Event
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk → Marcel Pieczek
2nd Substitution
Event
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
6'
2'
Event
Tamar Svetlin
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ajdin Hasic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Maxime Dominguez comes on for Mateusz Klich.
77
Substitution Substitution
Simon Gustafson is substituted off for Tamar Svetlin.
76
Update Update
Vladimir Nikolov comes on for Mariusz Stepinski.
75
Attempt Attempt
Martin Minchev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Attempt Attempt
Amir Al Ammari takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Martin Minchev replaces Mateusz Praszelik.
69
Update Update
Antonin comes on for David Gonzalez Plata.
68
Attempt Attempt
Tamar Svetlin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Perkovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Perkovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Amir Al Ammari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
Gabriel Charpentier comes on for Kahveh Zahiroleslam.
54
Attempt Attempt
Martin Remacle takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Klich's left-footed shot is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Bosko Sutalo attempts a header but misses the shot.
37
Update Update
Hubert Zwozny takes a header, but it goes wide.
32
Update Update
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk replaces Marcel Pieczek.
32
Update Update
Stjepan Davidovic replaces Dawid Blanik.
10
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Praszelik takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Kahveh Zahiroleslam takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Kahveh Zahiroleslam takes a left-footed shot and scores.
2
Attempt Attempt
Tamar Svetlin scores with a right-footed shot.

CONCLUSION

Cracovia Kraków and Korona Kielce shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw that highlighted defensive organization over attacking flair. Korona controlled more of the ball yet could not break down a resolute home defense that matched their intensity from the first minute. Both goals arrived before the interval and the second half produced few openings as each side prioritized avoiding defeat. The lack of red cards kept the contest balanced and allowed full tactical setups to remain intact. This outcome illustrates how league matches can defy possession advantages when teams execute disciplined plans. Coaches will likely review chance creation as an area for improvement ahead of upcoming fixtures.

Cracovia Kraków vs Korona Kielce preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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