Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Ecuador
ECU
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Côte d'Ivoire defeated Ecuador 1-0 in a tightly contested encounter that remained goalless at halftime. Despite Ecuador holding a slight possession advantage at 52 percent to 48 percent the home side created the clearer opportunities throughout. Côte d'Ivoire registered an expected goals total of 2.0 while Ecuador managed 0.99 reflecting the narrow but deserved margin of victory. No red cards were shown to either side allowing both teams to maintain their intended formations and tactical approaches until the final whistle. The stronger-rated Ecuador side was unable to convert territorial control into meaningful threat while Côte d'Ivoire struck the decisive goal after the interval. The result aligned closely with underlying metrics and produced only minimal deviation from pre-match projections.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Côte d'Ivoire overcame the stronger Ecuador side despite the pre-match assessment favoring the visitors.
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Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams across the ninety minutes.
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xG alignment: Expected goals of 2.0 for Côte d'Ivoire and 0.99 for Ecuador aligned with the 1-0 outcome.
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Market alignment: The result showed true consistency with market projections under minimal deviation conditions.
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xG expectations: Côte d'Ivoire met or exceeded xG expectations while Ecuador underperformed relative to their 0.99 total.
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Event impact: The single second-half goal proved decisive in separating the sides at full time.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred leaving match dynamics and team structures undistorted throughout.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
F. Letexier
Other match officials
C. Mugnier
1st Assistant
M. Rahmouni
2nd Assistant
K. Saleh
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Côte d'Ivoire
Ecuador
Team Power Ranking
i
27.78
29.63
Côte d'Ivoire
Ecuador
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Côte d'Ivoire
Ecuador
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Côte d'Ivoire
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CIV had peak pressure around 56'.
- ECU started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-06-15T00:00:55+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Côte d'Ivoire
vs
Germany
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 20 Jun - 8:00 PM
Venue: Toronto Stadium


Ecuador
vs
Curacao
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sun, 21 Jun - 12:00 AM
Venue: Kansas City Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
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Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.

Match Commentary