Córdoba vs Sporting Gijón Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Nuevo Arcángel Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM

La Liga 2

Córdoba Córdoba

Sporting Gijón SPO

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Carlos Albarrán - 88'

Jacobo González - 63'

Kevin Medina - 43'

César Gelabert - 90+3'

Juan Otero - 19'

CONTEXT

Córdoba clinched a thrilling 3-2 home victory against Sporting Gijón in a match defined by end-to-end action and tactical discipline. The halftime score stood at 1-1, reflecting a balanced opening period where both teams found the net once amid competitive exchanges. Córdoba asserted dominance in the second half, leveraging 61% possession to outpace Gijón's 39% share and convert opportunities effectively. As the identified stronger team, they navigated the game without red card interruptions, maintaining full squad strength throughout. The outcome demonstrated minimal structural deviation, with efficiency holding steady in line with projections. This performance solidified Córdoba's control, turning pressure into points while Gijón battled valiantly but fell short in the decisive moments.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 4.4% favoring Córdoba.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed true for the home victory.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without supporting data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout ties influenced the result.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. De Ena Wolf

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Porras Rico

1st Assistant

S. Fernández Pérez

2nd Assistant

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

4th Official

I. Ania Cadavieco

B. Jiménez Sáez

1.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.42

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 5 - 6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Córdoba

95.61%

Draw

4.2%

Sporting Gijón

0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening

Córdoba

+0.38%

Draw

-0.38%

Sporting Gijón

Team Power Ranking

24.36

22.86

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Córdoba

Sporting Gijón

Power Score

24.36

22.86

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score

Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Córdoba Sporting Gijón

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

29.10

24.49

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.49

29.10

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Córdoba +0.47 Efficiency Index

Sporting Gijón -0.47 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Córdoba

Sporting Gijón

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Córdoba Sporting Gijón

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Córdoba Sporting Gijón

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Córdoba

Sporting Gijón

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Córdoba

Sporting Gijón

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Córdoba Sporting Gijón

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Córdoba Sporting Gijón

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Córdoba

Sporting Gijón

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Córdoba had peak pressure around 96'.
Córdoba started the game with stronger pressure.

Córdoba Pressure SPO Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Córdoba reached the top pressure at 96' (88.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Córdoba Córdoba Home

13 matches

Sporting Gijón SPO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:02:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 I. Iker

21 C. Albarrán Sanz

4 J. Martín Valerón

16 R. González Alves

2 I. Vilarrasa Palacios

14 S. Guardiola Navarro

20 A. Del Moral Saelices

30 D. Requena Sánchez

23 C. Carracedo García

18 A. Fuentes González

11 K. Villodres Medina

1 O. Yáñez Alabart

5 D. Sánchez Pérez

44 A. Cuenca Cejudo

15 P. Vázquez Pérez

2 G. Rosas Alonso

24 J. Smith

36 M. Rodríguez Paz

19 J. Otero Tovar

10 C. Gelabert Pina

7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández

17 J. Dubasin

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Nuevo Arcángel

Capacity :

21384

Attendance :

13123

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Alonso De Ena Wolf

Rubén Porras Rico

S. Fernández Pérez

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

Statistics

Possession

Córdoba

57%

SPO

43%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 3

9 Shots 3

35 Dangerous attacks 31

61 Possession 39

9 Corners 3

11 Free kicks 12

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

19 Dribble Attempts 13

58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 69

6 Goal Kicks 10

20 Throwins 22

11 Successful Dribbles 9

2 Assists 2

10 Goal Attempts 5

5 Substitutions 5

0 Injuries 1

83 Ball Safe 75

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1

73 Attacks 69

Possession

24 Successful Long Passes 17

462 Passes 304

55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

13 Key Passes 6

44 Long Passes 58

87 Successful Passes Percentage 75

400 Successful Passes 229

Defensive

1 Saves 0

49 Duels Won 60

15 Tackles 25

6 Interceptions 13

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 8

9 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

12 Fouls 11

1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Manager ▼

I. Ania Cadavieco Coach

Starting XI ▼

Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper

6.88

Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender

6.74

Álex Martín Defender

6.78

Rubén Alves Defender

7.04

Carlos Albarrán Defender

6.47

Sergi Guardiola Midfielder

6.83

Jacobo González

Attacker46'

6.98

Alberto del Moral Midfielder

6.65

Théo Zidane

Midfielder80'

6.66

Dani Requena Midfielder

6.95

Kevin Medina Attacker

6.71

Diego Bri

Attacker71'

6.76

Adrián Fuentes Attacker

6.8

Diego Percan

Attacker71'

6.66

Cristian Carracedo Attacker

7.31

Dalisson de Almeida

Midfielder86'

6.83

Substitutes ▼

Jacobo González

Attacker46'

6.98

Diego Bri

Attacker71'

6.76

Diego Percan

Attacker71'

6.66

Théo Zidane

Midfielder80'

6.66

Dalisson de Almeida

Midfielder86'

6.83

Bench ▼

Carlos Marín Goalkeeper

6.85

Juan María Alcedo Defender

6.62

Xavi Sintes Defender

6.82

Trilli Defender

6.65

Pedro Ortiz Midfielder

6.59

Mikel Goti Midfielder

6.85

Nikolay Obolskiy Attacker

6.48

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf