Córdoba vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel Sun, 15 Mar - 1:00 PM
La Liga 2
Córdoba Córdoba
0 Winner 2
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:00 PM
|
Goal
Dani Díaz - 19' (P)
Job Ochieng - 11'
|
Second yellow card Jon Balda 84'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Córdoba 0–2 Real Sociedad II. The result saw Real Sociedad II take the points. Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 75%–25%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Sociedad II showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Arcediano Monescillo

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Valverde Monsalve

1st Assistant

S. Sanz Torcal

2nd Assistant

M. Bárcenas Torres

4th Official

Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
VS
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
FC Andorra Rank: 58 L
Ceuta Rank: 62 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Leganés Rank: 67 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: 67 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Cádiz Rank: 64 W
Málaga Rank: 66 W
FC Andorra Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 68 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Córdoba
53.79%
Draw
23.78%
Away Real Sociedad II
22.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.87
57.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
Power Score
61.87
57.95
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
402
363

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Córdoba Real Sociedad II

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.67
40.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.60
42.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Córdoba +0.21 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Sociedad II -0.21 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Córdoba Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Córdoba Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Real Sociedad II
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Córdoba Córdoba Home
1 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:55:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Marín Tomás
Substitution
Spain
13 (C) C. Marín Tomás
Álvaro Pérez Campo
Spain
22 Álvaro Pérez Campo
J. Martín Valerón
Spain
4 J. Martín Valerón
X. Egea
Spain
15 X. Egea
C. Albarrán Sanz
Substitution
Spain
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
I. Ruiz Sánchez
Spain
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
P. Ortiz Bernat
Substitution
Spain
24 P. Ortiz Bernat
C. Carracedo García
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García
M. Goti López
Substitution
Spain
25 M. Goti López
J. González Rodrigañez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. González Rodrigañez
A. Fuentes González
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
Pitch
A. Fraga Torres
Spain
1 A. Fraga Torres
J. Balda Zubiri
Spain
3 J. Balda Zubiri
K. Kita
Japan
15 K. Kita
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
Spain
4 (C) L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
A. Dadie Izagirre
Spain
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
I. Aguirre Basurko
Substitution
Spain
31 I. Aguirre Basurko
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
J. Ochieng
Substitution
11 J. Ochieng
M. Rodriguez Carrasco
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco
D. Díaz Gándara
Substitution
Spain
7 D. Díaz Gándara
G. Carrera Zarranz
Substitution
Spain
18 G. Carrera Zarranz

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Capacity :
21384
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve
Samuel Sanz Torcal
Millan Bárcenas Torres

Statistics

Possession
Córdoba
68%
Real Sociedad II
32%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
12 Shots 1
100 Dangerous attacks 23
75 Possession 25
16 Corners 2
20 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

22 Dribble Attempts 16
11 Successful Dribbles 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
69 Ball Safe 79
27 Throwins 13
14 Goal Attempts 8
0 Penalties 1
0 Assists 1
4 Goal Kicks 20
1 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 3

Attacking

112 Attacks 54
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

476 Passes 174
36 Successful Long Passes 22
405 Successful Passes 93
52 Long Passes 73
18 Key Passes 3
69 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
85 Successful Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

3 Interceptions 10
3 Saves 6
15 Tackles 19

Build-up

49 Total Crosses 8
13 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

15 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

13
Carlos Marín
Carlos Marín (C) Goalkeeper
6.15
1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez
Goalkeeper46'
6.96
4
Álex Martín
Álex Martín Defender
7.25
15
Xavi Sintes
Xavi Sintes Defender
6.66
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán Defender
5.57
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri
Attacker46'
6.35
22
Trilli
Trilli Defender
7.19
8
Isma Ruiz
Isma Ruiz Midfielder
7.34
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González Midfielder
6.82
19
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida
Midfielder78'
6.81
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Midfielder
7.98
24
Pedro Ortiz
Pedro Ortiz Midfielder
6.67
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola
Attacker71'
6.88
25
Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti Midfielder
6.49
17
Adilson
Adilson
Attacker46'
6.65
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
7.5
Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

1
Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga Goalkeeper
7.92
3
Jon Balda
Jon Balda Defender
6.11
4
Luken Beitia
Luken Beitia (C) Defender
6.92
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita Defender
7.03
22
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
7.24
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz Midfielder
7.43
17
Lander Astiazaran
Lander Astiazaran
Midfielder59'
6.67
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder
7.15
39
Unax Larrañaga
Unax Larrañaga
Defender81'
6.56
11
Job Ochieng
Job Ochieng Midfielder
7.03
19
Alex Marchal
Alex Marchal
Attacker71'
6.42
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
6.82
31
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Ibai Aguirre Basurco Midfielder
6.33
16
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder59'
6.71
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
6.77
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker71'
6.41

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Jon Balda
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
81'
Event
Unax Larrañaga → Mikel Rodriguez
10th Substitution
Event
Dalisson de Almeida → Jacobo González
9th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Gorka Gorosabel
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Sergi Guardiola → Pedro Ortiz
6th Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Alex Marchal → Job Ochieng
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Gorka Carrera
8th Substitution
63'
Event
Jon Balda
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Lander Astiazaran → Dani Díaz
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Gorka Gorosabel → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
5th Substitution
Event
Adilson → Mikel Goti
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Iker Álvarez → Carlos Marín
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Diego Bri → Carlos Albarrán
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Pedro Ortiz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
44'
Event
Gorka Carrera
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Event
Dani Díaz
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
18'
Event
Dani Díaz
Penalty awarded
Event
Xavi Sintes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'
11'
Event
Job Ochieng
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Sociedad II exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Córdoba vs Real Sociedad II preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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