Coventry City vs Portsmouth Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Coventry Building Society Arena Tue, 21 Apr - 6:45 PM
Championship
Coventry City CVC
5 Winner 1
Portsmouth PTM
Full Time Tue, 21 Apr 6:45 PM
Round 44 Regular Season
Kaine Kesler-Hayden - 90+1'
Ephron Mason-Clark - 76', 47'
Regan Poole - 50' (Own Goal)
Haji Wright - 12'
Goal
|
Goal
Adrian Segecic - 69'

CONTEXT

Coventry City produced a masterclass in dominance, demolishing Portsmouth 5-1 in a one-sided affair at the Coventry Building Society Arena. The Sky Blues edged ahead 1-0 by halftime, showcasing early control, before erupting with four unanswered second-half strikes to turn the match into a rout. Holding 71% possession against Portsmouth's meager 29%, Coventry dictated every phase, overwhelming their visitors with relentless pressure and sharp finishing. Portsmouth mustered a late consolation but offered little threat otherwise. As the stronger team, Coventry's victory aligned with expectations, though the margin reflected a significant 38.4% structural deviation. Free from red cards or disruptions, the game highlighted pure superiority in structure and execution.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Coventry City recorded a significant 38.4% structural deviation in their 5-1 victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for Coventry City's win.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without performance metrics.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments impacted the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any scoreline distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Kitchen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Stevens

1st Assistant

G. Byrne

2nd Assistant

A. Herczeg

4th Official

Coventry City F. Lampard
F. Lampard
VS
Portsmouth J. Mousinho
J. Mousinho
1.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blackburn Rovers Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Hull City Rank: D
Derby County Rank: W
Swansea City Rank: W
Southampton Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leicester City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: D
Norwich City Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Coventry City
61.64%
Draw
22.46%
Away Portsmouth
15.9%

Movement

Changes since opening
Coventry City
-35.6%
Draw
+20.09%
Portsmouth
+15.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.46
27.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Coventry City
Portsmouth
Power Score
29.46
27.4
League Position
1
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Coventry City — Opponent-weighted form score
Portsmouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Coventry City Portsmouth

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Coventry City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Portsmouth

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Coventry City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Portsmouth
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.00
17.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.76
25.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Coventry City +0.74 Efficiency Index
vs
Portsmouth -0.74 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Coventry City
Portsmouth
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Coventry City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Portsmouth
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Coventry City Portsmouth
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Coventry City Portsmouth
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Coventry City
Portsmouth
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Coventry City
vs
Portsmouth
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Coventry City Portsmouth
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Coventry City 0.27
Portsmouth 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Coventry City Portsmouth
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Coventry City 0.04
Portsmouth 0.09
Coventry City
Portsmouth
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CVC had peak pressure around 66'.
  • CVC started the game with stronger pressure.
CVC Pressure PTM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CVC reached the top pressure at 66' (79.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Coventry City CVC Home
10 matches
Portsmouth PTM Away
Match Record
6
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
6
Goals
17
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
17
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:03:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Rushworth
England
19 C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
Substitution
Netherlands
27 M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas
England
4 B. Thomas
L. Kitching
England
15 L. Kitching
J. Dasilva
Substitution
England
3 J. Dasilva
O. Frank
Substitution
Nigeria
16 O. Frank
M. Grimes
England
6 M. Grimes
R. Esse
Substitution
England
14 R. Esse
J. Rudoni
England
5 J. Rudoni
E. Mason-Clark
England
10 E. Mason-Clark
H. Wright
Substitution
United States
11 H. Wright
Pitch
N. Schmid
Austria
1 N. Schmid
C. Ogilvie
England
3 C. Ogilvie
M. Dia
Substitution
Senegal
55 M. Dia
R. Poole
Wales
5 R. Poole
J. Williams
England
2 J. Williams
A. Dozzell
England
21 A. Dozzell
E. Adams
Substitution
Gambia
38 E. Adams
M. Alli
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
27 M. Alli
C. Chaplin
Substitution
England
36 C. Chaplin
A. Segečić
Australia
10 A. Segečić
C. Bishop
Substitution
England
9 C. Bishop

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 44 · Regular Season
Stadium :
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Capacity :
32609
Attendance :
31182
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andrew Kitchen
Mark Stevens
George Byrne
Adam Herczeg

Statistics

Possession
CVC
68%
PTM
32%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 0
13 Shots 0
55 Dangerous attacks 23
71 Possession 29
2 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 4
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 2
25 Throwins 18
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
17 Dribble Attempts 8
9 Successful Headers 13
2 Goal Kicks 10
3 Assists 0
2 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
11 Goal Attempts 2
103 Ball Safe 76
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

118 Attacks 63
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 66
74 Long Passes 59
603 Passes 245
515 Successful Passes 162
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
33 Successful Long Passes 19
11 Key Passes 2

Defensive

12 Tackles 17
39 Duels Won 35
10 Interceptions 6
1 Saves 1

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 8
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

4 Fouls 10
5 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Andrew Kitchen

Starting XI ▼

19
Carl Rushworth
Carl Rushworth Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Jay Dasilva
Jay Dasilva Defender
6.84
21
Jake Bidwell
Jake Bidwell
Defender64'
6.61
4
Bobby Thomas
Bobby Thomas Defender
7.12
15
Liam Kitching
Liam Kitching Defender
7.04
27
Milan van Ewijk
Milan van Ewijk Defender
6.89
20
Kaine Kesler-Hayden
Kaine Kesler-Hayden
Defender75'
6.65
5
Jack Rudoni
Jack Rudoni Midfielder
7.08
6
Matt Grimes
Matt Grimes Midfielder
7.25
10
Ephron Mason-Clark
Ephron Mason-Clark Midfielder
2
6.96
14
Romain Esse
Romain Esse Midfielder
6.79
23
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Attacker64'
6.97
16
Frank Onyeka
Frank Onyeka Midfielder
6.83
29
Victor Torp
Victor Torp
Midfielder64'
7.1
11
Haji Wright
Haji Wright Attacker
6.87
9
Ellis Simms
Ellis Simms
Attacker75'
6.79
Referee : Andrew Kitchen

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolas Schmid
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper
6.7
2
Jordan Williams
Jordan Williams Defender
6.59
3
Connor Ogilvie
Connor Ogilvie Defender
6.65
5
Regan Poole
Regan Poole Defender
6.86
55
Madiodio Dia
Madiodio Dia Defender
6.78
6
Conor Shaughnessy
Conor Shaughnessy
Defender46'
6.91
10
Adrian Segecic
Adrian Segecic Midfielder
6.74
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
6.77
27
Millenic Alli
Millenic Alli Midfielder
6.62
23
Josh Murphy
Josh Murphy
Midfielder62'
6.96
36
Conor Chaplin
Conor Chaplin Midfielder
6.61
29
Harvey Blair
Harvey Blair
Attacker77'
6.45
38
Ebou Adams
Ebou Adams Midfielder
7.09
16
Luke Le Roux
Luke Le Roux
Midfielder62'
6.57
9
Colby Bishop
Colby Bishop Attacker
6.71
40
Jacob Brown
Jacob Brown
Attacker84'
6.56

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kaine Kesler-Hayden
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+1'
84'
Event
Jacob Brown → Colby Bishop
10th Substitution
77'
Event
Harvey Blair → Conor Chaplin
9th Substitution
Event
Ephron Mason-Clark
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
76'
Event
Kaine Kesler-Hayden → Milan van Ewijk
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Ellis Simms → Haji Wright
8th Substitution
75'
69'
Event
Adrian Segecic
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Brandon Thomas-Asante → Romain Esse
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Jake Bidwell → Jay Dasilva
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Victor Torp → Frank Onyeka
6th Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Luke Le Roux → Ebou Adams
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Josh Murphy → Millenic Alli
2nd Substitution
Event
Regan Poole
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
50'
Event
Ephron Mason-Clark
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
46'
Event
Conor Shaughnessy → Madiodio Dia
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Madiodio Dia
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
35'
Event
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Haji Wright
Header / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Coventry City winning 5-1 against Portsmouth.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kaine Kesler-Hayden scores for Coventry City with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner. The score is now Coventry City 5, Portsmouth 1.
90
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Nicolas Schmid concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Brandon Thomas-Asante from Coventry City attempts an attack, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box. The shot is saved in the top right corner by Portsmouth's Nicolas Schmid, with the assist coming from Jack Rudoni.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
87
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Harvey Blair from Portsmouth shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the right.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Jacob Brown replaces Colby Bishop.
79
Update Update
Ellis Simms from Coventry City misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but sending the ball high. The assist came from Brandon Thomas-Asante after a fast break.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Harvey Blair replaces Conor Chaplin.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Coventry City leads 4-1 against Portsmouth. Ephron Mason-Clark scores for Coventry City with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Victor Torp.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Ellis Simms replaces Haji Wright.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Kaine Kesler-Hayden replaces Milan van Ewijk.
74
Update Update
Josh Murphy from Portsmouth won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Brandon Thomas-Asante fouled a player from Coventry City.
73
Attempt Attempt
Ephron Mason-Clark of Coventry City missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just close to the goal. The assist came from Jake Bidwell's cross.
71
Update Update
Victor Torp from Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Andre Dozzell against Portsmouth.
69
Attempt Attempt
Josh Murphy's shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Connor Ogilvie.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adrian Segecic scores for Portsmouth with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner. The match score is now Coventry City 3, Portsmouth 1.
67
Update Update
Adrian Segecic is flagged for offside for Portsmouth.
64
Update Update
Offside called against Coventry City. Ephron Mason-Clark is offside.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Victor Torp replaces Frank Onyeka.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Coventry City: Brandon Thomas-Asante replaces Romain Esse.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Josh Murphy replaces Millenic Alli.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Luke Le Roux replaces Ebou Adams.
62
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but the ball goes high.
61
Attempt Attempt
Jack Rudoni from Coventry City hits the left post with a left-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Milan van Ewijk.
61
Update Update
Offside called against Coventry City. Haji Wright is offside.
60
Attempt Attempt
Ephron Mason-Clark's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
59
Update Update
Matt Grimes from Coventry City won a free kick in the attacking area.
59
Update Update
Conor Chaplin fouled a player from Portsmouth.
57
Update Update
Ephron Mason-Clark of Coventry City is flagged for offside.
57
Attempt Attempt
Romain Esse's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Jack Rudoni's cross.
55
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
54
Update Update
Frank Onyeka from Coventry City won a free kick on the right wing.
54
Update Update
Frank Onyeka from Coventry City won a free kick on the right wing.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Regan Poole of Portsmouth scores an own goal. The score is now Coventry City 3, Portsmouth 0.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Coventry City lead 2-0 against Portsmouth. Ephron Mason-Clark scores for Coventry City with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the center of the goal.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Conor Shaughnessy replaces Madiodio Dia.
45
Update Update
Romain Esse of Coventry City is flagged for offside.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Coventry City leading Portsmouth 1-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Portsmouth: Conor Shaughnessy replaces Madiodio Dia.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jack Rudoni's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was made by Bobby Thomas.
45
Attempt Attempt
Haji Wright from Coventry City missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Frank Onyeka provided the assist.
43
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left.
41
Update Update
Frank Onyeka of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Foul by Colby Bishop of Portsmouth.
41
Update Update
Bobby Thomas from Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Andre Dozzell against Portsmouth.
36
Corner Corner
Bobby Thomas of Coventry City hits the bar with a header from the right side of the six-yard box. The assist comes from Jack Rudoni, who delivered a cross after a corner.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Madiodio Dia from Portsmouth receives a yellow card.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Coventry City after Madiodio Dia concedes.
31
Update Update
Offside called against Coventry City. Haji Wright is offside.
30
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Conor Chaplin of Portsmouth takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top left corner by Carl Rushworth of Coventry City. The assist comes from Adrian Segecic.
29
Update Update
Jordan Williams of Portsmouth won a free kick in defense.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Haji Wright against Coventry City.
24
Update Update
Adrian Segecic from Portsmouth won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Frank Onyeka against Coventry City.
22
Update Update
Milan van Ewijk of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Ebou Adams for Portsmouth.
19
Update Update
Frank Onyeka of Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Haji Wright from Coventry City won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Madiodio Dia of Portsmouth.
15
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nicolas Schmid from Portsmouth.
13
Update Update
Haji Wright of Coventry City is flagged for offside.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Coventry City leads 1-0 against Portsmouth. Haji Wright scores for Coventry City with a header from close range after a corner.
11
Corner Corner
Coventry City wins a corner after Connor Ogilvie concedes.
8
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Haji Wright from Coventry City shot with his right foot from the right side of the box.
3
Update Update
Foul by Madiodio Dia of Portsmouth.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Madiodio Dia of Portsmouth.
2
Corner Corner
Portsmouth win a corner after Bobby Thomas concedes.

CONCLUSION

Coventry City's 5-1 thrashing of Portsmouth cements their credentials as Championship frontrunners, blending possession mastery with lethal conversion. The second-half explosion after a solid 1-0 interval lead exposed Portsmouth's frailties, rendering their 29% possession futile. This market-aligned result, unmarred by cards or interruptions, underscores Coventry's structural edge and efficiency. Portsmouth depart humbled, needing urgent introspection amid their struggles. For the Sky Blues, momentum surges toward playoffs, with this deviation-signaling performance boosting squad belief and fan fervor ahead of crucial fixtures.

Coventry City vs Portsmouth preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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