Cracovia Kraków vs Arka Gdynia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach Sun, 12 Apr - 10:15 AM

Ekstraklasa

Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków

2 – 2

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 10:15 AM

Round 28 Regular Season

Mauro Perkovic - 53'

Gabriel Charpentier - 24'

Vladislavs Gutkovskis - 48'

O. Kubiak - 29'

CONTEXT

The match between Cracovia Kraków and Arka Gdynia is now finished, ending in a 2-2 draw. Both sides were level at 1-1 by half-time, and the second period produced no further separation despite sustained attacking intent from either team. Pre-match assessments positioned Cracovia Kraków as clear favorites with a 50.8% expected share of the result, while a draw carried 27.8% and an away victory 21.4%. The actual outcome therefore marked a significant deviation, driven primarily by Arka Gdynia’s ability to claim a point away from home against the stronger projected side. Possession stayed remarkably balanced at 51% for the hosts and 49% for the visitors, with no red cards or major disciplinary events altering the flow. The efficiency shift stayed in line with broader patterns, yet the final score did not align with the pre-match projection. Without available xG data it is difficult to quantify chance quality, but the result underlined Arka’s capacity to frustrate expectations in a contest that ultimately rewarded both teams equally.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Arka Gdynia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

K. Arys

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Wójcik

1st Assistant

M. Arys

2nd Assistant

L. Elsner

D. Banasik

1.06

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.31

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 7 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Cracovia Kraków

50.82%

Draw

27.82%

Arka Gdynia

21.36%

Movement

Changes since opening

Cracovia Kraków

+45.86%

Draw

-63.6%

Arka Gdynia

+17.74%

Team Power Ranking

19.13

26.43

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Cracovia Kraków

Arka Gdynia

Power Score

19.13

26.43

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score

Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cracovia Kraków Arka Gdynia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Cracovia Kraków

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Arka Gdynia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Arka Gdynia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.24

25.00

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

25.00

28.24

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Cracovia Kraków +0.30 Efficiency Index

Arka Gdynia -0.30 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Cracovia Kraków

Arka Gdynia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cracovia Kraków ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Arka Gdynia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Cracovia Kraków Arka Gdynia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Cracovia Kraków Arka Gdynia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Cracovia Kraków

Arka Gdynia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Cracovia Kraków

Arka Gdynia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Cracovia Kraków Arka Gdynia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Cracovia Kraków Arka Gdynia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Cracovia Kraków

Arka Gdynia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Cracovia Kraków had peak pressure around 25'.
Arka Gdynia started the game with stronger pressure.

Cracovia Kraków Pressure Arka Gdynia Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Cracovia Kraków reached the top pressure at 25' (72.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Home

21 matches

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:01:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

13 S. Madejski

79 D. Piła

66 O. Wójcik

4 G. Henriksson

39 M. Perković

43 M. Klich

6 A. Al-Ammari

11 P. Sans Lopez

70 D. Kameri

14 A. Hasić

99 G. Charpentier

1 J. Grobelny

94 D. Gojny

29 M. Marcjanik

23 E. Gómez Hermoso

4 D. Zator

10 A. Nguiamba

35 K. Jakubczyk

11 D. Kocyla

37 S. Kerk

7 Oskar Kubiak

19 V. Gutkovskis

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 10:15 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach

Capacity :

2118

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Karol Arys

Arkadiusz Wójcik

Marek Arys

Statistics

Possession

Cracovia Kraków

49%

Arka Gdynia

51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 2

4 Shots 3

48 Dangerous attacks 45

51 Possession 49

5 Corners 3

10 Free kicks 20

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

9 Successful Dribbles 10

5 Goal Kicks 8

21 Throwins 23

20 Dribble Attempts 13

45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 77

2 Assists 2

69 Ball Safe 81

2 Injuries 1

4 Substitutions 5

9 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

86 Attacks 104

2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 76

14 Successful Long Passes 27

284 Successful Passes 267

50 Long Passes 61

28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

10 Key Passes 9

372 Passes 351

Defensive

1 Saves 5

13 Tackles 20

12 Interceptions 12

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 19

3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

20 Fouls 10

1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Karol Arys

Manager ▼

L. Elsner Coach

Starting XI ▼

Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper

Gustav Henriksson Defender

Mauro Perkovic Defender

Brahim Traoré

Defender82'

Oskar Wojcik Defender

Dominik Pila Defender

Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder

Pau Sans Midfielder

Mateusz Tabisz

Midfielder81'

Ajdin Hasic Midfielder

Mateusz Klich Midfielder

Dijon Kameri Midfielder

Maxime Dominguez

Midfielder61'

Gabriel Charpentier Attacker

Mateusz Praszelik

Midfielder46'

Substitutes ▼

Mateusz Praszelik

Midfielder46'

Maxime Dominguez

Midfielder61'

Mateusz Tabisz

Midfielder81'

Brahim Traoré

Defender82'

Bench ▼

Henrich Ravas Goalkeeper

Kamil Glik Defender

Karol Knap Midfielder

Kahveh Zahiroleslam Attacker

Jean Batoum Attacker

Referee : Karol Arys