Coventry City vs Southampton Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Coventry Building Society Arena Sat, 14 Mar - 12:30 PM
Championship
Coventry City CVC
1 Winner 2
Southampton SOU
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 12:30 PM
Victor Torp - 90+2' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Kuryu Matsuki - 85'
Flynn Downes - 48'

CONTEXT

The match is officially finished, with Southampton securing a 2-1 away victory over Coventry City. After a tightly contested, goalless first half, the visitors managed to break through and clinch the win. This outcome represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, as Southampton completely defied the odds. Coventry City entered the fixture as the stronger team with a 50.4% implied probability of

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Southampton showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Hallam

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Woodward

1st Assistant

M. Stevens

2nd Assistant

A. Herczeg

4th Official

Coventry City F. Lampard
F. Lampard
VS
Southampton Tonda Eckert
Tonda Eckert
2.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norwich City Rank: 71 L
Millwall Rank: 73 W
Leicester City Rank: 67 W
Birmingham City Rank: 73 L
Charlton Athletic Rank: 67 D
Ipswich Town Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hull City Rank: 72 L
Middlesbrough Rank: 74 L
Millwall Rank: 73 D
Birmingham City Rank: 73 D
Oxford United Rank: 62 L
Coventry City Rank: 75 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 8 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Coventry City
50.43%
Draw
25.12%
Away Southampton
24.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.64
66.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coventry City
Southampton
Power Score
75.64
66.15
League Position
1
7
Global Rank
85
123

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coventry City — Opponent-weighted form score
Southampton — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coventry City Southampton

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coventry City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Southampton

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Coventry City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Southampton
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.70
22.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.21
40.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Coventry City +1.87 Efficiency Index
vs
Southampton -1.87 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Coventry City
Southampton
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coventry City
vs
Southampton
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coventry City Southampton
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coventry City Southampton
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Coventry City
Southampton
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Coventry City CVC Home
3 matches
Southampton SOU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T00:42:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
C. Rushworth
England
19 C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
Netherlands
27 M. van Ewijk
L. Woolfenden
England
26 L. Woolfenden
L. Kitching
England
15 L. Kitching
J. Dasilva
England
3 J. Dasilva
O. Frank
Substitution
Nigeria
16 O. Frank
M. Grimes
England
6 (C) M. Grimes
T. Sakamoto
Substitution
Japan
7 T. Sakamoto
J. Eccles
Substitution
England
28 J. Eccles
E. Mason-Clark
England
10 E. Mason-Clark
H. Wright
Substitution
United States
11 H. Wright
Pitch
D. Peretz
Israel
41 D. Peretz
R. Manning
Republic of Ireland
3 R. Manning
J. Stephens
England
5 (C) J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
England
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Bree
England
14 J. Bree
C. Bragg
Substitution
England
48 C. Bragg
F. Azaz
England
10 F. Azaz
F. Downes
England
4 F. Downes
C. Jander
Germany
20 C. Jander
K. Matsuki
Substitution
Japan
27 K. Matsuki
C. Larin
Substitution
Canada
9 C. Larin

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 14, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England
Stadium :
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Capacity :
32609
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Farai Hallam
Richard Woodward
Mark Stevens
Adam Herczeg

Statistics

Possession
CVC
56%
SOU
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
6 Big Chances Created 3
20 Shots 8
64 Dangerous attacks 31
57 Possession 43
7 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
0 Assists 1
25 Successful Headers 22
10 Throwins 20
4 Successful Dribbles 7
75 Ball Safe 87
13 Goal Attempts 6
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
6 Goal Kicks 11
8 Dribble Attempts 12
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 3

Attacking

92 Attacks 74
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

13 Key Passes 5
20 Successful Long Passes 17
434 Passes 336
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
363 Successful Passes 265
49 Long Passes 50
84 Successful Passes Percentage 79

Defensive

5 Interceptions 6
17 Tackles 13
1 Saves 5

Build-up

14 Accurate Crosses 3
34 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Farai Hallam

Starting XI ▼

19
Carl Rushworth
Carl Rushworth Goalkeeper
6.53
3
Jay Dasilva
Jay Dasilva Defender
7.2
15
Liam Kitching
Liam Kitching Defender
6.68
26
Luke Woolfenden
Luke Woolfenden Defender
6.95
27
Milan van Ewijk
Milan van Ewijk Defender
6.62
6
Matt Grimes
Matt Grimes (C) Midfielder
6.67
7
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Midfielder
6.92
14
Romain Esse
Romain Esse
Midfielder77'
6.33
10
Ephron Mason-Clark
Ephron Mason-Clark Midfielder
7.32
16
Frank Onyeka
Frank Onyeka Midfielder
6.22
29
Victor Torp
Victor Torp
Midfielder77'
7.59
28
Josh Eccles
Josh Eccles Midfielder
6.98
23
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Attacker57'
6.54
11
Haji Wright
Haji Wright Attacker
6.29
9
Ellis Simms
Ellis Simms
Attacker62'
6.37
Referee : Farai Hallam

Starting XI ▼

41
Daniel Peretz
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper
7.37
3
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning Defender
7.17
5
Jack Stephens
Jack Stephens (C) Defender
6.71
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender
7.03
14
James Bree
James Bree Defender
6.93
4
Flynn Downes
Flynn Downes Midfielder
7.2
10
Finn Azaz
Finn Azaz Midfielder
6.67
20
Caspar Jander
Caspar Jander Midfielder
6.86
27
Kuryu Matsuki
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder
8.49
15
Nathan Wood
Nathan Wood
Defender90+6'
48
Cameron Bragg
Cameron Bragg Midfielder
6.61
24
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Midfielder67'
5.99
9
Cyle Larin
Cyle Larin Attacker
6.34
19
Cameron Archer
Cameron Archer
Attacker67'
6.19

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Nathan Wood → Kuryu Matsuki
7th Substitution
Event
Victor Torp
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+2'
90+1'
Event
Daniel Peretz
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ellis Simms
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
86'
Event
Cameron Archer
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Kuryu Matsuki
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Luke Woolfenden
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
80'
Event
Romain Esse → Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Victor Torp → Frank Onyeka
6th Substitution
77'
67'
Event
Cameron Archer → Cyle Larin
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Shea Emmanuel Charles → Cameron Bragg
4th Substitution
Event
Ellis Simms → Haji Wright
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Brandon Thomas-Asante → Josh Eccles
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Liam Kitching
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'
48'
Event
Flynn Downes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Victor Torp.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Coventry City 1, Southampton 2.
90
Update Update
Shea Charles of Southampton has given away a penalty following a foul committed inside the box.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Luke Woolfenden of Coventry City attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but couldn't find the target. The cross was delivered by Ephron Mason-Clark.
90
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Coventry City! Victor Torp is brought down in the box.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Coventry City 1, Southampton 2.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 7 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Shea Charles from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Corner Corner
Goal! Coventry City 1, Southampton 2. Victor Torp from Coventry City successfully scores the penalty, striking the ball with his right foot into the bottom left corner.
90
Update Update
Romain Esse from Coventry City committed a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but Daniel Peretz of Southampton makes a great save, denying him by stopping the ball in the upper center of the goal.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Romain Esse from Coventry City fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Victor Torp from Coventry City took a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Ephron Mason-Clark, who delivered a cross.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Nathan Wood replaces Kuryu Matsuki.
90
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Romain Esse from Coventry City attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box but it went wide after a quick counterattack.
90
Update Update
James Bree from Southampton committed a foul.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Peretz from Southampton has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Coventry City 1, Southampton 2.
89
Update Update
The attempt on goal has been thwarted. Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City directed a header from the center of the penalty area, but it was successfully blocked. The assist came from Milan van Ewijk.
88
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Victor Torp from Coventry City took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left following a free kick.
88
Update Update
Cameron Archer committed a foul on a Southampton player.
86
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City earned a free kick in an offensive position.
86
Update Update
Ryan Manning from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ellis Simms from Coventry City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
86
Update Update
Ellis Simms from Coventry City committed a foul.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Coventry City 0, Southampton 2. Kuryu Matsuki finds the back of the net for Southampton, firing a right-footed shot from close range into the center of the goal. The assist comes from James Bree, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Luke Woolfenden allowed the ball to go out.
82
Update Update
Flynn Downes from Southampton committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
80
Update Update
Luke Woolfenden commits a foul against Coventry City.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luke Woolfenden of Coventry City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
80
Update Update
Caspar Jander from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Romain Esse comes on to replace Tatsuhiro Sakamoto.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Victor Torp comes on to replace Frank Onyeka.
76
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Kuryu Matsuki from Southampton takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly misses the top left corner of the goal.
75
Update Update
Caspar Jander from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk from Coventry City committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Offside call against Southampton. Cameron Archer has been caught in an offside position.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Liam Kitching allowed the ball to go out.
71
Update Update
Flynn Downes from Southampton committed a foul.
71
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City earned a free kick in an offensive position.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after a foul by James Bree.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Shea Charles replaces Cameron Bragg.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Cameron Archer replaces Cyle Larin due to an injury.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after James Bree allowed the ball to go out.
62
Update Update
Ryan Manning from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Ellis Simms is coming on to replace Haji Wright.
62
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk committed a foul against a player from Coventry City.
61
Update Update
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Haji Wright from Coventry City heads the ball from the middle of the box, but it's expertly stopped by Southampton's goalkeeper, Daniel Peretz, positioned centrally. The assist comes from Milan van Ewijk, who delivered a precise cross.
60
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive move unfolds. Caspar Jander from Southampton takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Carl Rushworth from Coventry City makes a great save, denying the effort at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Finn Azaz.
59
Update Update
Liam Kitching from Coventry City committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Daniel Peretz from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Ryan Manning from Southampton committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Jay Dasilva from Coventry City earned a free kick in an offensive position.
58
Update Update
Caspar Jander from Southampton committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto from Coventry City earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
58
Update Update
Liam Kitching from Coventry City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Cyle Larin from Southampton committed a foul.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Brandon Thomas-Asante replaces Josh Eccles.
57
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Liam Kitching of Coventry City had a header from the center of the box but failed to find the target. The assist came from Jay Dasilva, who delivered a well-placed cross.
56
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after a foul by Kuryu Matsuki.
54
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ryan Manning from Southampton took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick, but it went wide.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Liam Kitching from Coventry City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
53
Update Update
Liam Kitching from Coventry City committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Cyle Larin from Southampton earned a free kick in an offensive position.
51
Update Update
Offside call against Southampton. Cyle Larin has been caught offside.
51
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
51
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Josh Eccles from Coventry City.
51
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push from Coventry City. Josh Eccles attempts a header from within the six-yard box on the left side, but Daniel Peretz makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Luke Woolfenden, who delivered a cross.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Southampton takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Coventry City. Flynn Downes scores with a right-footed shot from close range, sending the ball into the upper part of the net.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Coventry City 0, Southampton 0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Haji Wright from Coventry City attempted a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Ephron Mason-Clark, who delivered a cross.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Coventry City 0, Southampton 0.
44
Update Update
Matt Grimes committed a foul against Coventry City.
44
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton earned a free kick in the defensive area.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after Daniel Peretz allowed the ball to go out.
43
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Liam Kitching from Coventry City heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but Daniel Peretz from Southampton makes a fantastic save, denying it in the top right corner. The assist came from Josh Eccles, who delivered a precise cross.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after a deflection off Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after a defensive play by Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
40
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Kuryu Matsuki from Southampton attempted a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
36
Update Update
Offside call against Coventry City. Ephron Mason-Clark has been flagged for being offside.
35
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Luke Woolfenden of Coventry City had a close-range header that went wide to the left. The chance was set up by Ephron Mason-Clark, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after Kuryu Matsuki allowed the ball to go out of play.
32
Update Update
Opportunity wasted. Tatsuhiro Sakamoto of Coventry City attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sailed high and wide to the right. The cross was delivered by Jay Dasilva.
31
Update Update
Offside call against Southampton. Finn Azaz is caught in an offside position.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after a deflection off Caspar Jander.
30
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Taylor Harwood-Bellis from Southampton tries to score from within the six-yard area on the left side, but his effort is blocked. The assist comes from Ryan Manning, who delivered a cross.
29
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Southampton after Matt Grimes allowed the ball to go out.
26
Update Update
Frank Onyeka from Coventry City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Flynn Downes from Southampton committed a foul.
25
Update Update
Kuryu Matsuki from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City committed a foul.
23
Update Update
James Bree from Southampton earned a free kick in the defensive area.
23
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark committed a foul against a player from Coventry City.
19
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
James Bree commits a foul against Southampton.
18
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto from Coventry City earned a free kick on the right flank.
18
Update Update
Cyle Larin from Southampton has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
18
Update Update
Liam Kitching committed a foul against Coventry City.
16
Update Update
Offside call against Coventry City. Haji Wright has been flagged for being in an offside position.
15
Update Update
Cameron Bragg from Southampton has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark committed a foul against a player from Coventry City.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after a play that resulted in Jay Dasilva giving it away.
12
Update Update
Liam Kitching committed a foul against Coventry City.
12
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Kuryu Matsuki from Southampton committed a foul.
11
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
9
Corner Corner
Opportunity goes begging. Cyle Larin from Southampton attempted a left-footed shot from just a few meters out, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Kuryu Matsuki, who headed the ball following a corner kick.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after a play that resulted in a deflection off Jay Dasilva.
7
Update Update
Offside call against Coventry City. Ephron Mason-Clark has been flagged for being in an offside position.
5
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Ephron Mason-Clark from Coventry City had a shot from the middle of the penalty area but failed to convert. The assist came from Milan van Ewijk, who delivered a cross.
4
Update Update
Matt Grimes from Coventry City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
4
Update Update
Matt Grimes of Coventry City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Update Update
Offside call against Southampton. Cyle Larin has been flagged for being offside.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Southampton exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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