Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Dallas Stadium Tue, 30 Jun - 5:00 PM
World Cup
Côte d'Ivoire CIV
1 Winner 2
Norway NOR
Full Time Tue, 30 Jun 5:00 PM
Round of 32
Amad Diallo - 74'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Côte d'Ivoire hosted Norway in a fixture that ended 1-2 to the visitors. The home side trailed 0-1 at halftime before reducing the deficit after the break. Expected goals stood at 1.83 for Côte d'Ivoire and 1.95 for Norway, producing a narrow differential of 0.12. Possession settled at 47 percent for the home team and 53 percent for Norway. No red cards were shown to either side. Côte d'Ivoire entered as the stronger team yet Norway claimed the points. The result proved consistent with underlying metrics and pre-match projections. Norway's performance reflected a significant deviation level of 55.5 percent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Norway recorded a significant 55.5 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: Outcome aligned with xG as the result matched the 1.83 to 1.95 distribution.
  • Market alignment: Final result stayed aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations showed a tight contest with only a 0.12 differential.
  • Event impact: Halftime score of 0-1 shaped second half responses by Côte d'Ivoire.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no measurable distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Valenzuela Sáez

Venezuela 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

J. Urrego Martínez

1st Assistant

Venezuela

T. Moreno

2nd Assistant

Venezuela

J. Benítez

4th Official

Paraguay

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.21
Yellow cards / match 1.99
Red cards / match 0.1
Penalties / match 0.11
Côte d'Ivoire E. Fae
E. Fae
VS
Norway S. Solbakken
S. Solbakken
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Curacao Rank: W
Germany Rank: L
Ecuador Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
France Rank: L
Senegal Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Côte d'Ivoire
26.64%
Draw
28.87%
Away Norway
44.49%

Movement

Changes since opening
Côte d'Ivoire
+26.45%
Draw
+24.29%
Norway
-50.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.81
20
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Côte d'Ivoire
Norway
Power Score
24.81
20
League Position
2
2
Global Rank
34
31

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Côte d'Ivoire — Opponent-weighted form score
Norway — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Côte d'Ivoire Norway

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Côte d'Ivoire

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Norway

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Côte d'Ivoire ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Norway
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.02
22.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.45
37.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Côte d'Ivoire +1.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Norway -1.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Côte d'Ivoire
Norway
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Côte d'Ivoire
vs
Norway
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Côte d'Ivoire Norway
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
36%
31%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.66 vs -0.60
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Côte d'Ivoire Norway
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
36%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.60 vs -0.66
Côte d'Ivoire
Norway
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Côte d'Ivoire
vs
Norway
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Côte d'Ivoire Norway
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Côte d'Ivoire 0.21
Norway 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Côte d'Ivoire Norway
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Côte d'Ivoire 0.03
Norway 0.01
Côte d'Ivoire
Norway
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NOR had peak pressure around 44'.
  • CIV started the game with stronger pressure.
CIV Pressure NOR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NOR reached the top pressure at 44' (91.46).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Côte d'Ivoire CIV Home
0 matches
Norway NOR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-01T00:00:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
Y. Fofana
Ivory Coast
1 Y. Fofana
G. Doué
Ivory Coast
17 G. Doué
K. Odilon
Ivory Coast
7 K. Odilon
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
20 E. Agbadou
G. Konan
Substitution
Ivory Coast
3 G. Konan
I. Sangaré
Ivory Coast
18 I. Sangaré
N. Pépé
Substitution
Ivory Coast
19 N. Pépé
F. Kessié
Ivory Coast
8 (C) F. Kessié
C. Inao Oulaï
Substitution
Ivory Coast
26 C. Inao Oulaï
Y. Diomande
Substitution
Ivory Coast
11 Y. Diomande
A. Bonny
Substitution
Ivory Coast
9 A. Bonny

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium :
Dallas Stadium
Capacity :
80000
Attendance :
69661
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jesús Valenzuela Sáez
Jorge Urrego Martínez
Tulio Moreno
Juan Gabriel Benítez

Statistics

Possession
CIV
48%
NOR
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 4
9 Shots 2
68 Dangerous attacks 58
47 Possession 53
14 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

50 Ball Safe 59
3 Goal Kicks 12
10 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 3
16 Throwins 23
10 Successful Headers 15
1 Assists 2
1 Injuries 0
20 Dribble Attempts 20
7 Successful Dribbles 3
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 15

Attacking

59 Attacks 116
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

38 Long Passes 34
401 Passes 473
339 Successful Passes 415
85 Successful Passes Percentage 88
9 Key Passes 8
17 Successful Long Passes 18
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

1 Saves 4
24 Tackles 19
4 Interceptions 6
49 Duels Won 41

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 10
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Jesús Valenzuela Sáez

Starting XI ▼

1
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.28
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
6.53
24
Bazoumana Touré
Bazoumana Touré
Attacker90+3'
7
Odilon Kossounou
Odilon Kossounou Defender
6.56
17
Guela Doué
Guela Doué Defender
6.98
20
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
6.97
8
Franck Kessié
Franck Kessié (C) Midfielder
6.68
11
Yan Diomande
Yan Diomande Midfielder
7.01
22
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand
Attacker90+3'
6.26
18
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
7.05
19
Nicolas Pépé
Nicolas Pépé Midfielder
6.87
14
Oumar Diakité
Oumar Diakité
Attacker87'
26
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
6.75
15
Amad Diallo
Amad Diallo
Attacker60'
8.27
9
Ange-Yoan Bonny
Ange-Yoan Bonny Attacker
6.26
12
Elye Wahi
Elye Wahi
Attacker60'
6.44
Referee : Jesús Valenzuela Sáez

Starting XI ▼

1
Ørjan Nyland
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper
7.4
3
Kristoffer Ajer
Kristoffer Ajer Defender
7.26
5
David Møller Wolfe
David Møller Wolfe Defender
6.31
16
Marcus Pedersen
Marcus Pedersen Defender
6.08
14
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes
Midfielder83'
6.61
17
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.84
6
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.68
8
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.83
10
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard (C) Midfielder
7.03
7
Alexander Sørloth
Alexander Sørloth Attacker
6.47
22
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb
Midfielder71'
6.39
9
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland Attacker
6.93
20
Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa Attacker
6.91
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup
Attacker71'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Evann Guessand → Yan Diomande
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Bazoumana Touré → Ghislain Konan
8th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Oumar Diakité → Nicolas Pépé
6th Substitution
87'
86'
Event
Erling Haaland
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
83'
Event
Fredrik Aursnes → Marcus Pedersen
5th Substitution
Event
Amad Diallo
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
74'
71'
Event
Oscar Bobb  → Alexander Sørloth
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Andreas Schjelderup → Antonio Nusa
4th Substitution
Event
Amad Diallo → Christ Inao Oulaï
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Elye Wahi → Ange-Yoan Bonny
2nd Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Antonio Nusa
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Event
Antonio Nusa
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Andreas Schjelderup from Norway, who took a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Fredrik Aursnes from Norway is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Yan Diomande of Côte d'Ivoire.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Côte d'Ivoire: Bazoumana Touré comes on for Ghislain Konan.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Côte d'Ivoire: Evann Guessand comes on for Yan Diomande.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Ødegaard of Norway.
90
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré of Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Ørjan Nyland concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Ørjan Nyland (Norway) saves a left-footed shot from outside the box by Amad Diallo (Côte d'Ivoire) in the top left corner.
90
Update Update
Evann Guessand's header from close range for Côte d'Ivoire is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Kristoffer Ajer concedes.
88
Update Update
Andreas Schjelderup from Norway is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Guéla Doué of Côte d'Ivoire.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Côte d'Ivoire: Oumar Diakité comes on for Nicolas Pépé.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Norway takes the lead 2-1 with Erling Haaland scoring from the center of the box with a left-footed shot into the center of the goal, assisted by Patrick Berg.
84
Update Update
Franck Kessie of Côte d'Ivoire commits a handball.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norway: Fredrik Aursnes comes on for Marcus Pedersen.
82
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
82
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Amad Diallo from Côte d'Ivoire.
79
Update Update
Amad Diallo is caught offside for Côte d'Ivoire.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amad Diallo scores for Côte d'Ivoire with a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Nicolas Pépé. The score is now 1-1 against Norway.
72
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ghislain Konan from Côte d'Ivoire takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it goes high and wide to the right. Ibrahim Sangaré provided the assist.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norway: Oscar Bobb comes on for Alexander Sørloth.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Norway: Andreas Schjelderup comes on for Antonio Nusa.
68
Corner Corner
Alexander Sørloth (Norway) misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. He was assisted by Martin Ødegaard, who delivered a cross following a corner.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
67
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Torbjørn Heggem's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
65
Corner Corner
Norway is awarded a corner after Emmanuel Agbadou concedes.
64
Update Update
Attempt blocked. Guéla Doué from Côte d'Ivoire has a header from a tough angle on the left that is blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a corner after Torbjørn Heggem concedes.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Ødegaard of Norway.
61
Update Update
Ghislain Konan from Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Côte d'Ivoire: Elye Wahi comes on for Ange-Yoan Bonny.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Côte d'Ivoire: Amad Diallo comes on for Christ Inao Oulaï.
59
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Emmanuel Agbadou from Côte d'Ivoire takes a right-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
59
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Patrick Berg concedes.
57
Update Update
Martin Ødegaard wins a free kick for Norway in the attacking half.
57
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré commits a foul for Côte d'Ivoire.
57
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Franck Kessie from Côte d'Ivoire has his right-footed shot from the center of the box saved in the bottom right corner by Ørjan Nyland of Norway. The assist came from Nicolas Pépé.
55
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Ørjan Nyland (Norway) saves a left-footed shot from the center of the box by Nicolas Pépé (Côte d'Ivoire) in the bottom right corner.
52
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Ibrahim Sangaré of Côte d'Ivoire, who took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
51
Update Update
Franck Kessie commits a handball for Côte d'Ivoire.
49
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Patrick Berg concedes.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Marcus Pedersen of Norway.
47
Update Update
Yan Diomande from Côte d'Ivoire wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with Côte d'Ivoire trailing Norway 1-0.
46
Update Update
Ange-Yoan Bonny of Côte d'Ivoire is caught offside.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Côte d'Ivoire after Erling Haaland concedes.
45
Update Update
Antonio Nusa commits a foul for Norway.
45
Update Update
Guéla Doué from Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Nusa from Norway receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Emmanuel Agbadou from Côte d'Ivoire misses a header from the center of the box, sending it close but to the left. He was assisted by Nicolas Pépé, who delivered a cross after a set piece situation.
44
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Marcus Pedersen concedes.
42
Corner Corner
Alexander Sørloth from Norway has a header attempt from the center of the box that goes close but misses to the right. He was assisted by Patrick Berg, who delivered a cross following a corner.
42
Corner Corner
Norway is awarded a corner after Ibrahim Sangaré concedes.
42
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Erling Haaland's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Alexander Sørloth provided the assist with a headed pass.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Norway takes the lead 1-0 against Côte d'Ivoire. Antonio Nusa scores with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Martin Ødegaard.
38
Attempt Attempt
Martin Ødegaard's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Yahia Fofana from Côte d'Ivoire saves a header from Erling Haaland of Norway, who was in the center of the box. The cross was assisted by Alexander Sørloth.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Alexander Sørloth of Norway.
37
Update Update
Yan Diomande from Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
35
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ørjan Nyland (Norway) saves a right-footed shot from outside the box by Emmanuel Agbadou (Côte d'Ivoire) aimed at the top center of the goal.
34
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Patrick Berg concedes.
33
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Torbjørn Heggem concedes.
31
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Kristoffer Ajer concedes.
30
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire win a corner after Kristoffer Ajer concedes.
28
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Kristoffer Ajer concedes.
28
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Marcus Pedersen concedes.
27
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
24
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Norway after Guéla Doué concedes.
23
Update Update
David Møller Wolfe commits a foul for Norway.
23
Update Update
Yan Diomande from Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
21
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ghislain Konan from Côte d'Ivoire takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
15
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire win a corner after Kristoffer Ajer concedes.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Patrick Berg of Norway.
11
Update Update
Franck Kessie from Côte d'Ivoire is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
8
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Yan Diomande from Côte d'Ivoire had a header from the center of the box.
8
Corner Corner
Côte d'Ivoire wins a corner after Torbjørn Heggem concedes.
5
Update Update
Antonio Nusa from Norway is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Guéla Doué of Côte d'Ivoire.
3
Update Update
Offside.
3
Update Update
Erling Haaland's header is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jesus Valenzuela.

CONCLUSION

Norway secured the 1-2 victory through measured execution that offset Côte d'Ivoire's designated strength advantage. The halftime deficit of 0-1 prompted a measured response that yielded one goal yet left the outcome unchanged. Close xG values confirmed the narrow margins that decided the points. Possession edges for Norway aligned with their ability to sustain the lead without disciplinary interruptions. Absence of red cards kept the tactical framework intact for both sides. The result therefore reflected consistent conversion and structural factors rather than external distortions. This performance profile positions Norway favorably in similar away assignments.

Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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